Advertisement
AIR vs HWM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AAR Corp. (AIR) vs. Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AAR Corp. (AIR) and Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) both operate in the aerospace sector and have reported strong revenue growth in recent quarters driven by commercial and defense demand.
- Recent market activity shows AAR Corp. (AIR) delivering robust year-over-year sales increases, including a 23% rise in its most recent reported quarter.
- Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) has demonstrated margin expansion and earnings growth, with adjusted earnings per share rising significantly in its latest quarter.
- Both companies benefit from the same broad industry tailwinds, yet differ in scale, business focus, and specific growth drivers.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects sector momentum, with each stock exhibiting distinct risk-reward profiles tied to their operational emphases.
- Market sentiment remains positive for the aerospace aftermarket and components space amid sustained aircraft production and maintenance cycles.
Introduction
AAR Corp. (AIR) and Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) represent two distinct yet overlapping players in the aerospace and defense industry. This comparison examines their business models, recent financial results, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities within the sector. Portfolio managers focused on industrial exposure, growth-oriented equity traders monitoring earnings momentum, and sector specialists assessing supply-chain participants may find the analysis relevant for understanding competitive dynamics and performance differentials in the current environment.
AAR Corp. (AIR) Overview and Recent Performance
AAR Corp. (AIR) provides aftermarket solutions for the aerospace and defense industries, including parts supply, maintenance, and engineering services across commercial and government customers. In recent market activity, the company reported fiscal fourth-quarter results that highlighted continued expansion, with sales rising 23% year over year and adjusted earnings per share increasing 32%. Full fiscal year 2026 sales reached $3.3 billion, reflecting 19% growth supported by volume increases in parts distribution and contributions from acquisitions. Sentiment has been influenced by sustained demand for aftermarket parts and services amid elevated aircraft utilization rates.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) manufactures engineered metal components and systems primarily for commercial aerospace, defense, and industrial gas turbine applications. Recent market activity featured first-quarter 2026 results showing revenue of $2.31 billion, up 19% from the prior year, alongside a 42% increase in adjusted earnings per share. Performance benefited from double-digit growth across key end markets, including commercial aerospace and gas turbines. Investor sentiment has been supported by margin expansion, strong cash generation, and ongoing capacity investments aligned with customer demand.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI trading bots drawn from hundreds available on the platform that trade thousands of different tickers. Only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with prevailing market conditions earn placement in this section. Available bots span a wide range of trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance metrics, and ticker sets, with many exhibiting win rates between 60% and 80% and varying risk parameters across different market regimes. This diversity allows users to explore options suited to specific objectives. Review the full selection on the Trending AI Robots page for additional details.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AAR Corp. (AIR) focuses on aftermarket services and parts distribution, creating exposure to recurring maintenance revenue streams, while Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) emphasizes precision-engineered components for original equipment and spares, offering greater leverage to new aircraft production cycles. Recent momentum for both reflects aerospace demand, yet AAR Corp. (AIR) has shown pronounced quarterly sales acceleration tied to acquisitions, whereas Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) has highlighted consistent margin improvement and free cash flow strength. Risk factors include supply-chain dependencies for Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) and integration execution for AAR Corp. (AIR). Sector exposure overlaps significantly, though market sentiment has rewarded Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) for scale and earnings visibility in recent periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings consistency, margin trends, and relative positioning within the aerospace supply chain, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term momentum to Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM). This assessment reflects stronger recent margin expansion and cash-flow metrics alongside comparable top-line growth. The evaluation remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in broader market conditions or company-specific developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AIR is a Buy and HWM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AIR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHWM’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- AIR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HWM’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AIR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HWM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AIR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HWM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AIR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +8.52% price change this week, while HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +5.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
AIR is expected to report earnings on Sep 29, 2026.
HWM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+5.98% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| AIR | HWM | AIR / HWM | |
| Capitalization | 5.59B | 113B | 5% |
| EBITDA | 390M | 2.55B | 15% |
| Gain YTD | 69.151 | 37.814 | 183% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.81 | 65.49 | 44% |
| Revenue | 3.31B | 8.62B | 38% |
| Total Cash | 84M | 2.44B | 3% |
| Total Debt | 995M | 4.69B | 21% |
AIR | HWM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 30 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 8 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AIR's Valuation (36) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HWM (75) in the null industry. This means that AIR’s stock grew somewhat faster than HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the null industry is in the same range as AIR (5) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to AIR’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (30) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AIR (64) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew somewhat faster than AIR’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (8) in the null industry is in the same range as AIR (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to AIR’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for AIR (100) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew significantly faster than AIR’s over the last 12 months.
| AIR | HWM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 57% | 6 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 4 days ago 72% |
Advertisement
HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.