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DUK vs ED
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy (DUK) vs. Consolidated Edison (ED) Stock Comparison
1) Key Takeaways
- Duke Energy (DUK) is leveraging a large data-center electricity pipeline, while Consolidated Edison (ED) is anchored by dense, electrification-driven demand in the New York City metro area.
- Both are regulated electric-and-gas utilities with defensive characteristics, but DUK carries a larger market capitalization and a more visible large-load growth catalyst.
- DUK beat first-quarter earnings estimates on higher revenue, while ED beat on revenue but missed adjusted earnings expectations.
- Each stock trades with a similar dividend yield in the mid-3% range, but their growth profiles and geographic exposures differ meaningfully.
- DUK has outperformed ED on a relative basis over the past year, reflecting stronger data-center-driven sentiment.
- Sector momentum and balance-sheet considerations remain key differentiators for investors weighing the two names.
2) Introduction
Utility stocks frequently attract investors seeking steady cash flows, regulated earnings, and dependable dividends, yet not all utilities are positioned equally. This stock comparison examines Duke Energy (DUK) and Consolidated Edison (ED), two of the largest U.S. regulated energy providers, to help traders and investors understand their relative performance and market positioning. The comparison is especially relevant in the current environment, where rising electricity demand from data centers and electrification is reshaping growth expectations across the utility sector. Income-oriented investors, defensive allocators, and those tracking sector momentum may all find the contrasts between these two names instructive.
3) DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is one of the largest electric power and natural gas holding companies in the United States, headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. The company serves roughly 7.9 million electric customers and 1.6 million natural gas customers across the Southeast and Midwest, including North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky.
In recent weeks, DUK has drawn investor attention for its expanding data-center opportunity. The company has secured approximately 7.6 gigawatts of electric service agreements with data-center customers, with an additional late-stage pipeline of roughly 15.4 gigawatts under discussion. This contracted demand supports a multi-year generation and grid buildout and underpins management's long-term adjusted earnings-per-share (EPS) growth outlook of 5% to 7% through 2030.
On the fundamental side, DUK reported first-quarter revenue of about $9.18 billion, up roughly 11% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.93 that exceeded analyst estimates. The company reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $6.55 to $6.80. Favorable weather, rate-based infrastructure recovery, and higher electric utility earnings supported results, although higher operating and maintenance costs partially offset those gains. Shares have risen in the high-single-digit range year to date, supported by improving sentiment around utility load growth.
4) ED Overview and Recent Performance
Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) is a New York City-based holding company that delivers electricity, natural gas, and steam through its primary subsidiary, Consolidated Edison Company of New York (CECONY), serving roughly 3.7 million electric customers and 1.1 million gas customers in New York City and Westchester County, plus Orange and Rockland Utilities in neighboring regions.
ED's growth narrative centers on grid reliability, infrastructure resilience, and electrification within one of the densest energy markets in the country. The company has emphasized multi-billion-dollar capital investment plans and a targeted mid-single-digit rate-base growth trajectory, supported by a constructive regulatory framework in New York.
In its most recent quarter, ED reported revenue of approximately $5.1 billion, up about 6% year over year and ahead of expectations, but adjusted EPS of about $2.17 to $2.18 fell short of consensus estimates. Management reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $6.00 to $6.20. The company also announced a $2 billion at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program to help fund infrastructure and electrification investments, a move that introduces potential near-term share dilution. ED's shares have advanced in the mid-to-high single digits year to date but have lagged both the broader utilities sector and DUK over the past year.
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6) Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks lies in their growth drivers. DUK is positioned to benefit from an unusually large pipeline of data-center electricity demand concentrated in the Southeast and Midwest, which could translate into meaningful capital upside and accelerated load growth. ED, by contrast, is a pure-play regulated utility tied to New York's electrification and reliability spending, offering steady but more modest growth with less exposure to the data-center boom.
From a size and scale perspective, DUK's market capitalization is roughly two-and-a-half times larger than ED's, and DUK operates across multiple states, providing geographic diversification. ED is more concentrated in a single, high-density metro region, which reduces diversification but provides strong defensive demand characteristics.
On recent momentum, DUK has outperformed ED, reflecting stronger earnings momentum and the market's enthusiasm for data-center-linked utilities. DUK also carries stronger balance-sheet flexibility and a higher dividend-growth streak, while ED's ATM equity program introduces near-term dilution risk. Both companies face regulatory and interest-rate sensitivity, but ED's valuation appears more demanding relative to its growth rate, while DUK trades at a comparatively more favorable earnings-growth profile. Market sentiment currently favors DUK's catalyst-rich outlook over ED's steadier, lower-beta defensive profile.
7) Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, catalyst visibility, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor DUK over ED in the current environment. DUK exhibits stronger recent relative performance, a more consistent earnings trajectory, and a more defined growth catalyst in its contracted data-center pipeline. ED's steadier but slower growth profile and recent equity-dilution overhang make it a comparatively less compelling setup on a relative basis. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and the balance of factors could shift as regulatory outcomes, capital plans, and market sentiment evolve.
8) Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Buy and ED is a Buy.
DUK in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
DUK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 32 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DUK as a result. In 54 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DUK just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where DUK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The 10-day moving average for DUK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +3.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DUK advanced for three days, in 170 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 147 of 300 cases where DUK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DUK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.
DUK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DUK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.847) is normal, around the industry mean (2.063). P/E Ratio (19.128) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.917). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.112) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.756) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
ED's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ED turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where ED's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ED as a result. In 38 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
ED moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ED crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +2.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ED advanced for three days, in 169 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 128 of 295 cases where ED Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 43%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for ED moved below the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ED declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.
ED broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ED’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 51 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.677) is normal, around the industry mean (2.063). P/E Ratio (19.121) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.917). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.034) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.171) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
DUK | ED | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 29 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 36 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ED's Valuation (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (53). This means that ED’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
ED's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (21). This means that ED’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as ED (75). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to ED’s over the last 12 months.
ED's Price Growth Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (40). This means that ED’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
ED's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (54). This means that ED’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | ED | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 32% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 41% | 5 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 43% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ED’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ED’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ED’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ED’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +1.93% price change this week, while ED (@Electric Utilities) price change was +0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
ED is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.47% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
ED and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ED has been closely correlated with DUK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ED jumps, then DUK could also see price increases.