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CHRW vs UPS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) vs. United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CHRW has outperformed UPS year-to-date (YTD, a measure of performance from the start of the current year), gaining 14.24% compared to UPS's 9.40%.
- CHRW boasts a one-year return of 102.65%, far exceeding UPS's 15.58%, reflecting robust momentum in recent market activity.
- Both stocks await first-quarter 2026 earnings reports this week, with analysts projecting 6% EPS (earnings per share) growth for CHRW but a 28.9% decline for UPS.
- UPS offers a higher dividend yield of 6.13%, appealing to income-focused investors, while CHRW's yield stands at 1.38%.
- CHRW trades at a premium P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of 37.89 versus UPS's 16.31, signaling higher growth expectations.
Introduction
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) and United Parcel Service (UPS) operate in the logistics and transportation sector, where freight brokerage meets parcel delivery. This stock comparison is relevant for investors tracking supply chain dynamics, as both companies navigate freight volumes, fuel costs, and e-commerce trends. Traders seeking relative performance insights or sector exposure will find value in evaluating their business models, recent momentum, and market positioning amid ongoing economic shifts. With upcoming earnings and operational updates, the analysis highlights key contrasts for informed decision-making in today's volatile market.
CHRW Overview and Recent Performance
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) is a leading third-party logistics provider, specializing in freight transportation brokerage, including truckload, less-than-truckload, intermodal, and ocean services. In recent weeks, CHRW shares have shown strong upward momentum, trading around $183 with a market cap of $21.7 billion. The stock's 52-week range spans $86.58 to $203.34, underscoring volatility but significant recovery. Sentiment has been bolstered by valuation discussions and anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, where Wall Street expects modest revenue growth and EPS expansion. Recent news highlights share price strength, comparisons to peers like ZTO Express, and initiatives like new fuel card perks enhancing margins. Broader market activity in transportation has supported CHRW's outperformance, driven by stabilizing freight rates.
UPS Overview and Recent Performance
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in package delivery and supply chain management, operating a vast network of aircraft, vehicles, and facilities. Recently, shares hover near $107, with a substantial market cap of $90.9 billion. The 52-week range of $82 to $122.41 reflects pressures from volume declines, yet YTD gains stand at 9.40%. Key influences include a new surge emergency fee on imports/exports amid fuel cost rises, expansions in RFID technology and Happy Returns networks, and preparations for Q1 earnings on April 28, projecting an EPS decline. News coverage notes resilience despite market slips and potential catalysts in the second half of 2026, with focus on turnaround efforts and competitive positioning against USPS and peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CHRW's asset-light brokerage model contrasts with UPS's capital-intensive carrier operations, allowing CHRW greater flexibility amid freight volatility while exposing UPS to higher fixed costs. Growth drivers differ: CHRW benefits from freight rate stabilization and tech enhancements like AI-driven margins, while UPS pursues volume recovery through e-commerce expansions and fees. Recent momentum favors CHRW's superior YTD and one-year returns, but UPS exhibits stability with a lower P/E and higher dividend yield. Risk factors include sector-wide fuel and labor pressures, with CHRW facing brokerage competition and UPS grappling with parcel declines. Market sentiment leans positive on CHRW's earnings outlook versus UPS's projected dip, though UPS's scale provides defensive positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors CHRW due to its consistent upward trend, stronger relative performance, and positive earnings catalysts in recent market activity. While UPS offers value and yield appeal, CHRW's momentum and growth positioning suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance, barring surprises in upcoming reports.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHRW is a Hold and UPS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRW’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileUPS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CHRW’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- UPS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRW’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UPS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- UPS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRW (@Other Transportation) experienced а -4.55% price change this week, while UPS (@Other Transportation) price change was -1.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -1.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
UPS is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-1.91% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
| CHRW | UPS | CHRW / UPS | |
| Capitalization | 19.3B | 84.1B | 23% |
| EBITDA | 896M | 11.6B | 8% |
| Gain YTD | 2.108 | 1.129 | 187% |
| P/E Ratio | 33.11 | 16.01 | 207% |
| Revenue | 16.2B | 88.3B | 18% |
| Total Cash | 160M | 5.8B | 3% |
| Total Debt | 1.64B | 28.7B | 6% |
CHRW | UPS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 30 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UPS's Valuation (29) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CHRW (87). This means that UPS’s stock grew somewhat faster than CHRW’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is significantly better than the same rating for UPS (100). This means that CHRW’s stock grew significantly faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's SMR Rating (27) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (30). This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (59). This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as UPS (38). This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to UPS’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRW | UPS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 67% | 10 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 6 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 47% |
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CHRW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHRW has been loosely correlated with EXPD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CHRW jumps, then EXPD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHRW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRW | 100% | +2.38% | ||
| EXPD - CHRW | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.20% | ||
| LSTR - CHRW | 52% Loosely correlated | +4.82% | ||
| XPO - CHRW | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| HUBG - CHRW | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| RLGT - CHRW | 36% Loosely correlated | +0.97% | ||
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