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EQNR vs PBR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Equinor ASA (EQNR) vs. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EQNR and PBR have delivered strong year-to-date gains, with PBR at approximately 72% outperforming EQNR's 58% amid volatile energy markets.
- PBR trades at a lower P/E ratio of around 7 versus EQNR's 17, reflecting higher earnings yield but exposure to Brazilian political risks.
- EQNR reported robust Q1 2026 results with record output and secured major NCS contracts worth $1.83 billion, bolstering long-term production.
- PBR maintains high dividend yields near 7%, supported by strong cash flows, ahead of its upcoming Q1 earnings on May 12, 2026.
- Market caps favor PBR at $131 billion over EQNR's $91 billion, with both benefiting from oil price volatility tied to global tensions.
- Tickeron's AI bots highlight energy sector opportunities, with some achieving up to 95% annualized returns in oil-related strategies.
Introduction
Equinor ASA (EQNR) and Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) represent major players in the integrated oil and gas sector, blending traditional hydrocarbon operations with energy transition efforts. This stock comparison evaluates their recent market performance, financial metrics, and sector positioning amid fluctuating oil prices driven by geopolitical events. Traders seeking exposure to energy volatility and investors eyeing dividend yields or growth potential in offshore production will find insights into relative strengths, such as EQNR's Norwegian stability versus PBR's Brazilian scale and payouts. Both stocks have outperformed broader indices year-to-date, underscoring their appeal in the current environment.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA (EQNR), a Norway-based energy firm formerly known as Statoil, operates across exploration, production, refining, and renewables. Its segments include Exploration & Production Norway, International, USA, Marketing, Midstream & Processing, and Renewables. In recent market activity, EQNR has shown resilience, trading around $36.69 with a year-to-date return of 57.54% and one-year gain of 70.88%. Q1 2026 results highlighted record output and adjusted earnings of $3.7 billion on $27.84 billion revenue, despite a cash flow miss that pressured shares short-term. Sentiment has been influenced by extensions of Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS) contracts worth $1.83 billion, new production licenses, and bio-methanol agreements signaling renewables push. Broader oil price swings from global tensions have supported gains, though shares dipped amid valuation concerns post-earnings.
PBR Overview and Recent Performance
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR), Brazil's state-controlled oil giant, focuses on exploration, production, refining, and low-carbon energies across Brazil and internationally. Key segments are Exploration and Production, Refining, Transportation & Marketing, and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. Recently, PBR traded near $20.33, boasting a year-to-date return of 72.42% and one-year advance of 89.57%, outpacing peers. High dividends, including recent extraordinary payouts and a forward yield around 7%, have drawn income-focused investors. Production ramps like Búzios 8 via FPSO and strong Q4 results with $2.96 billion net profit fueled momentum, though shares faced pressure from market gains elsewhere. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on May 12 add anticipation, tempered by Brazil's political oversight on pricing and dividends.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EQNR and PBR differ in business models: EQNR emphasizes stable Norwegian shelf production with growing renewables (e.g., offshore wind, carbon capture), while PBR leverages massive pre-salt offshore assets in Brazil for volume-driven growth. Growth drivers contrast EQNR's international expansion targeting 900,000 boepd by 2030 against PBR's refinery utilization push to 95%. Recent momentum favors PBR's superior YTD returns, but EQNR offers lower debt ($31B vs. PBR's $70B) and steadier cash reserves. Risk factors include EQNR's exposure to European energy policies versus PBR's vulnerability to Brazilian government interventions on dividends and pricing. Both share oil sector exposure, yet EQNR's diversified renewables buffer transitions better. Market sentiment tilts toward PBR for value (P/E 7 vs. 17) and yield, while EQNR appeals for operational reliability amid global oil volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward PBR based on stronger trend consistency, higher relative YTD performance, attractive valuation, and dividend catalysts ahead of Q1 earnings. Its scale in Brazilian pre-salt fields and robust cash flows position it favorably in a high-oil-price environment driven by tensions. EQNR's stability and contract wins provide a close second, but PBR edges out probabilistically for momentum traders, though with elevated political risks warranting caution.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EQNR is a Hold and PBR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EQNR’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whilePBR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EQNR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PBR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EQNR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PBR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EQNR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PBR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
EQNR (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -8.88% price change this week, while PBR (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
PBR is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-4.78% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EQNR | PBR | EQNR / PBR | |
| Capitalization | 85.4B | 112B | 76% |
| EBITDA | 39.6B | 250B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | 48.423 | 52.193 | 93% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.50 | 5.40 | 287% |
| Revenue | 104B | 489B | 21% |
| Total Cash | 20.1B | 47.6B | 42% |
| Total Debt | 31.9B | 372B | 9% |
EQNR | PBR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PBR's Valuation (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (25). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (26). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's SMR Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (65). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
PBR's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (44). This means that PBR’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for PBR (87). This means that EQNR’s stock grew significantly faster than PBR’s over the last 12 months.
| EQNR | PBR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 8 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 8 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 11 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 40% |
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PBR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBR has been loosely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBR | 100% | -5.66% | ||
| BP - PBR | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.78% | ||
| SHEL - PBR | 60% Loosely correlated | -3.56% | ||
| SU - PBR | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.17% | ||
| EQNR - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | -5.31% | ||
| CRGY - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | -4.84% | ||
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