CRWL
Price
$73.32Alerts
Change
+$2.15 (+3.02%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
49.47M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TQQQ
Price
$60.44Alerts
Change
+$3.88 (+6.86%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
29.45B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CRWL vs TQQQ

CRWL vs TQQQ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 24, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? GraniteShares 2x Long CRWD Daily ETF (CRWL) vs. ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ)

Key Takeaways

  • CRWL is a single-stock, 2x daily leveraged ETF tied entirely to CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD); TQQQ is a diversified 3x daily leveraged fund tracking the Nasdaq-100 Index.
  • Cost structure differs sharply: CRWL carries a net expense ratio of roughly 1.50%, versus about 0.88% for TQQQ.
  • CRWL concentrates all exposure in one cybersecurity name, while TQQQ spreads risk across roughly 100 of the largest non-financial Nasdaq companies.
  • Both funds reset leverage daily using swaps, exposing holders to compounding ("volatility decay") risk that makes them poorly suited to long-term buy-and-hold strategies.
  • TQQQ is far larger and more liquid; CRWL is a much smaller, thinner vehicle suited to short-term tactical positioning.

Introduction

At first glance, CRWL and TQQQ appear to target similar investor goals: amplified, short-term exposure to technology-driven equity momentum. In reality, they occupy very different positions within the leveraged exchange-traded fund (ETF) universe. One is a hyper-concentrated bet on a single cybersecurity stock, while the other is a broad, triple-leveraged wager on the mega-cap technology complex. Comparing their structure, costs, and risk profiles helps investors understand which vehicle aligns with a given tactical view.

GraniteShares 2x Long CRWD Daily ETF (CRWL) Overview

The GraniteShares 2x Long CRWD Daily ETF seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, equal to 200% (2x) of the daily percentage change in the common stock of CrowdStrike Holdings, a leading cybersecurity software provider. Launched in November 2024, CRWL is an actively managed, non-diversified fund that uses total return swaps to obtain roughly 200% notional exposure to CRWD, with the position collateralized by U.S. Treasury bills and cash.

Structurally, CRWL is extremely concentrated: its portfolio effectively consists of the CrowdStrike swap, Treasury bills, and cash, with essentially 100% of economic exposure in a single information-technology name. The fund carries a net expense ratio of approximately 1.50% (gross expense ratio near 1.82%). Its daily leverage reset means returns can diverge meaningfully from simple "two times the stock" over holding periods longer than one day, particularly in choppy markets.

ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) Overview

The ProShares UltraPro QQQ seeks daily results equal to 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index, which tracks 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq. Launched in 2010, TQQQ is a passively managed, non-diversified leveraged index fund that obtains its exposure through a combination of index swaps, futures, and money market instruments, holding cash and Treasury-like collateral alongside direct positions in index constituents.

Unlike CRWL, TQQQ spreads its exposure across a broad basket. Sector allocation is heavily technology-weighted (roughly 60%), with meaningful representation in communication services, consumer discretionary, and health care. Top underlying names include NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT. The fund's net expense ratio is about 0.88%, and it is one of the most liquid leveraged ETFs available, with assets in the tens of billions of dollars.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit squarely within the broader technology and growth complex, whose performance has been driven in recent market cycles by artificial-intelligence demand, cloud adoption, and enterprise cybersecurity spending. For CRWL, the key catalyst is CrowdStrike's standing in endpoint security and its platform expansion, alongside enterprise software spending trends. For TQQQ, the dominant drivers are mega-cap semiconductor and software earnings, interest-rate expectations, and risk appetite for richly valued growth stocks.

Macro factors cut both ways: elevated valuations and shifting rate expectations can amplify drawdowns in leveraged vehicles, while periodic rotations between growth and value styles create sharp relative performance swings. Regulatory scrutiny of large technology platforms and concentration among a handful of mega-cap names remain structural risks for the Nasdaq-100-heavy TQQQ.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, both funds have reflected the strength of the technology trade, but with materially different risk signatures. TQQQ has benefited from broad mega-cap momentum, producing outsized gains relative to unleveraged index exposure while exhibiting the elevated volatility and deep drawdowns typical of 3x daily-reset products. CRWL, by contrast, has tracked the more idiosyncratic path of a single cybersecurity stock, making its returns highly dependent on company-specific earnings, guidance, and sentiment rather than broad sector rotation.

From a relative positioning standpoint, TQQQ offers diversified but tripled beta (sensitivity to market movement), whereas CRWL offers doubled, single-name concentration. Investors seeking broad technology leverage generally gravitate toward TQQQ; those with a specific, high-conviction view on CrowdStrike may use CRWL as a short-term tactical instrument.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own relative positioning research.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor TQQQ for most investors seeking leveraged technology exposure. Its broader diversification, meaningfully lower expense ratio, deeper liquidity, and consistent alignment with prevailing mega-cap technology momentum offer a more robust risk-adjusted profile than a single-stock leveraged fund. CRWL, while potentially useful as a high-conviction, short-term tactical vehicle, carries substantially greater concentration and cost risk. The AI's preference is probabilistic and would tilt toward CRWL only under a narrowly defined, single-name thesis on CrowdStrike.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
CRWL vs. TQQQ commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CRWL is a Hold and TQQQ is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for CRWL with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

Momentum Indicator for CRWL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CRWL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 32 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CRWL turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 22 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

CRWL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CRWL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 3 of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRWL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for CRWL entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CRWL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 12 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +11.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRWL advanced for three days, in 127 of 135 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

CRWL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TQQQ with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

TQQQ's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for TQQQ moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 27 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 53 of 57 cases where TQQQ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +14.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TQQQ advanced for three days, in 330 of 364 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

TQQQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TQQQ as a result. In 78 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TQQQ turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

TQQQ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TQQQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TQQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for TQQQ entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CRWLTQQQ
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
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TQQQ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TQQQ has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TQQQ jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

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1D Price
Change %
TQQQ100%
+6.86%
LRCX - TQQQ
78%
Closely correlated
+6.07%
AMD - TQQQ
78%
Closely correlated
+7.32%
AMAT - TQQQ
75%
Closely correlated
+6.05%
KLAC - TQQQ
73%
Closely correlated
+5.24%
ASML - TQQQ
73%
Closely correlated
+1.76%
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