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BIRK vs FOSL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BIRK is a Hold and FOSL is a Hold.
BIRK's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 3 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for BIRK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +1.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIRK advanced for three days, in 122 of 168 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 90 of 126 cases where BIRK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BIRK moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BIRK as a result. In 40 of 51 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIRK turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 19 of the 23 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
BIRK moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIRK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
BIRK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.919) is normal, around the industry mean (2.900). P/E Ratio (17.798) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.496). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.935) is also within normal values, averaging (0.949). BIRK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (2.133) is also within normal values, averaging (1.252).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BIRK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BIRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
FOSL in -3.82% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 22, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where FOSL declined for three days, in 284 of 320 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FOSL moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 88%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FOSL as a result. In 78 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FOSL turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +10.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOSL advanced for three days, in 191 of 233 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
FOSL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 99 of 136 cases where FOSL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.342) is normal, around the industry mean (2.900). FOSL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-5.197) as compared to the industry average of (12.496). FOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.900) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.949). FOSL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (0.306) is also within normal values, averaging (1.252).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
FOSL | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| BIRK | FOSL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 73% | 24 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 89% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BIRK’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while FOSL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BIRK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- FOSL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BIRK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FOSL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BIRK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- FOSL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BIRK (@Wholesale Distributors) experienced а -3.78% price change this week, while FOSL (@Wholesale Distributors) price change was -4.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was -3.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
BIRK is expected to report earnings on Dec 17, 2026.
FOSL is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Wholesale Distributors (-3.77% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
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BIRK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BIRK has been loosely correlated with RL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BIRK jumps, then RL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BIRK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRK | 100% | -3.30% | ||
| RL - BIRK | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| DECK - BIRK | 49% Loosely correlated | -4.91% | ||
| ONON - BIRK | 44% Loosely correlated | -4.38% | ||
| CROX - BIRK | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.45% | ||
| VFC - BIRK | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
More | ||||
FOSL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOSL has been loosely correlated with MOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FOSL jumps, then MOV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FOSL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSL | 100% | +0.76% | ||
| MOV - FOSL | 38% Loosely correlated | -2.54% | ||
| SHOO - FOSL | 34% Loosely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| SIG - FOSL | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.51% | ||
| FWDI - FOSL | 23% Poorly correlated | -2.72% | ||
| ONON - FOSL | 22% Poorly correlated | -4.38% | ||
More | ||||