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COIN vs TTD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coinbase Global (COIN) vs. The Trade Desk (TTD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COIN has surged in recent market activity amid cryptocurrency rallies and positive legislative developments on stablecoins, contrasting with TTD's more measured gains.
- TTD boasts stronger year-to-date performance at approximately 36%, outperforming COIN's 9% gain, driven by ad tech sector resilience.
- TTD offers lower volatility with a beta of 1.10 compared to COIN's 3.38, appealing to stability-focused investors.
- Both stocks approach Q1 earnings with analyst interest, but COIN benefits from broader crypto market tailwinds.
- TTD's lower P/E ratio (27.13) suggests relative value versus COIN's 45.89 (price-to-earnings ratio).
Introduction
This comparison examines COIN (Coinbase Global) and TTD (The Trade Desk), two prominent technology stocks representing distinct sectors: cryptocurrency infrastructure and digital advertising. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye COIN's volatility tied to crypto trends, while investors prioritizing steady growth might prefer TTD's platform model. In the current market environment, marked by regulatory shifts and ad spending recovery, understanding their relative performance, risks, and catalysts aids informed portfolio decisions for both short-term traders and long-term holders.
COIN Overview and Recent Performance
Coinbase Global (COIN) operates a leading cryptocurrency exchange platform, offering trading, custody, and developer tools for digital assets. In recent weeks, COIN shares have exhibited strong upward momentum, trading around $205 with a market cap exceeding $54 billion. This performance stems from Bitcoin surpassing $80,000 amid market enthusiasm and legislative progress on stablecoin regulations, boosting platform transaction volumes. Sentiment has shifted positively with upcoming Q1 earnings and analyst optimism, though high beta (3.38) reflects sensitivity to crypto volatility. Broader adoption and regulatory clarity continue to influence investor positioning.
TTD Overview and Recent Performance
The Trade Desk (TTD) provides a demand-side platform for programmatic digital advertising across channels like connected TV (CTV), display, and audio. Shares recently hover near $24, with a $11.6 billion market cap and year-to-date gains of about 36%. Recent market activity shows mixed moves, including drops amid broader indices but buoyed by analyst upgrades to Neutral from Wedbush and partnerships like DramaBox for enhanced ad capabilities. Lower beta (1.10) underscores relative stability, with sentiment supported by anticipated ad spending recovery and Q1 earnings on May 7. Growth in CTV and data-driven campaigns drives ongoing interest.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
COIN and TTD diverge sharply in business models: COIN derives revenue primarily from crypto trading fees, highly sensitive to asset volatility and adoption, while TTD earns from ad auction platforms, benefiting from independent DSP (demand-side platform) positioning amid rising CTV spend. Growth drivers contrast too—COIN leverages regulatory tailwinds and blockchain expansion, versus TTD's data optimization and agency partnerships. Recent momentum favors COIN's surge, but TTD shows superior YTD returns and lower risk via reduced beta. Sector exposures highlight trade-offs: crypto's high-reward volatility against ad tech's cyclical yet predictable flows, with market sentiment tilting toward stability in uncertain times.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TTD with higher probability due to its trend consistency, lower volatility, stronger YTD performance, and positioning ahead of ad recovery catalysts, offering a more stable profile amid COIN's crypto-driven swings. However, COIN could outperform if regulatory momentum persists.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COIN is a StrongBuy and TTD is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COIN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTTD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- COIN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COIN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTD’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COIN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TTD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
COIN (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -19.38% price change this week, while TTD (@Advertising/Marketing Services) price change was -7.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -4.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.19%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Advertising/Marketing Services industry was -2.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
COIN is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
TTD is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-4.17% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Advertising/Marketing Services (-2.10% weekly)Making a brand known to people, garnering more clients/consumers for its product and solidifying the brand’s position in an industry – all of these are essential to a company’s growth, and that’s where marketing/advertising come in as one of the key catalysts. Advertising industry is a global multibillion-dollar business of public relations and marketing companies, media services and advertising agencies – entities that help to connect manufacturers/producers with customers. Digital media has played a big role in the growth of global advertising, and agencies invest substantially to integrate advanced technologies into their business operations. According to some estimates, the U.S. advertising industry is expected to generate revenue of $52.6 billion by 2023, up from almost $40 billion in 2015 . Omnicom Group Inc., Trade Desk, Inc. and Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. are some of the major U.S. companies in the industry.
| COIN | TTD | COIN / TTD | |
| Capitalization | 40.2B | 9.89B | 407% |
| EBITDA | 1.29B | 716M | 179% |
| Gain YTD | -32.608 | -47.445 | 69% |
| P/E Ratio | 56.03 | 22.67 | 247% |
| Revenue | 6.56B | 2.97B | 221% |
| Total Cash | 10.7B | 1.41B | 761% |
| Total Debt | 7.96B | 424M | 1,878% |
TTD | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| COIN | TTD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 85% | 6 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 77% |
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TTD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTD has been closely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TTD jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTD | 100% | -5.14% | ||
| CLSK - TTD | 68% Closely correlated | -7.09% | ||
| COIN - TTD | 66% Closely correlated | -7.15% | ||
| RIOT - TTD | 62% Loosely correlated | -10.27% | ||
| SAIL - TTD | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.99% | ||
| DDOG - TTD | 55% Loosely correlated | -3.90% | ||
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