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CPRT vs LOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Copart, Inc. (CPRT) vs. Lowe's Companies (LOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CPRT (Copart) is pivoting toward digital marketplaces via its $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition, even as core U.S. insurance volumes soften.
- LOW (Lowe's) is leaning on Pro, online, and services growth to offset persistent do-it-yourself (DIY) and housing-market weakness.
- Both stocks have declined roughly 26% over the trailing year, reflecting distinct sector-specific headwinds rather than a shared catalyst.
- Copart offers a debt-free balance sheet and strong international momentum; Lowe's offers a mature cash-return profile with a dividend yield near 2.6%.
- Relative performance and market positioning diverge sharply: Copart is a growth-priced marketplace operator, while Lowe's trades at a value-oriented multiple.
Introduction
Copart and Lowe's operate in different corners of the economy, yet both currently sit in investor focus as their shares navigate sector-specific pressures. Copart runs a global online vehicle auction platform, while Lowe's is one of the largest home-improvement retailers in North America. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors weighing a higher-multiple marketplace business against a cyclical, dividend-paying retailer. Both names have faced softening demand in their core U.S. franchises during recent market activity, making their relative performance a useful lens on how AI-driven and quantitative systems might assess trend consistency, stability, and catalysts.
CPRT Overview and Recent Performance
Copart is a leading provider of online vehicle auctions, primarily remarketing salvaged and used vehicles for insurance companies, dealers, and other sellers. In its most recent quarterly report, the company posted revenue of $1.2 billion, up 2.4% year over year, while net income attributable to Copart declined 17.4% as costs rose and interest income fell following heavy share repurchases. Domestic insurance volumes have been a pressure point, with U.S. insurance units down in the mid-single digits in recent quarters, though total-loss frequency has climbed to record levels, a longer-term structural tailwind.
The defining recent development is Copart's agreement to acquire ACV Auctions, a primarily digital automotive marketplace, for an implied equity value of about $1.9 billion in cash. Analysts have framed the deal as a step toward an end-to-end remarketing platform spanning dealer-to-dealer and commercial vehicle auctions. International momentum remains a bright spot, with international revenue up double digits in the latest quarter. Despite this, the shares have pulled back materially over the past year, and market sentiment has been split between the long-term strategic case and near-term margin compression.
LOW Overview and Recent Performance
Lowe's is a major home-improvement retailer serving both DIY customers and professional (Pro) contractors. Recent quarters have shown resilience in Pro, home services, and e-commerce, with online sales up 15.7% in its latest reported period and comparable sales roughly flat. However, DIY demand remains soft amid elevated interest rates and low housing turnover, and comparable transactions have continued to decline as consumers favor smaller repair and maintenance projects over larger discretionary purchases.
The company has reduced its fiscal 2026 outlook, trimming total sales expectations to approximately $92 billion and comparable sales to roughly flat, while guiding adjusted diluted EPS (earnings per share) to about $12.25. Its recent acquisitions of Foundation Building Materials and Artisan Design Group are intended to deepen Pro and residential-construction exposure, though near-term integration and housing headwinds have weighed on results. Lowe's continues to generate strong free cash flow and returns capital through dividends and buybacks, but the stock has underperformed over the past year as the market weighs cyclical risks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies represent fundamentally different business models. Copart is an asset-light digital marketplace with a debt-free balance sheet, roughly $5.7 billion in liquidity, and a growth narrative anchored in international expansion and the ACV acquisition. Its challenge is cost discipline and softer domestic insurance volumes, which have pressured margins even as revenue per unit rises. Lowe's, by contrast, is a mature, cash-generative retailer with a substantial dividend and a low-teens forward earnings multiple, but its growth is tied to a housing cycle that remains subdued.
Risk profiles also contrast. Copart's valuation embeds higher growth expectations, so any slowdown in its core franchise or integration missteps could weigh disproportionately on sentiment. Lowe's faces macroeconomic risk through housing turnover and DIY spending, but its valuation already reflects a degree of cyclical caution. Sector exposure differs as well: Copart sits at the intersection of insurance, automotive, and digital marketplaces, while Lowe's is a pure-play consumer-discretionary retailer sensitive to rates and housing activity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor LOW on stability and risk-adjusted positioning, while acknowledging CPRT as the higher-momentum, higher-upside candidate. Lowe's offers steadier cash generation, a defensive dividend, and a valuation that leaves room for mean reversion if housing stabilizes. Copart's trend has been less consistent recently, with margin compression and a significant acquisition introducing integration uncertainty, even as its international growth and structural tailwinds remain compelling. In probabilistic terms, an AI model emphasizing trend consistency and lower downside volatility would lean toward Lowe's in the current environment, while a growth- and catalyst-oriented model might assign Copart a higher reward profile with greater variance.
Disclaimer
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CPRT is a Hold and LOW is a StrongBuy.
CPRT | LOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 6 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LOW's Valuation (5) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is significantly better than the same rating for CPRT (74) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew significantly faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as CPRT (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's SMR Rating (6) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (53) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as CPRT (64) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's P/E Growth Rating (68) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as CPRT (84) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
| CPRT | LOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 19 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CPRT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while LOW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- LOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CPRT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LOW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CPRT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CPRT (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а -2.67% price change this week, while LOW (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was -3.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was -3.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.68%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was -2.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
CPRT is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
LOW is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (-3.77% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Home Improvement Chains (-2.38% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
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CPRT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CPRT has been loosely correlated with FND. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CPRT jumps, then FND could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CPRT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPRT | 100% | +0.04% | ||
| FND - CPRT | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| WSM - CPRT | 63% Loosely correlated | +2.39% | ||
| RH - CPRT | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.02% | ||
| HD - CPRT | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.71% | ||
| LOW - CPRT | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.04% | ||
More | ||||
LOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOW has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LOW jumps, then HD could also see price increases.