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CPRT vs LOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Copart (CPRT) vs. Lowe's Companies (LOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Copart (CPRT) has experienced significant price erosion in recent months, with its stock trading near 52-week lows amid decelerating revenue growth and competitive pressures in its core insurance auction vertical.
- Lowe's Companies (LOW) has demonstrated resilience through its "Total Home" strategy, delivering positive comparable sales growth across recent quarters despite persistent housing market headwinds.
- Copart's revenue growth has decelerated from a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% to below 7% over the past two years, driven by declining insurance unit volumes and market share shifts.
- Lowe's has expanded its professional contractor segment through strategic acquisitions including Foundation Building Materials (FBM) and Artisan Design Group (ADG), positioning itself for long-term market share gains.
- Copart offers no dividend and carries a modest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 17, while Lowe's provides a dividend yield near 1.8% with a disciplined capital return program that delivered $2.6 billion to shareholders in its last fiscal year.
- Both companies face macroeconomic headwinds, but the nature and severity of these challenges differ meaningfully, creating a stark risk-reward contrast between the two stocks.
Introduction
Comparing CPRT and LOW brings together two markedly different businesses: one is a global leader in online vehicle auctions and salvage remarketing, while the other is a Fortune 50 home improvement retail giant. Though they operate in entirely different industries, both stocks command significant attention from growth-oriented and value-conscious investors alike. This comparison is particularly relevant for market participants seeking to understand how companies with different business models, growth trajectories, and risk profiles perform under a shared macroeconomic environment shaped by elevated interest rates, shifting consumer behavior, and evolving competitive dynamics. By examining both stocks side by side, investors can gain a clearer picture of where relative strength and weakness currently reside.
CPRT Overview and Recent Performance
CPRT — Copart, Inc. — is a Dallas-based online vehicle auction and remarketing services company operating across 11 countries with over 250 locations. The company primarily serves property and casualty (P&C) insurance carriers, processing vehicles deemed total losses and selling them through its proprietary online auction platform. Copart operates in a near-duopoly alongside RB Global's IAA, giving it historically strong pricing power and enviable operating margins that have averaged around 38% over the past five years.
Recent market activity, however, has painted a more challenging picture. Copart's stock has experienced a meaningful decline, falling to approximately $27–$28 per share in recent weeks — near its 52-week low — representing a year-to-date decline of roughly 29%. The company's revenue growth has decelerated notably, dropping from a five-year CAGR of approximately 15% to a two-year rate near 6.6%. In its most recently reported quarter, total revenue declined year over year, falling short of analyst consensus estimates. Management has attributed the slowdown primarily to declining insurance unit volumes, driven by fewer claims and a measurable shift in consumer auto insurance purchasing behavior, with some policyholders opting for less comprehensive coverage. Compounding these pressures, competitor IAA — now backed by RB Global's deeper resources — has gained traction with at least one major national insurance carrier, intensifying market share concerns. On a positive note, Copart continues to see robust international buyer demand, with vehicles purchased by overseas buyers commanding values approximately 38% higher than domestic purchases, and the company is actively diversifying into non-insurance verticals such as dealer consignments and equipment auctions through its Purple Wave platform.
LOW Overview and Recent Performance
LOW — Lowe's Companies, Inc. — is a Mooresville, North Carolina-based home improvement retailer operating approximately 1,759 stores across the United States, with roughly 196 million square feet of retail selling space. The company serves approximately 16 million customer transactions weekly and generated total fiscal year 2025 sales exceeding $86 billion. Lowe's operates across both DIY (do-it-yourself) and Pro (professional contractor) segments, with its "Total Home" strategy emphasizing integrated strength across in-store, online, and home services channels.
In recent quarters, Lowe's has demonstrated notable operational resilience despite a challenging housing market backdrop characterized by mortgage rates hovering around 6% and housing turnover at multi-decade lows. The company delivered positive comparable sales growth in multiple recent quarters, including a 1.3% increase in its fiscal fourth quarter, supported by solid holiday demand and continued momentum in its Pro and online segments. CEO Marvin Ellison has emphasized that the company's strategy is resonating with both Pro and DIY customers even as macro headwinds persist. A key development in recent months has been Lowe's aggressive expansion into the professional contractor market through the acquisitions of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) and Artisan Design Group (ADG), moves aimed at capturing a greater share of Pro planned spending and extending the company's reach into new home construction. For fiscal 2026, Lowe's has guided for total sales between $92 billion and $94 billion and comparable sales ranging from flat to up 2%. While this forward outlook was received cautiously by the market — the stock declined following the announcement — the company's commitment to returning capital to shareholders remains robust, with $2.6 billion distributed through dividends and share repurchases during fiscal 2025. The stock's dividend yield sits near 1.8%, supported by a prudent payout ratio of approximately 39.6%.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
When comparing CPRT and LOW, several structural and tactical differences stand out. From a business model perspective, Copart operates an asset-light, technology-driven auction platform with historically elite operating margins in the 35–40% range, whereas Lowe's runs a capital-intensive retail operation with operating margins in the 11–12% range. Copart's margin advantage is clear, but recent competitive encroachment from IAA suggests that its pricing power may be under pressure.
On growth drivers, Lowe's benefits from a multi-pronged strategy encompassing Pro segment expansion, digital transformation, and strategic M&A (mergers and acquisitions), while Copart is working to offset insurance volume softness through non-insurance diversification and international expansion. Lowe's growth path appears broader and less dependent on a single vertical, which may offer greater stability.
Regarding recent momentum, the divergence is stark. Copart shares have fallen significantly over the past year, underperforming the broader market by a wide margin, while Lowe's has held relatively steady, supported by consistent comparable sales growth and shareholder returns. Sentiment around Copart has soured notably, with several institutional investors reducing positions and analyst price targets being revised downward. Meanwhile, Lowe's retains a predominantly positive analyst consensus despite a cautiously received forward outlook.
On risk factors, Copart faces concentrated exposure to auto insurance claim volumes and competitive dynamics in a duopolistic market, while Lowe's contends with interest-rate sensitivity in the housing market and broader consumer spending trends. Both are exposed to tariff-related cost pressures, but Lowe's direct import exposure through its supply chain makes this a particularly relevant consideration.
Finally, from a shareholder returns standpoint, Lowe's offers a tangible dividend income stream, while Copart reinvests all earnings into the business and provides no dividend — a profile that may appeal differently depending on an investor's income needs and time horizon.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable market trends, relative momentum, and structural positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor LOW over CPRT in the current environment. Lowe's demonstrates a more consistent trend profile with positive comparable sales across recent quarters, a diversified growth strategy, and a tangible capital return program that provides a cushion during periods of market uncertainty. Copart, while possessing a fundamentally strong business model with impressive long-term economics, is contending with decelerating revenue growth, competitive market share erosion, and declining institutional sentiment — factors that typically weigh on AI-driven trend assessments. The AI would likely recognize Copart's discounted valuation and potential for mean reversion but would assign greater probabilistic weight to Lowe's steadier operating momentum, clearer near-term catalysts, and lower relative volatility. This assessment reflects a probabilistic, data-driven view and not a prediction of absolute future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CPRT is a Hold and LOW is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CPRT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileLOW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- LOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CPRT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LOW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CPRT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- LOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CPRT (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а +4.22% price change this week, while LOW (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was +0.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was +1.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.40%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +1.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
CPRT is expected to report earnings on Sep 09, 2026.
LOW is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (+1.89% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Home Improvement Chains (+1.54% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| CPRT | LOW | CPRT / LOW | |
| Capitalization | 27B | 117B | 23% |
| EBITDA | 1.92B | 12.6B | 15% |
| Gain YTD | -25.619 | -12.489 | 205% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.09 | 17.57 | 103% |
| Revenue | 4.64B | 88.4B | 5% |
| Total Cash | 4.2B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 93.1M | 42.5B | 0% |
CPRT | LOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 6 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 50 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LOW's Valuation (3) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is significantly better than the same rating for CPRT (76) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew significantly faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's Profit vs Risk Rating (76) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as CPRT (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's SMR Rating (4) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (50) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as CPRT (63) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's P/E Growth Rating (56) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (90) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
| CPRT | LOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 57% | 7 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 49% |
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LOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOW has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LOW jumps, then HD could also see price increases.