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ELA vs FOSL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ELA is a Hold and FOSL is a Hold.
ELA's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ELA entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 152 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 130 of the 152 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for ELA moved below the 200-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ELA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for ELA's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
ELA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.968) is normal, around the industry mean (6.448). P/E Ratio (14.233) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.915). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (0.396). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.136) is also within normal values, averaging (1.399).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ELA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ELA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
FOSL's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FOSL turned positive on September 17, 2026. Looking at past instances where FOSL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FOSL as a result. In 80 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
FOSL moved above its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +10.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOSL advanced for three days, in 191 of 233 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 96 of 136 cases where FOSL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 19 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOSL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
FOSL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.960) is normal, around the industry mean (2.589). P/E Ratio (22.779) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.101). FOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.900) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.949). FOSL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (0.306) is also within normal values, averaging (1.777).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
ELA | FOSL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 46 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 1 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ELA's Valuation (56) in the null industry is in the same range as FOSL (79) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that ELA’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
ELA's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the null industry is in the same range as FOSL (100) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that ELA’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
ELA's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for FOSL (98) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that ELA’s stock grew significantly faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
FOSL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as ELA (64) in the null industry. This means that FOSL’s stock grew similarly to ELA’s over the last 12 months.
ELA's P/E Growth Rating (85) in the null industry is in the same range as FOSL (100) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that ELA’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
| ELA | FOSL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 14 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 21 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ELA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while FOSL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ELA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FOSL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ELA’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FOSL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ELA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
- FOSL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ELA (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) experienced а -2.63% price change this week, while FOSL (@Wholesale Distributors) price change was +1.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry was +1.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.08%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was +251.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +197.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +91.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
ELA is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
FOSL is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Catalog/Specialty Distribution (+1.22% weekly)The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.
@Wholesale Distributors (+251.07% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
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ELA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that ELA and SIG have been poorly correlated (+31% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ELA and SIG's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ELA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELA | 100% | -1.09% | ||
| SIG - ELA | 31% Poorly correlated | +2.04% | ||
| MOV - ELA | 29% Poorly correlated | +0.78% | ||
| CPRI - ELA | 18% Poorly correlated | +0.46% | ||
| FOSL - ELA | 16% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| LANV - ELA | 6% Poorly correlated | -1.12% | ||
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