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CW vs HWM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Curtiss-Wright (CW) vs. Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CW and HWM both operate in the aerospace and defense sector, with exposure to commercial aerospace demand and defense spending.
- Recent quarterly results showed revenue growth for both companies, with HWM reporting a 19% year-over-year increase compared to CW's 13.4% rise in the first quarter of 2026.
- Stock performance in recent market activity has been positive for both, supported by strong backlogs and earnings beats, though valuations reflect premium pricing relative to broader market averages.
- HWM has demonstrated higher long-term returns over multiple years, while CW maintains a diversified portfolio across nuclear, aerospace, and defense applications.
- Risk factors include sector cyclicality tied to aircraft production rates and government budgets, with both companies showing resilience amid recent market volatility.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for the pair due to ongoing aerospace recovery and defense priorities, though relative momentum depends on upcoming earnings and macroeconomic indicators.
Introduction
This comparison examines CW (Curtiss-Wright Corporation) and HWM (Howmet Aerospace Inc.), two established players in the aerospace and defense industry. The analysis focuses on business models, recent performance trends, and positioning within a market environment shaped by commercial aerospace recovery and sustained defense investments. Institutional investors, active traders, and portfolio managers evaluating sector allocation or relative value opportunities may find this overview relevant for assessing trade-offs in growth profiles, valuation, and operational drivers.
CW Overview and Recent Performance
Curtiss-Wright Corporation provides engineered products and services across aerospace, defense, nuclear, and general industrial markets. Its portfolio includes flight control systems, sensors, and power management solutions, supported by a substantial backlog that reached record levels in recent reporting. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected steady investor interest amid broader sector strength, with performance influenced by positive first-quarter 2026 results showing revenue growth of 13.4% year over year. Sentiment has benefited from raised full-year outlooks and consistent execution on defense contracts, though short-term fluctuations have occurred amid profit-taking and market-wide movements.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace Inc. specializes in engineered metal products and solutions primarily for the aerospace and gas turbine markets. Key offerings include structural components, fasteners, and forged parts that support commercial aircraft production and defense applications. Recent market activity has highlighted the company's strong first-quarter 2026 performance, with revenue rising 19% year over year alongside margin expansion and robust free cash flow. Sentiment in recent weeks has been supported by analyst forecast upgrades and continued commercial aerospace demand, contributing to the stock's resilience despite periodic volatility tied to broader economic signals.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CW operates with greater diversification across nuclear and industrial segments in addition to aerospace and defense, providing a broader revenue base compared to HWM's more concentrated focus on aerospace components and gas turbines. Growth drivers differ in emphasis, with HWM showing stronger recent revenue expansion tied to commercial aircraft build rates, while CW benefits from defense and nuclear stability. Recent momentum favors both amid sector tailwinds, yet HWM has delivered higher multi-year compounded returns. Risk factors include exposure to supply chain constraints and production delays for both, with CW carrying additional regulatory considerations in nuclear markets. Sector exposure overlaps significantly in aerospace and defense, though market sentiment reflects comparable optimism driven by end-market demand rather than company-specific differentiation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, backlog visibility, and relative positioning within aerospace demand trends, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to HWM. This assessment draws from stronger year-over-year revenue acceleration and sustained analyst forecast revisions, alongside trend stability in recent market activity, though outcomes remain subject to evolving catalysts and broader economic conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CW is a Buy and HWM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileHWM’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- HWM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CW’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HWM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HWM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CW (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -3.30% price change this week, while HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -3.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +3.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
CW is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
HWM is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+3.57% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| CW | HWM | CW / HWM | |
| Capitalization | 25.4B | 113B | 22% |
| EBITDA | 818M | 2.75B | 30% |
| Gain YTD | 31.370 | 37.573 | 83% |
| P/E Ratio | 47.41 | 60.95 | 78% |
| Revenue | 3.61B | 9.12B | 40% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 4.69B | 24% |
CW | HWM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 33 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 27 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CW's Valuation (65) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (71) in the null industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
CW's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (2) in the null industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (33) in the null industry is in the same range as CW (46) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to CW’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (27) in the null industry is in the same range as CW (53) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to CW’s over the last 12 months.
CW's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (34) in the null industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
| CW | HWM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 9 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 45% | 7 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 72% |
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CW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CW has been closely correlated with BWXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CW jumps, then BWXT could also see price increases.
HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HWM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWM | 100% | +0.10% | ||
| GE - HWM | 74% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| CW - HWM | 68% Closely correlated | +2.51% | ||
| WWD - HWM | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.72% | ||
| SARO - HWM | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.87% | ||
| BWXT - HWM | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.68% | ||
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