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CPRI vs TPR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Capri Holdings (CPRI) vs. Tapestry (TPR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Contrasting trajectories: CPRI is an early-stage turnaround story, while TPR is a larger, higher-margin operator delivering consistent growth.
- Relative performance: TPR shares have outperformed over the past year, though both names trade well below recent and analyst-price-target levels.
- Scale and profitability: Tapestry generates roughly $8 billion in annual revenue versus Capri's approximately $3.5 billion, with a materially higher gross margin.
- Catalysts differ: CPRI is driven by a brand turnaround and reported takeover interest, while TPR leans on Coach's momentum and capital returns.
- Risk profiles: CPRI carries execution and concentration risk; TPR faces tariff exposure and weakness at Kate Spade.
Introduction
Investors comparing CPRI (Capri Holdings) and TPR (Tapestry) are weighing two very different plays on the same accessible-luxury market. Capri, owner of Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo, is attempting a restructuring after its proposed merger with Tapestry collapsed and its Versace brand was sold. Tapestry, parent of Coach and Kate Spade, has emerged as a steadier compounder powered by Coach's resurgence. This stock comparison matters for traders focused on relative momentum and for longer-horizon investors assessing market positioning, balance-sheet quality, and brand durability across the retail sector.
CPRI Overview and Recent Performance
Capri Holdings is a global fashion luxury group built around two brands: Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo. Following the collapse of its planned acquisition by Tapestry on antitrust grounds, Capri sold Versace to Prada for roughly $1.375 billion in cash, a transaction completed in December 2025. The divestiture allowed the company to cut net debt from about $1.4 billion to approximately $222 million and refocus on its remaining portfolio.
Recent market activity reflects a stock still rebuilding credibility. Shares have traded near the mid-teens to low-$20s range over recent months and have underperformed the broader market on a trailing basis, though sentiment improved in recent weeks after Women's Wear Daily reported that Capri has been in contact with potential buyers. The company has also returned to profitability, posting adjusted earnings per share of $0.22 in its fiscal fourth quarter, and guided to a return to low-single-digit revenue growth alongside roughly 40% earnings growth for fiscal 2027. A potential $65 million refund of disputed tariffs and a fresh share-repurchase program provide additional support, but execution risk around the Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo turnarounds remains the central debate.
TPR Overview and Recent Performance
Tapestry is a house of premium brands anchored by Coach, with Kate Spade as its second pillar following the divestiture of Stuart Weitzman. The company closed its fiscal 2026 with revenue of about $8 billion, up roughly 14%, and gross margins near 83%—levels well above most apparel and accessories peers. Coach has been the primary engine, growing revenue about 24% for the year and posting strong gains in Greater China and Europe.
Despite solid fundamentals, TPR shares have experienced a notable pullback. The stock reached a 52-week high near the mid-$160s in early August and has since retreated significantly, in part because an otherwise strong outlook failed to exceed already-elevated expectations. The company raised its dividend, committed to substantial buybacks, and returned roughly $1.7 billion to shareholders during fiscal 2026, with a similar amount planned for fiscal 2027. Kate Spade, however, remains a drag, with management guiding to a high-single-digit revenue decline for the brand. Tariff exposure on U.S. imports is another monitored risk, though management has built meaningful tariff assumptions into its guidance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is scale and margin quality. Tapestry is a roughly $26 billion company with a diversified, direct-to-consumer-heavy model and industry-leading gross margins, while Capri is a much smaller company with a mid-teens share price, lower margins, and heavier reliance on a turnaround of Michael Kors. Growth drivers also diverge: Tapestry's momentum is concentrated in Coach and international markets, whereas Capri's case rests on margin repair, product resets, and the possibility of strategic interest from acquirers.
Sentiment reflects these differences. Tapestry carries a broad Buy consensus but has been punished recently for merely meeting high expectations—a sign of demanding valuations and crowded positioning. Capri carries a more mixed-to-favorable analyst view with a consensus price target well above its current price, but its own momentum is more volatile and tied to event-driven news such as takeover speculation. From a risk standpoint, Tapestry's exposures include tariffs and Kate Spade weakness; Capri's include brand fatigue, inventory management, and uncertainty around whether a sale will materialize.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward TPR at present. Tapestry offers more consistent trend strength, superior margins, stronger free cash flow, and clearer catalysts in the form of capital returns and international expansion. While CPRI presents a potentially larger percentage upside if its turnaround and takeover interest progress, its price action is more event-driven and less stable, which tends to be less favorable for trend-consistency models. The assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: a shift in momentum, a confirmed acquisition premium, or further deterioration in Kate Spade could alter the relative positioning of the two names.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CPRI is a Buy and TPR is a StrongBuy.
CPRI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026
CPRI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 24 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CPRI as a result. In 46 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CPRI just turned positive on October 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where CPRI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +24.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CPRI advanced for three days, in 192 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 175 cases where CPRI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CPRI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
CPRI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CPRI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 54 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.512) is normal, around the industry mean (6.274). P/E Ratio (15.423) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.068). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.188) is also within normal values, averaging (0.396). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.509) is also within normal values, averaging (2.867).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CPRI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
TPR's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPR turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TPR as a result. In 55 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
TPR moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPR advanced for three days, in 230 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
TPR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 221 of 297 cases where TPR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TPR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TPR's P/B Ratio (34.791) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.515). P/E Ratio (16.123) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.299). TPR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.624) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.396). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.106) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.097) is also within normal values, averaging (2.867).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
CPRI | TPR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CPRI's Valuation (54) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TPR (80). This means that CPRI’s stock grew similarly to TPR’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for CPRI (100). This means that TPR’s stock grew significantly faster than CPRI’s over the last 12 months.
CPRI's SMR Rating (10) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TPR (11). This means that CPRI’s stock grew similarly to TPR’s over the last 12 months.
CPRI's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TPR (59). This means that CPRI’s stock grew similarly to TPR’s over the last 12 months.
CPRI's P/E Growth Rating (89) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TPR (96). This means that CPRI’s stock grew similarly to TPR’s over the last 12 months.
| CPRI | TPR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 72% | 12 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 1 day ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CPRI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TPR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CPRI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TPR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CPRI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CPRI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
CPRI (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) experienced а +28.77% price change this week, while TPR (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) price change was +8.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry was +6.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.94%.
Reported Earning Dates
CPRI is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
TPR is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Catalog/Specialty Distribution (+6.43% weekly)The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.
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CPRI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CPRI has been loosely correlated with TPR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CPRI jumps, then TPR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CPRI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPRI | 100% | +0.05% | ||
| TPR - CPRI | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| MOV - CPRI | 43% Loosely correlated | -0.50% | ||
| SIG - CPRI | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.88% | ||
| ELA - CPRI | 17% Poorly correlated | +0.18% | ||
| LUXE - CPRI | 11% Poorly correlated | +0.50% | ||
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