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DUK vs NGG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy (DUK) vs. National Grid (NGG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DUK recently beat Q1 earnings estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.93 and revenue of $9.18 billion, driven by infrastructure growth and favorable weather, while reaffirming its 2026 EPS guidance of $6.55–$6.80.
- NGG shows stronger year-to-date performance at around 12% gain versus DUK's 6%, with a 1-year return of nearly 29% compared to DUK's 7%.
- Both utility stocks offer attractive dividend yields—DUK at 3.43% and NGG at 3.59%—appealing for income-focused investors in a stable sector.
- DUK trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 19.13 versus NGG's 21.40, suggesting relative value in the U.S.-focused utility giant.
- Recent market activity has pressured both stocks short-term, with 1-month declines around 3–5%, amid broader utilities sector rotation.
Introduction
Investors comparing DUK and NGG evaluate two leading electric utilities with robust infrastructure footprints. DUK, a U.S. powerhouse, and NGG, with operations spanning the UK and U.S. Northeast, offer stability amid volatile markets. This stock comparison highlights relative performance, growth drivers, and sentiment in the utilities sector, relevant for dividend seekers, long-term holders, and traders eyeing defensive plays during economic uncertainty or interest rate shifts.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is a major U.S. energy provider, generating, transmitting, and distributing electricity and natural gas across the Southeast and Midwest. In recent market activity, DUK shares have faced short-term pressure, declining around 5% over the past month amid sector rotation, though year-to-date gains stand at approximately 6%. The stock's Q1 2026 results exceeded expectations, with adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $1.93 topping forecasts and revenue rising 11% to $9.18 billion, fueled by infrastructure investments and constructive weather. A highlighted $103 billion capital plan supports projected 9.6% earnings growth, boosting sentiment despite elevated leverage concerns. Analysts maintain buy ratings with targets around $139–$140, signaling upside potential.
NGG Overview and Recent Performance
National Grid plc (NGG) operates electricity and gas transmission and distribution networks in the UK and U.S. Northeast. Recent weeks have seen modest pullbacks, with shares down about 2–3% monthly, yet outperforming peers year-to-date at over 12% and delivering 29% over the past year. Trading near $87, NGG benefits from steady regulated asset growth and analyst upgrades to buy, though some holds cite regulatory risks. Dividend consistency at 3.59% yield underpins appeal, with price targets averaging $92. Performance reflects resilience in transatlantic operations, tempered by FX exposure and storm-related costs in recent updates.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DUK and NGG embody regulated utility models prioritizing stable cash flows from infrastructure, but DUK focuses domestically on electric and gas in growth U.S. regions, while NGG leverages transatlantic diversification. Growth drivers differ: DUK's $103 billion capex targets data center demand and 9–10% EPS expansion; NGG emphasizes UK/Northeast grid upgrades amid similar electrification trends. Recent momentum favors NGG with superior YTD/1-year returns, but DUK edges on valuation (lower P/E) and earnings beats. Risks include rate sensitivity (low betas: 0.40 vs. 0.62), regulatory scrutiny, and weather/storm exposure—higher for NGG's debt load. Sentiment tilts positive for both, with buy-heavy analyst coverage, though DUK shows fresher catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward DUK based on trend consistency from recent earnings beats, reaffirmed guidance, and a compelling $103 billion growth plan positioning it for U.S. demand surges. While NGG exhibits stronger relative momentum and YTD stability, DUK's lower valuation and domestic catalysts offer higher probability of near-term outperformance in a risk-off environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Buy and NGG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNGG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NGG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NGG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NGG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.60% price change this week, while NGG (@Electric Utilities) price change was -0.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
NGG is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | NGG | DUK / NGG | |
| Capitalization | 97.4B | 80.7B | 121% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 8.08B | 218% |
| Gain YTD | 8.458 | 8.586 | 99% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.23 | 18.71 | 103% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 17.7B | 188% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 2.83B | 76% |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 46.8B | 195% |
DUK | NGG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NGG's Valuation (9) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DUK (44). This means that NGG’s stock grew somewhat faster than DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NGG (33). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NGG (98). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NGG (55). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
NGG's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (53). This means that NGG’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | NGG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 31% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 41% | 14 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 28% | N/A |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
NGG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NGG has been loosely correlated with FTS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NGG jumps, then FTS could also see price increases.