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CHRW vs LSTR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) vs. Landstar System (LSTR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CHRW has delivered a remarkable 110% one-year total return, far outpacing LSTR's 37%, driven by strong profitability metrics.
- LSTR leads year-to-date with 27% gains compared to CHRW's 15%, reflecting steadier recent momentum in truckload logistics.
- Both stocks operate in the asset-light logistics sector but face quarterly revenue declines (CHRW -6.5%, LSTR -2.9%), amid softer freight volumes.
- CHRW boasts higher return on equity (ROE, a measure of profitability relative to shareholders' equity) at 33% versus LSTR's 13%.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings for both (April 28-29) could shift sentiment, with analysts expecting modest EPS (earnings per share) growth for CHRW.
- LSTR offers lower beta (0.80 vs. 0.94), indicating reduced volatility.
Introduction
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) and Landstar System (LSTR) are leading asset-light providers in the transportation and logistics sector, specializing in freight brokerage without owning trucks or ships. This comparison is relevant for traders eyeing cyclical industrials amid fluctuating freight volumes and investors seeking exposure to supply chain efficiency. With both stocks showing divergent momentum—CHRW on a multi-year surge and LSTR gaining steadily—market participants can assess relative performance, valuation trade-offs, and positioning ahead of earnings. Understanding these dynamics aids in portfolio diversification within logistics subsectors like truckload and global forwarding.
CHRW Overview and Recent Performance
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) operates as a global third-party logistics (3PL) provider, focusing on North American surface transportation and international forwarding, including truckload, intermodal, and ocean freight brokerage. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $184 per share with a market cap exceeding $21 billion, reflecting robust one-year gains of over 110% but a pullback from 52-week highs near $203 amid broader freight softening. Sentiment has been buoyed by strong profitability, with ROE near 33% and operating margins around 5%, though quarterly revenue dipped 6.5% due to volume pressures in recent weeks. Key influences include freight market updates from the company's Edge Report and anticipation for Q1 earnings on April 29, where EPS growth is projected at 6%. Beta of 0.94 signals moderate market sensitivity.
LSTR Overview and Recent Performance
Landstar System (LSTR) runs an agent-based network for truckload and logistics services, emphasizing non-asset-intensive transportation management across truck, rail, air, and ocean modes. Shares hover near $179 with a $6 billion market cap, posting solid year-to-date returns of 27% and one-year gains of 37% in recent months. Performance reflects resilience in truckload volumes despite a 2.9% quarterly revenue decline, with ROE at 13% and lower beta of 0.80 indicating stability. Recent sentiment ties to Q4 beats and upcoming Q1 results on April 28, tempered by higher P/E (54 trailing) and freight cycle headwinds. The model's focus on independent capacity providers has supported steady gains amid sector volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CHRW and LSTR employ asset-light models minimizing capital intensity, but CHRW diversifies via global forwarding alongside NA trucking, while LSTR specializes in agent-driven truckload. Growth drivers hinge on freight volumes, with both pressured recently (TTM revenue down 8% and 2%), yet CHRW shows stronger 5-year EPS CAGR (5% vs. -8%). Momentum favors CHRW's explosive long-term returns over LSTR's steadier short-term path. Risk factors include cyclical exposure, though LSTR's lower debt/equity (0.17 vs. 0.59) and beta enhance stability. Valuations reflect premiums (P/E 38 vs. 54), with CHRW edging on profitability (profit margin 3.6% vs. 2.4%). Market sentiment tilts toward CHRW pre-earnings amid its scale advantage ($16B vs. $5B TTM revenue).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CHRW based on superior trend consistency (110% 1-year return), higher ROE (33%), and stronger historical positioning versus LSTR. While LSTR offers lower volatility and recent YTD edge, CHRW's profitability and catalysts like earnings position it probabilistically better for upside in a recovering freight cycle.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHRW is a Hold and LSTR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRW’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileLSTR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CHRW’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- LSTR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRW’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LSTR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRW’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LSTR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRW (@Other Transportation) experienced а -3.18% price change this week, while LSTR (@Other Transportation) price change was -7.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -6.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
LSTR is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-6.34% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
| CHRW | LSTR | CHRW / LSTR | |
| Capitalization | 21.8B | 7.04B | 310% |
| EBITDA | 896M | 229M | 391% |
| Gain YTD | 15.893 | 47.005 | 34% |
| P/E Ratio | 37.46 | 57.29 | 65% |
| Revenue | 16.2B | 4.76B | 340% |
| Total Cash | 160M | 411M | 39% |
| Total Debt | 1.64B | 124M | 1,326% |
CHRW | LSTR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 58 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CHRW's Valuation (58) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as LSTR (72) in the Trucking industry. This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to LSTR’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LSTR (58) in the Trucking industry. This means that CHRW’s stock grew somewhat faster than LSTR’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's SMR Rating (28) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as LSTR (60) in the Trucking industry. This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to LSTR’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's Price Growth Rating (15) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as LSTR (39) in the Trucking industry. This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to LSTR’s over the last 12 months.
LSTR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as CHRW (14) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that LSTR’s stock grew similarly to CHRW’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRW | LSTR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 68% | 17 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 54% |
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LSTR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LSTR has been closely correlated with JBHT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LSTR jumps, then JBHT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LSTR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSTR | 100% | -0.35% | ||
| JBHT - LSTR | 72% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| EXPD - LSTR | 70% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| XPO - LSTR | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.13% | ||
| HUBG - LSTR | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| UPS - LSTR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.26% | ||
More | ||||