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CW vs HWM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) vs. Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CW has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 29%, outpacing HWM's 17% gain amid recent aerospace sector momentum.
- CW's market capitalization stands at $26 billion, compared to HWM's larger $96 billion, offering different scales of exposure to defense and aerospace markets.
- Both stocks trade at elevated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios—CW at 55.5 and HWM at 64.5—reflecting growth expectations in the sector.
- Recent weeks show CW gaining about 2% over the past month, slightly ahead of HWM's 1.2% rise, with positive analyst updates for CW.
- HWM benefits from upcoming earnings on May 7, expected to show growth, while CW reports soon after with backlog strength supporting sentiment.
- Analyst price targets suggest modest upside for both, with CW at $728 average and HWM at $281.
Introduction
CW and HWM are key players in the aerospace and defense sector, benefiting from commercial aviation recovery and sustained defense spending. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance trends, and growth drivers, aiding investors seeking relative value in industrials amid volatile market conditions. Traders focused on momentum or sector rotation may find insights into which stock shows greater stability or upside potential in the current environment.
CW Overview and Recent Performance
Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace, defense, power generation, and commercial markets, including valves, pumps, and control systems. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $713, with a 52-week range of $352 to $748. YTD gains of 29% reflect robust backlog growth and strong quarterly results, where Q4 revenue reached $947 million, beating estimates by 6.4%. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades, such as Stifel's price target raise to $723 in mid-April, amid aerospace outperformance and defense demand. Recent weeks' 2% monthly rise underscores consistent momentum, though high P/E signals growth pricing.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) supplies advanced engineered solutions like jet engine components, fastening systems, and forgings primarily for aerospace applications. The stock hovers near $240, within a 52-week range of $151 to $267. YTD performance of 17% trails peers but aligns with sector trends, supported by Q4 revenue of $2.17 billion. Recent activity includes a 1.2% monthly gain, tempered by insider sales and valuation concerns, though a dividend approval and growth expectations ahead of May 7 earnings have sustained interest. Commercial aero exposure drives sentiment, with analysts noting potential from engine demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CW and HWM thrive in aerospace and defense, but CW offers broader diversification into power and naval systems, while HWM focuses on high-margin engine and fastening products. Growth drivers include aviation recovery for both, yet CW's backlog expansion contrasts HWM's reliance on commercial OEMs. Recent momentum favors CW with superior YTD and 1-year returns (98% vs. 55%), though HWM's scale provides liquidity. Risks involve supply chain issues and high valuations; CW shows steadier sentiment amid defense stability, while HWM faces earnings volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would currently lean toward CW for its trend consistency, higher YTD returns, and positive backlog catalysts positioning it favorably relative to HWM in recent market activity. While HWM offers scale and earnings potential, CW's momentum suggests greater near-term probability of outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CW is a Buy and HWM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileHWM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- HWM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CW’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HWM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- HWM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CW (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +3.39% price change this week, while HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +5.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -1.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
CW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
HWM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-1.16% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| CW | HWM | CW / HWM | |
| Capitalization | 28B | 106B | 26% |
| EBITDA | 818M | 2.55B | 32% |
| Gain YTD | 37.548 | 29.225 | 128% |
| P/E Ratio | 55.53 | 61.41 | 90% |
| Revenue | 3.61B | 8.62B | 42% |
| Total Cash | 343M | 2.44B | 14% |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 4.69B | 24% |
CW | HWM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 5 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CW's Valuation (67) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (74) in the null industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
CW's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (3) in the null industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (29) in the null industry is in the same range as CW (46) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to CW’s over the last 12 months.
CW's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (43) in the null industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
CW's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (45) in the null industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
| CW | HWM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 47% | 11 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 6 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
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CW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CW has been closely correlated with BWXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CW jumps, then BWXT could also see price increases.
HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.