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COST vs PSMT
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COST is a Buy and PSMT is a Hold.
COST in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
COST moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 31 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for COST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 42%.
Following a +4.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COST advanced for three days, in 214 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 329 cases where COST Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for COST moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 39%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
COST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. COST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: COST's P/B Ratio (13.937) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.853). COST has a moderately high P/E Ratio (52.916) as compared to the industry average of (24.641). COST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.478) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.353) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
PSMT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
PSMT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 28, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PSMT as a result. In 48 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
PSMT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PSMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Aroon Indicator for PSMT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PSMT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PSMT advanced for three days, in 188 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
PSMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PSMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.601) is normal, around the industry mean (5.853). P/E Ratio (31.182) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.641). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.130) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.886) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
COST | PSMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PSMT's Valuation (77) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as COST (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that PSMT’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as PSMT (12) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to PSMT’s over the last 12 months.
COST's SMR Rating (34) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as PSMT (64) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to PSMT’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as PSMT (51) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to PSMT’s over the last 12 months.
PSMT's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as COST (41) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that PSMT’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
| COST | PSMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 6 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 40% | 1 day ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 44% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COST’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while PSMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- COST’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PSMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COST’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSMT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PSMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COST (@Discount Stores) experienced а +4.08% price change this week, while PSMT (@Discount Stores) price change was -1.96% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +21.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
COST is expected to report earnings on Dec 10, 2026.
PSMT is expected to report earnings on Jan 13, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.61% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
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COST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COST has been loosely correlated with WMT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if COST jumps, then WMT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COST | 100% | -1.13% | ||
| WMT - COST | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| PSMT - COST | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.06% | ||
| DG - COST | 25% Poorly correlated | -3.08% | ||
| DLTR - COST | 20% Poorly correlated | -4.93% | ||
| OLLI - COST | 19% Poorly correlated | -2.80% | ||
More | ||||
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