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CP vs CSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) vs. CSX Corporation (CSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CSX has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 26%, outpacing CP's 17%.
- Both stocks trade at comparable valuations, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios near 27, reflecting similar growth expectations.
- CSX recently reported strong Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) growth of 26% and operating income up 20%, enhancing market sentiment.
- CP shows steady price action near 52-week highs, supported by tentative labor agreements and anticipation for upcoming Q1 results.
- Rail sector tailwinds from industrial demand contrast with shared risks like fuel costs and economic sensitivity.
Introduction
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) and CSX Corporation (CSX) are leading Class I railroads, key players in North American freight transportation. This comparison evaluates their recent market positioning, performance, and operational dynamics amid recovering industrial volumes and supply chain shifts. Investors tracking transportation equities, seeking exposure to cyclical industrials, or assessing relative strength in railroads will find value in understanding their contrasts—such as geographic scope and momentum—in today's environment. Both stocks offer insights into sector trends like intermodal growth and efficiency gains.
CP Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP), trading around $87 per share with a market cap of about $78 billion, operates a single-line rail network spanning over 20,000 miles across Canada, the U.S., and Mexico following its Kansas City Southern merger. In recent market activity, CP has maintained steady performance near its 52-week high of $89.42, with YTD gains of 17%. Sentiment has been bolstered by tentative long-term labor agreements with unions like SMART-TD and BLET, reducing operational risks, alongside analyst price target adjustments for rail peers. Investors await Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, expected to reflect merger synergies and volume trends, amid a P/E ratio of 26.33.
CSX Overview and Recent Performance
CSX Corporation (CSX), with shares near $46 and a market cap exceeding $84 billion, provides rail freight services across the Eastern U.S., emphasizing intermodal and merchandise volumes. Recent weeks have seen robust momentum, with YTD returns of 26% and a 52-week range from $27.52 to $46.55, driven by a strong Q1 2026 earnings report: EPS of $0.43 (up 26% year-over-year), operating income rising 20% to support raised full-year guidance despite minor revenue shortfalls. Efficiency initiatives offset fuel pressures, though some analysts note stretched valuations at a P/E of 27.99; overall, positive catalysts have fueled outperformance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CP and CSX both thrive on freight volumes but differ in scope: CP’s transnational network provides Mexico exposure and merger-driven growth, while CSX dominates Eastern U.S. intermodal with operational precision. Recent momentum favors CSX (26% YTD vs. 17%), reflecting earnings beats versus CP’s steadier consolidation. Risk factors align—cyclical demand, fuel volatility, labor—but CP benefits from diversification, trading off against CSX’s higher beta (1.25 vs. 1.19). Sector sentiment tilts positive on industrial recovery, yet valuations suggest caution for momentum chasers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor CSX over CP, citing superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and fresh earnings catalysts amid rail sector uptrends. While CP offers stability and geographic advantages, CSX’s relative positioning signals higher near-term probability of gains, subject to broader economic factors.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CP is a Hold and CSX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCSX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CSX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CSX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- CSX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CP (@Railroads) experienced а +1.97% price change this week, while CSX (@Railroads) price change was +3.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Railroads industry was -1.36%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
CP is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
CSX is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Railroads (-1.36% weekly)The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.
| CP | CSX | CP / CSX | |
| Capitalization | 77.3B | 85.3B | 91% |
| EBITDA | 8.32B | 6.49B | 128% |
| Gain YTD | 18.023 | 27.093 | 67% |
| P/E Ratio | 26.57 | 28.17 | 94% |
| Revenue | 15B | 14.2B | 106% |
| Total Cash | 409M | 1.11B | 37% |
| Total Debt | 24.3B | 19.3B | 126% |
CP | CSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 43 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CP's Valuation (81) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CSX (85). This means that CP’s stock grew similarly to CSX’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (66). This means that CSX’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's SMR Rating (40) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (75). This means that CSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Railroads industry is in the same range as CP (48). This means that CSX’s stock grew similarly to CP’s over the last 12 months.
CSX's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Railroads industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CP (55). This means that CSX’s stock grew somewhat faster than CP’s over the last 12 months.
| CP | CSX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 53% | 10 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 58% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| OSCV | 40.66 | 0.24 | +0.59% |
| Opus Small Cap Value Plus ETF | |||
| DFAS | 76.90 | 0.40 | +0.52% |
| Dimensional US Small Cap ETF | |||
| MBNE | 29.00 | N/A | N/A |
| State Street® Nuveen Muncpl Bd ESG ETF | |||
| SPTB | 29.97 | -0.01 | -0.02% |
| State Street® SPDR® Portfolio Trs ETF | |||
| FIAX | 17.66 | -0.02 | -0.09% |
| Nicholas Fixed Income Alternative ETF | |||
CP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CP has been closely correlated with CNI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CP jumps, then CNI could also see price increases.
CSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CSX has been closely correlated with NSC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CSX jumps, then NSC could also see price increases.