Advertisement
CME vs TW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CME Group (CME) vs. Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CME Group operates the world's largest derivatives exchange, providing futures and options on interest rates, equities, and commodities, while Tradeweb Markets delivers electronic trading platforms primarily for fixed-income and derivatives markets.
- Both stocks operate in the financial infrastructure sector, benefiting from increased trading volumes and regulatory-driven electronic adoption, though they serve distinct client bases and product sets.
- Recent market activity has shown resilience in exchange and trading platform revenues amid fluctuating interest rates and equity volatility, supporting steady performance for both companies.
- CME maintains broader global exposure across asset classes, whereas TW focuses more on institutional fixed-income execution, creating different sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts.
- Sector sentiment remains constructive for both due to ongoing digitalization of trading, with relative momentum influenced by volume trends and competitive positioning in their niches.
- Investors comparing the two often weigh CME's scale and diversification against TW's specialized technology-driven growth in electronic markets.
Introduction
CME and TW represent two prominent players in the financial markets infrastructure space, each facilitating efficient trading and risk management for institutional participants. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance dynamics, and relative positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating exposure within the exchange and electronic trading segments. Market participants seeking to understand sector trends, competitive differentiation, and performance drivers in a post-rate-hike environment may find this analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
CME Overview and Recent Performance
CME Group operates major futures and options exchanges, serving as a central clearinghouse for derivatives across interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, and agricultural products. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected broader market stability tied to sustained trading volumes in key contracts, supported by ongoing hedging activity amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Sentiment has benefited from consistent revenue generation through transaction fees and clearing services, with limited exposure to single-day volatility. Key influences include steady demand for interest-rate products and equity index futures, contributing to resilient relative performance within the financials sector.
TW Overview and Recent Performance
Tradeweb Markets provides electronic trading platforms and data services focused on fixed-income securities, derivatives, and equities, connecting institutional buyers and sellers. Recent market activity has highlighted continued adoption of its protocols, particularly in U.S. Treasuries and credit markets, driving volume growth. The stock has shown steady behavior influenced by broader fixed-income trading trends and technological enhancements that improve execution efficiency. Performance drivers include expansion in electronic trading penetration and partnerships with major dealers, maintaining a constructive tone amid sector-wide digitalization efforts.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a curated Trending AI Robots section that showcases select AI trading bots optimized for prevailing market conditions. While hundreds of AI trading bots are available across thousands of tickers, only those demonstrating strong alignment with current volatility, liquidity, and trend patterns earn placement in this featured area. Available bots span a wide range of performance metrics, including varying win rates, profit factors, and drawdown profiles, with many operating across multiple timeframes and asset classes. Each bot employs distinct strategies, from trend-following to mean-reversion approaches, allowing users to match styles to their risk preferences. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to review detailed statistics and live performance data.
Head-to-Head Comparison
CME Group's diversified derivatives franchise contrasts with Tradeweb Markets' specialized electronic fixed-income focus, resulting in different growth drivers: CME benefits from multi-asset volume cycles, while TW gains from protocol adoption in dealer-to-client markets. Recent momentum has favored both through elevated trading activity, yet CME exhibits greater scale in global clearing and TW demonstrates targeted technology advantages in execution speed. Risk factors include regulatory changes for CME and competitive platform innovation for TW, with sector exposure centered on financial infrastructure but differentiated by product mix. Market sentiment reflects shared tailwinds from electronic trading trends, though relative positioning depends on interest-rate environment impacts on respective volumes.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in trading volumes, operational stability, and positioning within electronic infrastructure, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference toward CME for its broader diversification and resilient clearing revenue streams amid varied market conditions. This assessment remains data-driven and subject to shifts in relative momentum or catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CME is a Buy and TW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CME’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CME’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CME’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CME’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CME (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +4.19% price change this week, while TW (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -0.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -3.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.93%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was +0.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.77%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
CME is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
TW is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-3.25% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Investment Banks/Brokers (+0.63% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| CME | TW | CME / TW | |
| Capitalization | 92.2B | 21.3B | 433% |
| EBITDA | 6.1B | 1.51B | 405% |
| Gain YTD | -5.638 | -6.934 | 81% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.65 | 24.64 | 88% |
| Revenue | 6.76B | 2.16B | 313% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.94B | - |
| Total Debt | 3.42B | 143M | 2,394% |
CME | TW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 37 Fair valued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 55 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CME's Valuation (37) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TW (93) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CME’s stock grew somewhat faster than TW’s over the last 12 months.
CME's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (81) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CME’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
CME's SMR Rating (55) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (61) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CME’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
CME's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (60) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CME’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
CME's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as TW (96) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CME’s stock grew similarly to TW’s over the last 12 months.
| CME | TW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 30 days ago 41% | 17 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 54% |
Advertisement
CME and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CME has been loosely correlated with TW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CME jumps, then TW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CME | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CME | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| TW - CME | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| ICE - CME | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| MKTX - CME | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.08% | ||
| NDAQ - CME | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.85% | ||
| SNEX - CME | 23% Poorly correlated | -0.80% | ||
More | ||||
TW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TW has been loosely correlated with MKTX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TW jumps, then MKTX could also see price increases.