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CGAU vs PAAS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) vs. Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CGAU delivered strong Q1 2026 earnings with profit increases driven by higher gold and copper prices, boosting recent momentum.
- PAAS maintains diversified silver and gold operations but has seen more modest YTD gains of 1.41% compared to CGAU's 19.51%.
- Both stocks benefit from precious metals demand, but CGAU trades at a lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, 5.57) versus PAAS (20.24), suggesting relative value.
- CGAU's market capitalization stands at $3.43 billion, smaller than PAAS's $21.86 billion, offering different scale and risk profiles.
- Recent analyst actions include price target raises for both, reflecting positive sector sentiment amid gold price strength.
Introduction
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) represent key players in the precious metals mining sector, with exposure to gold and silver amid fluctuating commodity prices and geopolitical tensions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, operational updates, and relative positioning, aiding traders seeking short-term momentum and investors focused on long-term sector growth. Both companies have navigated volatile gold and silver markets influenced by inflation fears and central bank policies, making this head-to-head review timely for portfolio diversification in mining equities.
CGAU Overview and Recent Performance
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) is a Canadian-based gold mining company operating assets including the Mount Milligan gold-copper mine in British Columbia, the Öksüt gold mine in Türkiye, and molybdenum properties. In recent market activity, CGAU shares have traded near the upper end of their 52-week range (high $21.17, low $6.35), reflecting robust YTD gains of 19.51% and a one-year return exceeding 172%. Strong Q1 2026 results featured earnings per share (EPS) beats and revenue growth from elevated gold and copper prices, with net income at $78.3 million. Positive analyst updates, such as Scotiabank raising its price target, have supported sentiment, though copper exposure adds volatility tied to industrial demand.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) engages in silver and gold mining across multiple countries, including operations at La Colorada, Jacobina, and El Peñon. Recent weeks have seen PAAS shares consolidate within a broader 52-week range (high $69.99, low $22.08), with YTD performance at 1.41% and one-year gains of 117%. Anticipation builds for Q1 earnings amid prior Q4 strength, while updates like the La Colorada skarn project and analyst price target hikes to $65 signal growth potential. Diversified assets mitigate single-mine risks, but silver price sensitivity and operational challenges in Latin America have tempered recent momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CGAU focuses on gold and copper production from key North American and Turkish assets, contrasting PAAS’s broader silver-dominant portfolio spanning eight countries for greater geographic diversification. Growth drivers differ: CGAU leverages recent mine restarts and copper upside, while PAAS emphasizes silver reserve expansion like La Colorada. Recent momentum favors CGAU with superior YTD returns and earnings beats, versus PAAS’s steadier but flatter trajectory. Risk factors include CGAU’s exposure to Turkish geopolitics and copper cycles, balanced by PAAS’s scale and multi-asset buffer. Market sentiment tilts toward gold strength, positioning CGAU for nearer-term upside trades, while PAAS appeals for silver leverage.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward CGAU based on stronger trend consistency from recent earnings outperformance, elevated gold prices, and relative valuation metrics like a lower P/E ratio. PAAS offers stability through diversification, but CGAU’s momentum and catalysts suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in a precious metals rally.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CGAU is a Hold and PAAS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CGAU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePAAS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CGAU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PAAS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CGAU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAAS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CGAU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PAAS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CGAU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -2.12% price change this week, while PAAS (@Precious Metals) price change was -4.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -11.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-11.03% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| CGAU | PAAS | CGAU / PAAS | |
| Capitalization | 3.3B | 20.6B | 16% |
| EBITDA | 936M | 2.22B | 42% |
| Gain YTD | 15.449 | -5.040 | -307% |
| P/E Ratio | 5.35 | 15.43 | 35% |
| Revenue | 1.57B | 4B | 39% |
| Total Cash | 555M | 1.61B | 34% |
| Total Debt | 43.7M | 845M | 5% |
CGAU | PAAS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 58 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CGAU's Valuation (16) in the null industry is in the same range as PAAS (18) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as PAAS (58) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (30) in the null industry is in the same range as PAAS (45) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (42) in the null industry is in the same range as PAAS (50) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's P/E Growth Rating (93) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CGAU (99) in the null industry. This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
| CGAU | PAAS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 76% | 8 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% |
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