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CHRW vs XPO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) vs. XPO, Inc. (XPO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- XPO demonstrates superior year-to-date performance at approximately 65%, compared to CHRW's 15%, highlighting stronger recent momentum in the logistics sector.
- Both stocks have surged over 100% in the past year, but XPO edges out with 116% returns versus CHRW's 109%.
- CHRW offers greater stability with a lower beta of 0.94 (a measure of volatility relative to the market) and higher return on equity (ROE, a profitability metric) at 33%, while XPO carries higher risk with beta 1.72.
- XPO reports positive quarterly revenue growth of 4.6%, contrasting CHRW's -6.5% decline, signaling divergent growth trajectories.
- Valuations differ markedly, with CHRW's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 38 versus XPO's elevated 85, amid upcoming earnings for both.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CHRW and XPO, two prominent players in the transportation and logistics sector. Both companies provide supply chain solutions amid evolving freight market dynamics, including capacity fluctuations and technological integration. Investors and traders tracking industrials may find value in contrasting their business models, recent performance, and risk profiles. With strong one-year gains but differing momentum, this analysis aids in understanding relative positioning for portfolio allocation or short-term trading strategies in the current market environment.
CHRW Overview and Recent Performance
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) operates as a non-asset-based third-party logistics (3PL) provider, specializing in freight brokerage for domestic and international shipments. In recent market activity, CHRW shares have shown notable momentum, delivering over 100% returns over the past year and trading near $184 with a market cap of about $22 billion. Sentiment has been influenced by anticipation for Q1 earnings, expected to show EPS growth, alongside discussions on AI-driven efficiencies in brokerage. However, quarterly revenue dipped 6.5%, and a high P/E ratio of 38 has prompted valuation scrutiny amid broader sector pressures.
XPO Overview and Recent Performance
XPO, Inc. (XPO) focuses on less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation and logistics services, operating an asset-light model post-spin-offs. Recent weeks have seen robust performance, with shares around $224 and a $26 billion market cap, fueled by 65% YTD gains and 116% over the past year. Positive quarterly revenue growth of 4.6% and analyst upgrades, including Jefferies raising its target to $275, have bolstered sentiment. Elevated P/E at 85 reflects growth expectations, though higher debt levels and beta contribute to volatility in fluctuating freight volumes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CHRW and XPO both navigate logistics but diverge in models: CHRW emphasizes brokerage with lower capital intensity, while XPO leverages LTL networks for direct control. Growth drivers favor XPO's positive revenue trajectory versus CHRW's contraction. Recent momentum tilts to XPO with superior YTD gains, though CHRW provides stability via lower beta and debt/equity. Risk factors include XPO's higher leverage (224% debt/equity) and volatility, balanced by CHRW's superior ROE. Sector exposure overlaps in freight, but market sentiment leans toward XPO's execution amid capacity shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors XPO for its trend consistency, positive revenue growth, and stronger relative positioning in recent market activity. While CHRW offers stability, XPO's catalysts like analyst support suggest higher probability of outperformance, subject to earnings outcomes and sector trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHRW is a StrongBuy and XPO is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRW’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileXPO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CHRW’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRW’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRW’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- XPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRW (@Other Transportation) experienced а +2.76% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was +0.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -2.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.91%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -2.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was +35.12%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
XPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-2.05% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
@Trucking (-2.87% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| CHRW | XPO | CHRW / XPO | |
| Capitalization | 22.2B | 24.3B | 91% |
| EBITDA | 896M | 1.22B | 74% |
| Gain YTD | 18.905 | 52.145 | 36% |
| P/E Ratio | 37.87 | 69.14 | 55% |
| Revenue | 16.2B | 8.3B | 195% |
| Total Cash | 160M | 237M | 68% |
| Total Debt | 1.64B | 4.03B | 41% |
CHRW | XPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CHRW's Valuation (60) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (89) in the Trucking industry. This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as CHRW (19) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to CHRW’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's SMR Rating (28) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (46) in the Trucking industry. This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPO (45) in the Trucking industry. This means that CHRW’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as CHRW (14) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to CHRW’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRW | XPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 68% | 26 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 53% | 14 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 86% |
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CHRW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHRW has been loosely correlated with LSTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CHRW jumps, then LSTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHRW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRW | 100% | N/A | ||
| LSTR - CHRW | 52% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| XPO - CHRW | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| HUBG - CHRW | 38% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| RLGT - CHRW | 37% Loosely correlated | +1.26% | ||
| JBHT - CHRW | 32% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
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XPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with FWRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then FWRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | 100% | +0.22% | ||
| FWRD - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| ODFL - XPO | 72% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| GXO - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | -1.52% | ||
| HUBG - XPO | 70% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| CVLG - XPO | 68% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
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