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FCBC vs SMBK
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FCBC is a Hold and SMBK is a Hold.
FCBC's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FCBC turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where FCBC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FCBC as a result. In 69 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +1.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCBC advanced for three days, in 182 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
FCBC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 60 cases where FCBC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
FCBC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FCBC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCBC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for FCBC entered a downward trend on September 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FCBC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.668) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (15.051) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.380) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.269) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
SMBK in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 23, 2026
SMBK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 45 cases where SMBK's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SMBK as a result. In 55 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +2.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMBK advanced for three days, in 174 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 26 of 48 cases where SMBK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMBK turned negative on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.
SMBK moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SMBK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMBK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for SMBK entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SMBK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.475) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (14.678) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). SMBK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (4.163) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
FCBC | SMBK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 90 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 36 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FCBC's Valuation (74) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SMBK (80). This means that FCBC’s stock grew similarly to SMBK’s over the last 12 months.
SMBK's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FCBC (21). This means that SMBK’s stock grew similarly to FCBC’s over the last 12 months.
SMBK's SMR Rating (31) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FCBC (35). This means that SMBK’s stock grew similarly to FCBC’s over the last 12 months.
FCBC's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SMBK (42). This means that FCBC’s stock grew similarly to SMBK’s over the last 12 months.
FCBC's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SMBK (36). This means that FCBC’s stock grew similarly to SMBK’s over the last 12 months.
| FCBC | SMBK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 13 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 60% | 1 day ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 51% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FCBC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SMBK’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FCBC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SMBK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FCBC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMBK’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FCBC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SMBK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FCBC (@Regional Banks) experienced а +0.86% price change this week, while SMBK (@Regional Banks) price change was -0.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was -0.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
FCBC is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
SMBK is expected to report earnings on Oct 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (-0.94% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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FCBC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FCBC has been closely correlated with MCBS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FCBC jumps, then MCBS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FCBC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCBC | 100% | +0.10% | ||
| MCBS - FCBC | 80% Closely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| THFF - FCBC | 78% Closely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| FBIZ - FCBC | 77% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| ORRF - FCBC | 77% Closely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| SMBK - FCBC | 77% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
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