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CMG vs SG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) vs. Sweetgreen (SG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CMG boasts a market capitalization of approximately $42 billion and remains profitable with a trailing twelve months (TTM) price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.26, contrasting SG's $844 million market cap and ongoing losses.
- Recent quarters show CMG with modest comparable sales growth of 0.5% amid margin pressures, while SG has exhibited stronger short-term stock momentum, rising over 30% in April.
- Both operate in the fast-casual dining sector, but CMG benefits from a mature network of restaurants, whereas SG focuses on salad-centric healthy eating with expansion potential.
- Year-to-date performance favors CMG at 10.86% gains versus SG's 5.03%, though SG shows recent volatility with a wider 52-week range.
- Analyst sentiment is mixed for both, with CMG facing target cuts post-earnings but retaining overweight ratings, and SG holding neutral outlooks ahead of Q1 results.
Introduction
This comparison examines CMG and SG, two players in the fast-casual restaurant sector offering customizable meals. CMG specializes in Mexican-inspired fare, while SG emphasizes salads and healthy options. Investors tracking consumer discretionary stocks, particularly those sensitive to dining trends and economic shifts, may find value in assessing their relative performance, growth trajectories, and market positioning amid recent industry pressures like margin squeezes and shifting consumer traffic.
CMG Overview and Recent Performance
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) operates a chain of fast-casual restaurants featuring burritos, bowls, and tacos made with responsibly sourced ingredients. With a presence across North America and Europe, it leverages digital ordering and delivery for efficiency. In recent market activity, CMG reported first-quarter 2026 results showing revenue of $3.09 billion, slightly above expectations, and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24, aligning with or narrowly missing consensus. Comparable restaurant sales rose 0.5%, but operating margins contracted to 12.9% due to labor and commodity costs. The stock, trading around $33 with a year-to-date gain of 10.86%, has faced volatility post-earnings, influenced by analyst adjustments and broader sector traffic concerns.
SG Overview and Recent Performance
Sweetgreen (SG) runs fast-casual outlets centered on customizable salads, warm bowls, and plant-based proteins, targeting health-conscious consumers via online and app ordering. Operating primarily in the U.S., it emphasizes sustainable sourcing. Recent weeks have seen SG stock surge over 30% in April, closing near $7.10 with year-to-date returns of 5.03%. This momentum precedes first-quarter earnings on May 7, amid news of executive hires and menu innovations. However, the company reports TTM EPS of -$1.14 and no P/E due to losses, reflecting growth investments. Trading volume has risen, signaling shifting sentiment in a challenging environment for smaller chains.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CMG and SG both tap fast-casual dining but diverge in scale and focus: CMG's established Mexican menu drives steady traffic via brand loyalty, while SG's health-oriented salads appeal to niche demographics amid wellness trends. Growth drivers include CMG's planned 350 restaurant openings in 2026 and SG's expansion hires. Recent momentum favors SG with short-term gains, versus CMG's post-earnings dip. Risks for CMG center on margin erosion from costs, while SG grapples with profitability and competition. Market sentiment reflects CMG's stability in consumer cyclicals against SG's higher volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward CMG based on superior trend consistency, profitability metrics, and expansive market positioning amid sector headwinds. While SG displays promising short-term momentum and growth catalysts, its loss-making profile introduces elevated risks. This probabilistic edge favors CMG for relative stability in recent market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMG is a Hold and SG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CMG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SG’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CMG (@Restaurants) experienced а -1.92% price change this week, while SG (@Restaurants) price change was -4.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Restaurants industry was -3.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMG is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Restaurants (-3.02% weekly)The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.
| CMG | SG | CMG / SG | |
| Capitalization | 41.2B | 782M | 5,269% |
| EBITDA | 2.31B | 92.6M | 2,494% |
| Gain YTD | -13.216 | -2.663 | 496% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.46 | 54.83 | 54% |
| Revenue | 12.1B | 675M | 1,793% |
| Total Cash | 869M | 157M | 554% |
| Total Debt | 5.25B | 356M | 1,474% |
CMG | SG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 96 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 36 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMG's Valuation (83) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as SG (99) in the Multi Line Insurance industry. This means that CMG’s stock grew similarly to SG’s over the last 12 months.
CMG's Profit vs Risk Rating (96) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as SG (100) in the Multi Line Insurance industry. This means that CMG’s stock grew similarly to SG’s over the last 12 months.
CMG's SMR Rating (20) in the Restaurants industry is significantly better than the same rating for SG (87) in the Multi Line Insurance industry. This means that CMG’s stock grew significantly faster than SG’s over the last 12 months.
SG's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Multi Line Insurance industry is in the same range as CMG (62) in the Restaurants industry. This means that SG’s stock grew similarly to CMG’s over the last 12 months.
SG's P/E Growth Rating (56) in the Multi Line Insurance industry is in the same range as CMG (83) in the Restaurants industry. This means that SG’s stock grew similarly to CMG’s over the last 12 months.
| CMG | SG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 61% | 9 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 81% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| XAR | 270.11 | 1.69 | +0.63% |
| Stt Strt® SPDR® S&P® Arspc & Dfnc ETF | |||
| CSM | 84.76 | 0.23 | +0.27% |
| ProShares Large Cap Core Plus | |||
| DAGXF | 2.10 | N/A | N/A |
| Deutsche Bank AG (London Branch) | |||
| MGOV | 20.14 | -0.02 | -0.10% |
| First Trust Intermediate Gvt Opps ETF | |||
| XYZY | 26.43 | -1.22 | -4.42% |
| YieldMax XYZ Option Income Strategy ETF | |||
CMG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMG has been loosely correlated with FRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CMG jumps, then FRSH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CMG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMG | 100% | -1.71% | ||
| FRSH - CMG | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.53% | ||
| SG - CMG | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| CAKE - CMG | 48% Loosely correlated | -6.48% | ||
| CAVA - CMG | 45% Loosely correlated | -6.32% | ||
| WING - CMG | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.54% | ||
More | ||||
SG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SG has been loosely correlated with CAVA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SG jumps, then CAVA could also see price increases.