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EQNR vs XOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Equinor ASA (EQNR) vs. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EQNR has delivered superior year-to-date (YTD) returns of over 70%, significantly outpacing XOM's approximately 28% gain amid elevated oil prices.
- Recent geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, have boosted trading profits for both, but EQNR benefits from North Sea discoveries and contract extensions.
- XOM reported strong Q1 2026 earnings, beating estimates with higher Guyana and Permian output, despite Middle East disruptions.
- XOM offers a slightly higher dividend yield of about 4.1% versus EQNR's 3.9%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both stocks exhibit resilience in volatile energy markets, with EQNR's smaller market cap ($99B) suggesting greater upside potential compared to XOM's $635B scale.
Introduction
Equinor ASA (EQNR) and Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) are prominent integrated energy giants navigating a turbulent oil market shaped by geopolitical risks and supply disruptions. EQNR, Norway's state-controlled firm, balances traditional hydrocarbons with renewables, while XOM, a U.S. supermajor, leverages vast integrated operations. This comparison aids traders seeking momentum plays and investors prioritizing stability or dividends, especially amid recent oil price surges from Middle East tensions. Key metrics reveal contrasts in performance, growth drivers, and risk profiles for informed relative positioning.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA (EQNR) is a Norwegian energy company focused on upstream oil and gas production, with growing renewables exposure. Trading near $40 per share with a market capitalization of about $99 billion, it boasts a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.5 and a 3.9% dividend yield. In recent market activity, EQNR has surged over 70% YTD, driven by robust hydrocarbon discoveries in the North Sea, Arctic Norway, and Brazil's Santos Basin, alongside drilling advancements like the Raia project. Elevated oil prices from Iran-related volatility have lifted trading profits beyond guidance, while a completed share buyback tranche and stake sale in solar firm Scatec have sharpened focus on core operations. Sentiment remains positive ahead of Q1 2026 earnings, reflecting operational resilience.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is a global integrated oil major with extensive exploration, refining, and chemicals operations. Priced around $153 per share and commanding a $635 billion market cap, it features a P/E ratio of 25.7 and a 4.1% dividend yield. Recent weeks have seen modest pullbacks after Q1 2026 earnings of $4.2 billion (beating EPS estimates at $1.16), fueled by record Guyana and Permian Basin output despite a 6% global production hit from Iran war disruptions. YTD gains of 28% reflect strength in diversified assets, though refinery overhauls and potential Venezuela re-entry add catalysts. Market sentiment supports its scale amid sustained high oil prices.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EQNR and XOM share integrated energy models but diverge in emphasis: EQNR leans upstream with renewables (despite recent divestitures), while XOM excels in downstream refining and chemicals for diversified cash flows. Growth drivers contrast EQNR's international discoveries (North Sea, Brazil) against XOM's massive Guyana ramps and Permian dominance. Recent momentum favors EQNR's outsized gains, but XOM provides stability via lower beta (0.18, a volatility measure vs. market). Risks include geopolitical exposure for both, though XOM's size mitigates drawdowns; sector ties amplify oil sensitivity. Sentiment tilts toward EQNR for growth traders, XOM for defensive plays.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward EQNR with higher conviction, driven by its trend consistency, 70%+ YTD outperformance, and catalysts like discoveries and earnings potential. While XOM offers superior stability and dividends, EQNR's relative positioning in the energy rally suggests greater near-term upside probability amid volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EQNR is a Hold and XOM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EQNR’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileXOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EQNR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EQNR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XOM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EQNR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
EQNR (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -2.06% price change this week, while XOM (@Integrated Oil) price change was -1.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.04% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EQNR | XOM | EQNR / XOM | |
| Capitalization | 91.6B | 609B | 15% |
| EBITDA | 39.6B | 64.4B | 61% |
| Gain YTD | 56.741 | 23.811 | 238% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.37 | 24.75 | 66% |
| Revenue | 104B | 326B | 32% |
| Total Cash | 20.1B | 8.44B | 238% |
| Total Debt | 31.9B | 47.7B | 67% |
EQNR | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EQNR's Valuation (25) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (44). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (26). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's SMR Rating (65) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (73). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (48). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as XOM (15). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
| EQNR | XOM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 69% | 11 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 9 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 62% |
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EQNR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EQNR has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EQNR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EQNR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQNR | 100% | -1.55% | ||
| BP - EQNR | 74% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| SU - EQNR | 71% Closely correlated | -0.32% | ||
| XOM - EQNR | 70% Closely correlated | +0.28% | ||
| CVE - EQNR | 69% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| SHEL - EQNR | 68% Closely correlated | -0.22% | ||
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XOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XOM has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XOM jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | 100% | +0.28% | ||
| CVX - XOM | 82% Closely correlated | +0.75% | ||
| EQNR - XOM | 70% Closely correlated | -1.55% | ||
| CRGY - XOM | 69% Closely correlated | +0.87% | ||
| CVE - XOM | 69% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| BP - XOM | 68% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
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