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EC vs EQNR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) vs. Equinor ASA (EQNR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EC delivers a compelling 5.14% dividend yield with a low P/E of 9.31, appealing to value-oriented energy investors.
- EQNR boasts superior YTD performance at 57.54% versus EC's 34.43%, driven by diversified operations and renewables exposure.
- Both stocks exhibit low betas (EC at -0.04, EQNR at -0.72), indicating relative stability amid oil price volatility.
- EC faces credit rating pressures from Moody's downgrade, while EQNR benefits from international expansion and strong cash flows.
- EQNR's larger market cap ($90.63B) and ROE (12.36%) edge out EC ($26.54B, 11.80%) in scale and efficiency.
- Recent partnerships bolster EC's assets, but EQNR shows stronger long-term momentum.
Introduction
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and Equinor ASA (EQNR) represent key players in the integrated oil and gas sector, with operations spanning exploration, production, refining, and emerging renewables. This stock comparison evaluates their relative performance, financial metrics, and market positioning in the current energy landscape. Traders seeking high-yield dividends and value may eye EC, Colombia's state-controlled giant, while growth-focused investors might prefer EQNR, Norway's diversified major with global reach. Amid fluctuating oil prices and geopolitical shifts, understanding their contrasts aids informed relative performance decisions.
EC Overview and Recent Performance
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) is Colombia's largest integrated energy company, focusing on upstream exploration and production, midstream transport, refining, and petrochemicals. Headquartered in Bogotá, it operates primarily in Colombia with international ventures. In recent market activity, EC's shares traded around $12.64, reflecting a year-to-date gain of 34.43% and one-year return of 62.60%, outpacing broader benchmarks. Influences include strategic partnerships, such as Parex Resources acquiring a 50% stake in Magdalena Basin assets, and a share purchase agreement for Brava Energia S.A. However, sentiment softened with Moody's downgrade to Ba2 (negative outlook) due to fiscal pressures. Key metrics feature a low beta of -0.04, signaling low volatility, a 5.14% dividend yield, and P/E (ttm) of 9.31. The stock's 52-week range spans $8.18–$15.62, with ROE at 11.80% underscoring solid profitability amid energy sector dynamics.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA (EQNR), formerly Statoil, is a Norway-based energy firm with segments in exploration and production (Norway, international, USA), marketing, midstream, processing, and renewables. It produced 2.1 million barrels of oil equivalent daily in 2025. Recently, shares hovered near $36.69, delivering a standout YTD return of 57.54% and one-year gain of 70.88%, surpassing the OBX Index. Performance drivers include record outputs, higher energy prices, and expansions like NCS contracts worth $1.83 billion and offshore wind projects. Analyst holds persist, with TD Cowen raising targets to $40. Metrics highlight a beta of -0.72, 4.25% dividend yield, P/E (ttm) of 16.60, and ROE of 12.36%. The 52-week range is $22.26–$43.46, with revenue (ttm) at $104.26B and EPS of $2.21 supporting robust positioning in recent weeks' oil momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and Equinor ASA (EQNR) both thrive in integrated oil & gas, but diverge in scale and diversification. EC's Colombia-centric model emphasizes upstream with refining, yielding a cheaper valuation (P/E 9.31 vs. 16.60, price/sales 0.82) and higher dividend (5.14%), but higher debt/equity (99.96%) and credit risks. Growth drivers for EC include basin partnerships; risks stem from regional politics. EQNR leverages global assets, renewables (e.g., offshore wind), and lower debt (73%), fostering superior momentum (YTD 57.54% vs. 34.43%) and ROE (12.36%). Recent EQNR catalysts like production records contrast EC's downgrades. Sector exposure overlaps in oil volatility, but EQNR's stability suits conservative traders, while EC offers value trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward EQNR in the current environment, citing its trend consistency, diversified catalysts like renewables and international growth, and stronger relative YTD positioning. While EC provides attractive value and yield, EQNR's scale, lower leverage, and momentum suggest higher probability of outperformance amid energy transitions and oil stability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EC is a StrongBuy and EQNR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EC’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileEQNR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- EC’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- EQNR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EQNR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- EQNR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EC (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +9.44% price change this week, while EQNR (@Integrated Oil) price change was -2.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
EC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.04% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EC | EQNR | EC / EQNR | |
| Capitalization | 32B | 91.4B | 35% |
| EBITDA | 28.04T | 39.6B | 70,801% |
| Gain YTD | 82.600 | 56.741 | 146% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.26 | 16.37 | 75% |
| Revenue | 116.95T | 104B | 112,456% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 20.1B | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 31.9B | - |
EC | EQNR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EQNR's Valuation (25) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EC (28). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to EC’s over the last 12 months.
EC's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (26). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EC's SMR Rating (22) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EQNR (65). This means that EC’s stock grew somewhat faster than EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EC's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (44). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EC's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (12). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
| EC | EQNR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 55% |
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EC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EC has been loosely correlated with CRGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EC jumps, then CRGY could also see price increases.