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CGAU vs PAAS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Centerra Gold (CGAU) vs. Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CGAU and PAAS are precious metals miners with overlapping exposure to gold prices but differing primary focuses on copper and silver, respectively.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks benefiting from elevated precious metals prices, with CGAU reporting stronger-than-expected operational results that supported production guidance increases.
- PAAS maintains a larger market capitalization and more diversified silver production base, providing broader sector exposure compared to CGAU’s concentrated gold and copper portfolio.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects commodity price trends, with both equities exhibiting volatility typical of the mining sector amid fluctuating input costs and geopolitical factors.
- Risk profiles differ, as CGAU faces jurisdiction-specific operational considerations while PAAS contends with silver price sensitivity and integration from prior acquisitions.
- Market sentiment for both remains tied to macroeconomic drivers such as interest rates and safe-haven demand, creating correlated yet distinct trading dynamics.
Introduction
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) represent two established players in the precious metals mining space, offering investors exposure to gold alongside secondary metals. This comparison examines their business models, recent operational developments, and relative positioning in the current commodity environment. Institutional and retail traders focused on sector rotation, commodity price movements, or portfolio diversification may find the analysis relevant for assessing risk-adjusted opportunities. The review emphasizes verifiable performance metrics and market context drawn from the past several weeks without forward-looking assumptions.
CGAU Overview and Recent Performance
Centerra Gold Inc. operates gold and copper mines primarily in North America and Türkiye. The company’s portfolio centers on assets such as the Mount Milligan mine and the Öksüt operation. In recent market activity, CGAU shares responded positively to second-quarter 2026 results released in late July, which highlighted operational improvements and prompted an upward revision to consolidated gold production guidance. Share buyback expansions and a quarterly dividend declaration also supported sentiment during the period. Broader influences included sustained gold prices and copper market dynamics, contributing to price appreciation amid sector-wide interest in precious metals producers.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. focuses on silver production with meaningful gold output across operations in the Americas. The company maintains a larger scale with multiple producing assets and has pursued growth through acquisitions, including the integration of prior assets. Recent market activity featured updates on exploration at the Timmins operations and preparations for second-quarter 2026 financial results. Silver price movements and overall precious metals demand shaped performance, with the stock exhibiting typical sector volatility. Ongoing sustainability reporting and operational planning provided additional context for investor monitoring without altering the core production profile in the short term.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CGAU operates with a more concentrated focus on gold and copper, resulting in higher sensitivity to those specific commodity cycles compared to PAAS’s silver-centric model with gold diversification. Growth drivers for CGAU center on mine optimization and regional production expansions, while PAAS emphasizes reserve growth and multi-asset scaling following acquisitions. Recent momentum favored CGAU following earnings-driven catalysts, whereas PAAS reflected steadier but less event-specific movement. Risk factors include CGAU’s exposure to specific jurisdictions and PAAS’s greater leverage to silver price fluctuations. Sector exposure overlaps in precious metals yet differs in primary metal weighting, influencing relative performance during gold- versus silver-led rallies. Market sentiment for both tracks macroeconomic indicators, creating trade-offs in liquidity, dividend yields, and earnings visibility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, production guidance stability, and positioning within the precious metals sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to CGAU over PAAS in the near term. This assessment reflects stronger operational momentum and buyback activity supporting trend consistency, though outcomes remain subject to commodity price movements and broader market conditions. Investors should evaluate both equities within their individual risk frameworks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CGAU is a StrongBuy and PAAS is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CGAU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whilePAAS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CGAU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PAAS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CGAU’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAAS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CGAU’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PAAS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CGAU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +1.27% price change this week, while PAAS (@Precious Metals) price change was -7.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +2.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+2.53% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| CGAU | PAAS | CGAU / PAAS | |
| Capitalization | 4.2B | 19.6B | 21% |
| EBITDA | 1B | 2.22B | 45% |
| Gain YTD | 49.687 | -7.933 | -626% |
| P/E Ratio | 6.87 | 14.03 | 49% |
| Revenue | 1.72B | 4B | 43% |
| Total Cash | 457M | 1.61B | 28% |
| Total Debt | 45.8M | 845M | 5% |
CGAU | PAAS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 22 Undervalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 54 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (17) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CGAU (22) in the null industry. This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAAS (54) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as PAAS (45) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (36) in the null industry is in the same range as PAAS (52) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's P/E Growth Rating (86) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CGAU (98) in the null industry. This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
| CGAU | PAAS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 5 days ago 88% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 11 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 70% | 18 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 75% |
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