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HD vs LOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The Home Depot (HD) vs. Lowe's Companies (LOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both HD and LOW operate in the home improvement retail sector, with HD maintaining a larger store footprint and higher revenue scale.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks experiencing volatility amid softer consumer spending on big-ticket projects, with HD trading near $300 and LOW near $218 as of mid-May 2026.
- HD has demonstrated stronger year-to-date resilience in certain metrics compared to broader market benchmarks, while LOW has focused on professional contractor channels for growth.
- Market sentiment for both remains cautious due to macroeconomic pressures, though relative performance highlights trade-offs in scale versus operational efficiency.
- AI-driven analysis points to differences in trend consistency and sector positioning that could influence short-term trader preferences.
Introduction
The comparison between HD and LOW offers traders and investors a clear view of two leading players in the U.S. home improvement retail industry. These stocks often move in tandem due to shared exposure to housing trends, consumer discretionary spending, and supply chain dynamics. Professional investors seeking to assess relative value, momentum shifts, and sector-specific risks may find this analysis particularly useful for portfolio positioning or pair-trading strategies in the current environment.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) is the largest home improvement retailer in the United States, operating thousands of stores focused on tools, building materials, and home services. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in a range near $300, reflecting resilience amid fluctuating consumer demand for renovation projects. Broader market activity has been influenced by mixed housing data and cautious spending patterns, leading to moderate volatility without sharp directional breaks. Sentiment has remained relatively stable due to the company's strong market position and consistent dividend history, though overall sector pressures have capped upside in the near term.
LOW Overview and Recent Performance
Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) ranks as the second-largest home improvement retailer, emphasizing a mix of retail and professional contractor channels across its store network. In recent market activity, the stock has hovered around $218, showing measured responses to similar macroeconomic headwinds affecting discretionary spending. Performance has been shaped by efforts to strengthen pro-customer segments and online capabilities, contributing to a balanced but range-bound price action. Sentiment reflects ongoing caution tied to housing market softness, with the company maintaining focus on operational efficiencies to navigate the environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HD benefits from greater scale and a broader geographic presence, which supports stronger brand recognition and supply chain advantages, whereas LOW has placed relatively more emphasis on professional sales channels that can offer steadier revenue streams during retail slowdowns. Recent momentum has favored neither decisively, with both stocks exhibiting similar sensitivity to housing indicators and interest rate expectations. Risk factors include shared exposure to cyclical consumer spending, though HD carries slightly higher valuation multiples reflective of its market leadership. Market sentiment remains closely aligned, with traders often viewing the pair as a barometer for home improvement sector health and relative positioning in defensive retail plays.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to HD due to its established scale and historical resilience in comparable market environments. This assessment remains conditional on continued stability in broader economic indicators and does not imply certainty in future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HD is a Hold and LOW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileLOW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LOW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LOW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HD (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а +2.68% price change this week, while LOW (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was +0.50% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +1.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
HD is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
LOW is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+1.37% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| HD | LOW | HD / LOW | |
| Capitalization | 333B | 125B | 266% |
| EBITDA | 25.1B | 12.6B | 199% |
| Gain YTD | -3.475 | -9.067 | 38% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.74 | 18.78 | 126% |
| Revenue | 167B | 88.4B | 189% |
| Total Cash | 1.6B | 786M | 204% |
| Total Debt | 63.2B | 42.5B | 149% |
HD | LOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 72 Overvalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LOW's Valuation (3) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is significantly better than the same rating for HD (72). This means that LOW’s stock grew significantly faster than HD’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's Profit vs Risk Rating (65) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (72). This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's SMR Rating (4) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (11). This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as LOW (58). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to LOW’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (52). This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
| HD | LOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 22 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 64% |
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LOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOW has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LOW jumps, then HD could also see price increases.