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FERG vs MSM
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FERG is a Buy and MSM is a StrongBuy.
Momentum Indicator for FERG turns positive, indicating new upward trend
FERG saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 62 of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
FERG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FERG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +4.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in 223 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 175 of 313 cases where FERG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
FERG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.446) is normal, around the industry mean (4.070). P/E Ratio (24.109) is within average values for comparable stocks, (0.373). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.426) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.467) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.351) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
MSM in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026
MSM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 37 cases where MSM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MSM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 52 cases where MSM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +3.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSM advanced for three days, in 185 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 133 of 276 cases where MSM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSM as a result. In 52 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSM turned negative on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
MSM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MSM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.761) is normal, around the industry mean (4.070). P/E Ratio (29.232) is within average values for comparable stocks, (0.373). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.487) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.467) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.724) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
FERG | MSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FERG's Valuation (76) in the null industry is in the same range as MSM (85) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to MSM’s over the last 12 months.
MSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as FERG (28) in the null industry. This means that MSM’s stock grew similarly to FERG’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as MSM (52) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to MSM’s over the last 12 months.
MSM's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as FERG (50) in the null industry. This means that MSM’s stock grew similarly to FERG’s over the last 12 months.
MSM's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FERG (55) in the null industry. This means that MSM’s stock grew somewhat faster than FERG’s over the last 12 months.
| FERG | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 58% | 15 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 48% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FERG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while MSM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FERG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MSM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FERG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MSM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FERG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FERG (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а +5.21% price change this week, while MSM (@Electronics Distributors) price change was +6.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +4.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
FERG is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
MSM is expected to report earnings on Jan 13, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+4.00% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
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FERG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with CNM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then CNM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FERG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 100% | -0.74% | ||
| CNM - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| WSO - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| AIT - FERG | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.75% | ||
| WCC - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | -6.44% | ||
| SITE - FERG | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
More | ||||
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