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CGAU vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CGAU has delivered a 172% one-year return, significantly outpacing WPM's 56% gain, driven by strong quarterly results and gold price momentum.
- WPM offers higher profit margins around 64% and lower operational risks as a streaming company compared to CGAU's mining operations.
- Recent market activity shows CGAU with a lower P/E ratio of 5.6 versus WPM's 39, suggesting relative value in the producer amid rising gold prices.
- Both stocks benefit from precious metals exposure, but CGAU exhibits higher volatility (beta 1.48) than WPM (beta 1.17).
- CGAU's year-to-date performance stands at 20%, ahead of WPM's 6%.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits CGAU, a gold and copper producer, against WPM, a leading precious metals streaming company. Both provide exposure to gold amid fluctuating commodity prices and sector tailwinds. Investors seeking direct production leverage may eye CGAU, while those preferring lower-risk revenue streams from miners might favor WPM. Traders analyzing relative performance, valuation, and recent catalysts in the gold market will find this head-to-head review insightful for portfolio positioning and stock comparison strategies.
CGAU Overview and Recent Performance
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) operates gold and copper mines, including the Mount Milligan mine in Canada and the Öksüt gold mine in Türkiye. In recent market activity, the stock has shown robust momentum, trading around $17 with a market cap of $3.4 billion. Year-to-date gains reach 20%, fueled by strong quarterly revenue of $485 million and earnings of $88 million, alongside robust free cash flow supporting self-funded growth and dividends. Sentiment has improved on operational stability and higher gold prices, though higher beta reflects mining risks like production variability.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) is a precious metals streaming firm, providing upfront capital to miners for future metal purchases at fixed prices. Its shares trade near $126, with a $57 billion market cap. Recent weeks feature portfolio expansions, such as a royalty deal with Spanish Mountain Gold. Profit margins exceed 63%, with quarterly revenue growth over 127% year-over-year. Year-to-date returns are 6%, reflecting steadier performance amid gold strength, bolstered by low debt and high cash flows, though at a premium valuation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CGAU and WPM differ fundamentally: CGAU as an operator faces direct costs and execution risks at mines, while WPM's streaming model yields fixed-cost metals with superior margins. Growth drivers include CGAU's project expansions like Kemess and WPM's new royalties. Recent momentum favors CGAU with explosive returns, but WPM shows stability. Risks for CGAU encompass operational disruptions; WPM faces counterparty issues. Both thrive on gold sentiment, with CGAU cheaper on P/E and WPM positioned for consistent cash flows.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward CGAU with higher probability in the near term, citing superior trend consistency, undervaluation at a low P/E multiple, and recent catalysts like strong cash generation amid favorable gold positioning. WPM remains a solid contender for stability seekers, but CGAU's relative momentum edges it ahead probabilistically.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CGAU is a Hold and WPM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CGAU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWPM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CGAU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CGAU’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CGAU’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CGAU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +12.22% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was +15.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +6.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +53.64%.
Reported Earning Dates
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+6.01% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| CGAU | WPM | CGAU / WPM | |
| Capitalization | 3.72B | 65.3B | 6% |
| EBITDA | 936M | 2.4B | 39% |
| Gain YTD | 30.341 | 22.555 | 135% |
| P/E Ratio | 6.04 | 36.34 | 17% |
| Revenue | 1.57B | 2.75B | 57% |
| Total Cash | 555M | 2.17B | 26% |
| Total Debt | 43.7M | 7.66M | 570% |
CGAU | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 17 Undervalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 29 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CGAU's Valuation (17) in the null industry is in the same range as WPM (21) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CGAU (36) in the null industry. This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (29) in the null industry is in the same range as WPM (43) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as WPM (44) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's P/E Growth Rating (86) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CGAU (99) in the null industry. This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
| CGAU | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 70% | 9 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 80% |
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