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DUK vs WEC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) vs. WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DUK and WEC operate as regulated electric and natural gas utilities, offering defensive characteristics and consistent dividend payments in the utility sector.
- DUK maintains a larger market capitalization and broader geographic footprint across the Southeastern United States, while WEC focuses on the Midwest with a more concentrated regional presence.
- Recent market activity shows DUK trading near $125 with upcoming Q2 earnings expected on August 4, 2026, alongside a recent quarterly dividend increase.
- WEC reported stronger-than-expected Q2 2026 earnings of $0.91 per share and reaffirmed full-year guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.
- Dividend yields for both stocks hover around 3.4% to 3.5%, supported by recent increases, reflecting their commitment to shareholder returns amid stable regulatory environments.
- Relative performance in recent weeks has been influenced by sector-wide factors such as interest rate sensitivity and demand growth from data centers and electrification trends.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking defensive exposure within the utilities sector often evaluate companies like Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) and WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) for their regulated business models, predictable cash flows, and dividend reliability. This comparison highlights key differences in scale, regional focus, recent earnings trends, and market positioning to assist those assessing relative value in a low-volatility environment. The analysis draws on observable financial metrics and developments from the past several weeks, providing a factual basis for understanding how these stocks have responded to broader market conditions without offering specific recommendations.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is one of the largest electric power holding companies in the United States, serving millions of customers across the Carolinas, Florida, and other Southeastern states through its regulated utility operations. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $125 following a period of modest gains year-to-date, supported by stable demand and infrastructure investments. A quarterly dividend increase announced in mid-July to $1.085 per share underscores the company's focus on returning capital to shareholders. Upcoming second-quarter earnings on August 4, 2026, are anticipated to reflect continued operational execution amid ongoing regulatory proceedings and renewable energy initiatives that have shaped recent sentiment.
WEC Overview and Recent Performance
WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) provides electric and natural gas utility services primarily in Wisconsin and surrounding Midwest markets. The stock has recently traded in the $109 to $110 range, reflecting measured performance amid sector dynamics. On July 29, 2026, the company reported second-quarter earnings of $0.91 per share, exceeding the prior-year figure, and reaffirmed its 2026 earnings guidance range of $5.51 to $5.61 per share. A dividend of $0.952 per share with an ex-date in mid-August further highlights its consistent payout policy. Recent activity has been influenced by regulatory progress and capital deployment plans, contributing to a stable but range-bound price pattern in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business model, DUK benefits from greater scale and exposure to faster-growing Southeastern markets, while WEC maintains a more focused Midwest footprint with potentially steadier but narrower growth drivers. Recent momentum favors DUK slightly through dividend actions and broader investor interest in large-cap utilities, whereas WEC demonstrated clearer earnings outperformance in its latest report. Risk factors for both include interest rate sensitivity and regulatory outcomes, though DUK’s larger size may provide additional diversification. Sector exposure remains aligned as regulated utilities, yet DUK shows relatively stronger positioning toward electrification and data-center demand in its service territories compared with WEC’s more measured regional profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative momentum, and catalyst strength, Tickeron’s AI currently appears to assign a probabilistic edge to DUK over WEC in this comparison. The assessment reflects DUK’s larger addressable market and recent infrastructure progress, which contribute to a more directional signal, while acknowledging WEC’s stability and earnings delivery. This view represents a data-driven snapshot subject to change with evolving market and regulatory conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Hold and WEC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWEC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WEC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WEC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WEC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -3.90% price change this week, while WEC (@Electric Utilities) price change was -5.49% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -2.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
WEC is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-2.85% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | WEC | DUK / WEC | |
| Capitalization | 97.8B | 35.7B | 274% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 4.15B | 425% |
| Gain YTD | 8.857 | 5.525 | 160% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.30 | 21.25 | 91% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 10.1B | 329% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 45.6M | 4,693% |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 22.3B | 409% |
DUK | WEC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 40 Fair valued | 45 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (40) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as WEC (45). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to WEC’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as WEC (37). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to WEC’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's SMR Rating (65) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (73). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as WEC (59). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to WEC’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (55). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | WEC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 40% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 37% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 50% | 10 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 45% |
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WEC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WEC has been closely correlated with AEE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WEC jumps, then AEE could also see price increases.