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AEE vs NGG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ameren Corporation (AEE) vs. National Grid plc (NGG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEE reported Q1 2026 EPS of $1.28, beating estimates, though revenues slightly missed; shares show YTD gains of about 10%.
- NGG offers a higher dividend yield at 3.59% versus AEE's 2.75%, appealing to income-focused investors in the utilities sector.
- Both stocks exhibit low betas (AEE 0.51, NGG 0.62), indicating defensive qualities with reduced market volatility exposure.
- NGG's larger market cap ($86B vs. AEE's $30B) reflects broader international operations, while AEE focuses on U.S. Midwest utilities.
- Recent market activity shows both underperforming slightly short-term but positive YTD, amid sector demand from electrification trends.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: AEE to $120.53 average, NGG to $92.05, positioning both for potential relative gains.
Introduction
Ameren Corporation (AEE) and National Grid plc (NGG) are prominent utilities stocks offering stability in a volatile market. Both operate in the regulated electric and gas transmission and distribution space, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This comparison is relevant for income-oriented investors seeking dividend reliability, as well as traders eyeing defensive plays amid rising electricity demand from data centers and electrification. With low betas and consistent cash flows, they contrast growth sectors while providing sector exposure through recent earnings beats and infrastructure investments. Analyzing their performance, valuations, and momentum helps assess relative positioning in today's environment.
AEE Overview and Recent Performance
Ameren Corporation (AEE), headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, is a utility holding company operating through segments including Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission. It generates electricity from coal, nuclear, natural gas, and renewables like wind and solar, serving 2.5 million electric and 900,000 gas customers across Illinois and Missouri.
In recent market activity, AEE shares traded around $109, with YTD returns near 10% and 1-year gains of 15%. Q1 2026 results showed EPS of $1.28, surpassing estimates of $1.17 by 9.87%, though revenues of $2.18 billion missed slightly. This beat drove optimistic analyst views, with price targets averaging $120. Infrastructure spending and load growth from manufacturing have supported sentiment, despite short-term dips of 2-3% over recent weeks. Low beta (0.51) and ROE (11.75%) underscore stability, with a trailing P/E of 19.62.
NGG Overview and Recent Performance
National Grid plc (NGG), based in London, United Kingdom, transmits and distributes electricity and gas across the UK and northeastern U.S. Segments include UK Electricity Transmission, UK Electricity Distribution, New England, New York, and National Grid Ventures, focusing on interconnectors and LNG.
Recently, NGG shares hovered near $87, posting YTD returns of about 12% and stronger 1-year performance of 25%. Earnings are due May 14, with EPS (TTM) at $4.06. Analyst updates show mixed but generally positive sentiment, with targets averaging $92. Recent weeks saw minor pullbacks of 2%, offset by upgrades like Zacks to Buy. Higher dividend yield and international scale bolster appeal, with beta at 0.62 and trailing P/E of 21.42. Steady capital investments in transmission support long-term positioning amid global energy transitions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AEE and NGG share regulated utility models emphasizing transmission and distribution, but differ in scale and geography: AEE's U.S.-centric Midwest focus contrasts NGG's transatlantic operations, exposing NGG to currency risks but broader growth drivers like UK net-zero goals.
Growth stems from electrification for AEE (load growth to 5.5% via data centers) and NGG's interconnectors. Recent momentum favors NGG's superior 1-year returns (25% vs. 15%), though both lag short-term. AEE's lower forward P/E (20.37 vs. NGG's 14.29) and higher ROE (11.75% vs. 7.87%) suggest better efficiency; NGG counters with attractive 3.59% yield vs. 2.75% and lower PEG (1.07 vs. 2.55).
Risks include regulatory hurdles (AEE's rate cases, NGG's storm costs) and debt (AEE 156% D/E, NGG 123%). Sector tailwinds from AI-driven demand benefit both, but NGG's size offers diversification, while AEE provides purer U.S. exposure. Sentiment tilts positive post-AEE earnings, with NGG awaiting results.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward NGG in the current environment, citing its stronger historical momentum, higher dividend yield, and lower forward P/E amid stable trends and global infrastructure catalysts. AEE's recent EPS beat and U.S. load growth provide upside, but NGG's relative positioning and scale offer probabilistic edge for trend consistency and income stability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEE is a Buy and NGG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNGG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AEE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NGG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NGG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NGG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AEE (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.46% price change this week, while NGG (@Electric Utilities) price change was -0.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
NGG is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| AEE | NGG | AEE / NGG | |
| Capitalization | 30.2B | 80.7B | 37% |
| EBITDA | 4.17B | 8.08B | 52% |
| Gain YTD | 10.669 | 8.586 | 124% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.60 | 18.71 | 105% |
| Revenue | 8.88B | 17.7B | 50% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.83B | - |
| Total Debt | 21.3B | 46.8B | 46% |
AEE | NGG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NGG's Valuation (9) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEE (67). This means that NGG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEE’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NGG (33). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's SMR Rating (66) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NGG (98). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NGG (55). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
NGG's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (60). This means that NGG’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
| AEE | NGG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 38% | 14 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 28% | N/A |
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AEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEE has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEE jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.