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FTS vs NGG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fortis Inc (FTS) vs. National Grid plc (NGG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTS and NGG both offer dividend yields around 3.3-3.6%, appealing to income-focused investors in the stable utilities sector.
- NGG shows stronger YTD performance at approximately 12% versus FTS's 8.6%, with a larger market cap of $86B compared to $28.6B.
- Recent quarters highlight steady earnings for both: FTS reported comparable Q1 2026 net earnings of $501M, while NGG anticipates full-year growth amid UK and US operations.
- P/E ratios (TTM) are similar at 22.6 for FTS and 21.4 for NGG, but NGG's forward P/E of 14.3 suggests better near-term value.
- Both exhibit low betas (<0.62), indicating defensive positioning, with FTS benefiting from North American focus and NGG from transatlantic diversification.
- Capital plans remain robust: FTS at $5.6B annually, supporting 4-6% dividend growth through 2030.
Introduction
In the utilities sector, known for stability and reliable dividends, Fortis Inc (FTS) and National Grid plc (NGG) stand out as major players. FTS, a North American regulated electric and gas utility leader, contrasts with NGG's operations spanning UK transmission and US Northeast distribution. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, financial metrics, and market positioning amid rising energy demands and regulatory environments. Income-oriented investors and traders seeking defensive stocks with growth potential in recent market activity will find these insights valuable for relative performance evaluation.
FTS Overview and Recent Performance
Fortis Inc (FTS) operates as a diversified leader in regulated electric and gas utilities across Canada, the US, and the Caribbean. With a market cap of approximately $28.6B, it focuses on rate base expansion through capital investments. In recent weeks, shares traded around $56, within a 52-week range of $45.87-$58.78, reflecting YTD gains of 8.6% and 1-year returns near 19%.
First quarter 2026 results showed net earnings of $501M ($0.99 per share), stable year-over-year, with $1.4B in capital expenditures on track for a $5.6B annual plan. Regulatory wins, like Arizona Corporation Commission approval for UNS Gas rates at 9.61% ROE (return on equity), bolstered sentiment. Dividend yield stands at 3.29%, with 52 years of increases targeting 4-6% growth through 2030. Low beta of 0.43 underscores stability, influenced by consistent regulated revenues amid broader utility sector trends.
NGG Overview and Recent Performance
National Grid plc (NGG) engages in electricity and gas transmission/distribution, primarily in the UK and US Northeast (New England, New York). Its $86B market cap reflects scale in high-demand regions. Shares recently hovered near $87, in a 52-week range of $67.08-$94.64, with YTD returns of 11.7% and 1-year gains around 25%.
Recent market activity supports outperformance versus peers, driven by capital investments over £11B annually and steady underlying EPS growth in line with 6-8% CAGR guidance. Dividend yield of 3.59% aligns with policy tied to UK CPIH inflation. Beta of 0.62 indicates moderate volatility. Sentiment benefits from transatlantic exposure, though US regulatory and weather factors pose minor earnings pressures in recent updates. Strong momentum reflects infrastructure demands.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both FTS and NGG operate regulated utility models emphasizing transmission/distribution, but FTS is purely North American while NGG adds UK exposure for geographic diversification. Growth drivers include FTS's 7% rate base expansion via $28.8B five-year plan versus NGG's £60B+ UK/US investments in grid upgrades.
Recent momentum favors NGG with higher YTD/1-year returns, though FTS Q1 stability contrasts NGG's forward-looking guidance. Risk factors: FTS lower beta (0.43) signals superior defensiveness over NGG (0.62); both face regulatory scrutiny, with NGG exposed to UK policy shifts. Similar P/B (1.71) and yields, but NGG's lower forward P/E offers valuation edge. Sector tailwinds like electrification boost both, with market sentiment leaning toward scale-driven NGG.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NGG due to superior recent momentum, higher YTD returns, larger scale, and attractive forward P/E positioning amid infrastructure catalysts. While FTS excels in stability and dividend consistency, NGG's transatlantic diversification and growth outlook align better with observable trends, suggesting higher probability of outperformance in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FTS is a Buy and NGG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FTS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNGG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NGG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FTS’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NGG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FTS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NGG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FTS (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -0.89% price change this week, while NGG (@Electric Utilities) price change was -3.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
FTS is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.67% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| FTS | NGG | FTS / NGG | |
| Capitalization | 28.4B | 81.5B | 35% |
| EBITDA | 5.91B | 7.8B | 76% |
| Gain YTD | 7.528 | 8.791 | 86% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.67 | 21.08 | 108% |
| Revenue | 12.2B | 17.5B | 70% |
| Total Cash | 359M | 4.06B | 9% |
| Total Debt | 35.4B | 45.9B | 77% |
FTS | NGG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 61 Fair valued | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NGG's Valuation (42) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FTS (61) in the null industry. This means that NGG’s stock grew similarly to FTS’s over the last 12 months.
NGG's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FTS (59) in the null industry. This means that NGG’s stock grew similarly to FTS’s over the last 12 months.
FTS's SMR Rating (78) in the null industry is in the same range as NGG (99) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that FTS’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
FTS's Price Growth Rating (54) in the null industry is in the same range as NGG (54) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that FTS’s stock grew similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
FTS's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NGG (71) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that FTS’s stock grew somewhat faster than NGG’s over the last 12 months.
| FTS | NGG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 36% | 1 day ago 41% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 34% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 29% | 1 day ago 41% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 34% | 17 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
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NGG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NGG has been loosely correlated with DUK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NGG jumps, then DUK could also see price increases.