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CP vs CSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) vs. CSX Corporation (CSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CP and CSX are leading North American railroad operators with exposure to freight, intermodal, and bulk commodities.
- Both stocks have delivered strong year-to-date gains in 2026, with CSX posting approximately 41% returns compared to roughly 29% for CP.
- Upcoming second-quarter earnings releases—CSX on July 22 and CP on July 29—represent key near-term catalysts.
- CP benefits from recent grain volume records and merger integration synergies, while CSX has seen efficiency gains and dividend stability.
- Rail sector sentiment remains supported by infrastructure spending and economic resilience, though both face volume and cost pressures common to the industry.
- Relative positioning shows trade-offs in market capitalization, growth drivers, and recent momentum between the two peers.
Introduction
Railroad operators CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City) and CSX (CSX Corporation) serve as core holdings in many transportation and industrial portfolios. Investors and traders often compare these two stocks when evaluating sector allocation, relative value, or momentum strategies within the ground transportation industry. This analysis examines their business profiles, recent price behavior, and market positioning to provide context for those monitoring rail equities in the current environment.
CP Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Pacific Kansas City operates an extensive North American rail network following its merger with Kansas City Southern, transporting grain, coal, intermodal containers, and automotive products. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near multi-month highs amid positive volume trends, including new monthly grain records. Market activity reflects investor focus on integration synergies and upcoming second-quarter results scheduled for July 29. Broader sentiment has been supported by commodity demand and operational milestones, contributing to year-to-date gains of approximately 29%.
CSX Overview and Recent Performance
CSX Corporation manages a major eastern U.S. rail system focused on merchandise, coal, and intermodal freight. Recent market activity shows the shares advancing toward the upper end of their 52-week range, supported by operational efficiency initiatives and a quarterly dividend declaration. The company is set to report second-quarter results on July 22. Performance in recent weeks has aligned with sector resilience, with year-to-date returns reaching approximately 41% amid steady investor interest in rail infrastructure themes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies operate Class I railroads but differ in geographic focus and commodity mix: CP offers broader North American reach post-merger, while CSX concentrates on eastern U.S. corridors. Growth drivers include volume recovery for CP in grains and intermodal, contrasted with CSX emphasis on cost control and yard modernization. Recent momentum favors CSX on a year-to-date basis, though CP shows resilience tied to merger-related catalysts. Risk factors for both include fuel costs, labor agreements, and economic sensitivity; CP carries additional integration execution considerations. Market sentiment reflects shared sector tailwinds from infrastructure investment, with positioning depending on investor preference for Canadian-U.S. cross-border exposure versus domestic eastern density.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, volume catalysts, and relative momentum in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to CSX due to its stronger year-to-date performance and upcoming earnings visibility. However, CP remains competitive given its grain momentum and merger synergies, suggesting outcomes could shift with earnings results or broader economic data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CP is a StrongBuy and CSX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCSX’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CSX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CSX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CSX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CP (@Railroads) experienced а -1.44% price change this week, while CSX (@Railroads) price change was +4.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Railroads industry was +2.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
CP is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
CSX is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Railroads (+2.94% weekly)The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.
| CP | CSX | CP / CSX | |
| Capitalization | 82.1B | 98.6B | 83% |
| EBITDA | 8.32B | 6.49B | 128% |
| Gain YTD | 25.438 | 47.777 | 53% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.04 | 30.95 | 94% |
| Revenue | 15B | 14.2B | 106% |
| Total Cash | 409M | 1.11B | 37% |
| Total Debt | 24.3B | 19.3B | 126% |
CP | CSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 4 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 30 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CSX's Valuation (90) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (92). This means that CSX’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (65). This means that CSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's SMR Rating (40) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (77). This means that CSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (42). This means that CSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (34). This means that CSX’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
| CP | CSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 38% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 58% |
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CSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CSX has been closely correlated with UNP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CSX jumps, then UNP could also see price increases.