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FERG vs QXO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) vs. QXO (QXO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FERG is a mature, profitable distributor of plumbing, HVAC, and waterworks products with roughly $31 billion in annual sales, while QXO is a rapidly consolidating building-products roll-up still posting operating losses as it integrates acquisitions.
- Ferguson has returned significant capital to shareholders through buybacks and a growing dividend, whereas QXO is prioritizing M&A-driven (merger and acquisition) scale and is still in the early stages of its integration plan.
- FERG offers stability, positive earnings, and non-residential/data-center tailwinds; QXO carries higher risk but a more aggressive long-term growth trajectory toward a $50 billion revenue target.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, profitability, and relative stability, Tickeron's AI would currently favor FERG over QXO.
- For more detail, explore FERG Major News and FERG Today's Price Move, as well as QXO Major News and QXO Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI trading bots are positioning across these and other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Both FERG and QXO operate in the building-products distribution industry, yet they represent two very different investment profiles. Ferguson Enterprises is an established industry leader with a long track record of profitability, while QXO is a fast-moving consolidation platform led by serial dealmaker Brad Jacobs. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing steady, cash-generative market positioning against a higher-risk, acquisition-driven growth story. The relative performance of these names reflects contrasting strategies, balance sheets, and risk profiles, making them a useful pair for understanding how stability and aggressive expansion trade off in the current market environment.
FERG Overview and Recent Performance
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) is North America's largest value-added distributor of plumbing, HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), waterworks, and related products, serving roughly $340 billion in residential and non-residential construction markets. With approximately 35,000 associates across more than 1,700 locations, the company generates around $31 billion in annual revenue.
In recent weeks, Ferguson has continued to demonstrate resilient execution despite a subdued residential backdrop. The company reported net sales growth and higher adjusted operating profit in its most recent quarterly results, supported by strength in non-residential and waterworks segments. Residential activity has remained soft, and management has signaled expectations for continued residential weakness, but non-residential demand and large capital projects—including exposure to data-center infrastructure—have provided an offset. Ferguson has also reinforced its shareholder-return story with an increased dividend and a newly authorized multi-billion-dollar share repurchase program, and it has announced a review of its secondary London Stock Exchange listing, with a possible cancellation of that listing under consideration.
QXO Overview and Recent Performance
QXO, Inc. (QXO) is a building-products distributor built through rapid, large-scale acquisitions under Chairman and CEO Brad Jacobs. After completing its approximately $11 billion acquisition of Beacon Roofing Supply, the company closed a $2.25 billion purchase of Kodiak Building Partners and announced a roughly $17 billion agreement to acquire TopBuild, a leading insulation installer and distributor. These moves position QXO to become one of the largest publicly traded building-products distributors in North America.
In recent market activity, QXO has generated sharply higher revenue as acquired businesses are consolidated, but the company has also posted sizable net and operating losses, reflecting integration costs, investments in technology and staffing, and softer building-products demand. The company has raised billions in financing to fund its acquisition strategy and reiterated a long-term goal of reaching $50 billion in annual revenue. Sentiment has been volatile, with the shares experiencing pronounced swings as investors weigh the scale and synergy potential of the roll-up against execution risk, integration complexity, and a complicated capital structure.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI-powered trading bots chosen for their suitability to current market conditions. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and statistical profile. Rather than presenting every available bot, the Trending AI Robots section highlights only those that are currently among the best aligned with prevailing market dynamics. For traders and investors comparing names like FERG and QXO, reviewing these AI-driven tools can add a quantitative, data-based layer to traditional analysis. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to see which strategies are performing well in today's environment.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most significant contrast between FERG and QXO is maturity versus transformation. Ferguson operates an established, diversified distribution model with positive net income, disciplined capital allocation, and a mix of residential and non-residential exposure. QXO, by contrast, is in the early innings of integrating several large acquisitions, carrying elevated operating expenses and reporting losses even as its revenue base expands rapidly.
Growth drivers also differ. Ferguson's momentum is tied to non-residential construction, waterworks, and large capital projects, while QXO's growth is primarily inorganic, dependent on closing and integrating deals and extracting synergies. On risk factors, QXO faces meaningful integration, execution, and balance-sheet complexity, whereas Ferguson's principal risks relate to residential construction weakness and margin normalization. In terms of market sentiment, Ferguson is generally viewed as a steady compounder, while QXO is seen as a higher-conviction, higher-risk consolidation story with substantial upside and downside potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, profitability, balance-sheet stability, and the reliability of near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FERG in the current environment. Ferguson's positive earnings, ongoing capital returns, and diversified end-market exposure provide a more consistent and stable profile than QXO's acquisition-heavy model, which currently carries operating losses and integration uncertainty. While QXO's scale ambitions and synergy potential could support strong longer-term returns, its recent price volatility and execution risk make it a less consistent candidate for an AI-driven trend framework. This assessment reflects probabilistic positioning rather than a definitive prediction.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FERG is a Buy and QXO is a Hold.
FERG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
FERG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FERG as a result. In 56 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The 10-day moving average for FERG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +4.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in 223 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 313 cases where FERG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
FERG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.291) is normal, around the industry mean (4.173). P/E Ratio (23.606) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.426) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.448) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.351) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
QXO's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for QXO moved out of oversold territory on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 27 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on QXO as a result. In 78 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for QXO just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where QXO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
QXO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for QXO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +8.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QXO advanced for three days, in 216 of 258 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QXO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
QXO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for QXO entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.287) is normal, around the industry mean (4.173). P/E Ratio (-12.565) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.947) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). QXO's Dividend Yield (9.052) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.448). P/S Ratio (0.839) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. QXO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. QXO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.
FERG | QXO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 1 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 32 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QXO's Valuation (1) in the Information Technology Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for FERG (76) in the null industry. This means that QXO’s stock grew significantly faster than FERG’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for QXO (100) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew significantly faster than QXO’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for QXO (93) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew somewhat faster than QXO’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's Price Growth Rating (42) in the null industry is in the same range as QXO (50) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to QXO’s over the last 12 months.
QXO's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Information Technology Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FERG (62) in the null industry. This means that QXO’s stock grew somewhat faster than FERG’s over the last 12 months.
| FERG | QXO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 68% | 8 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FERG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while QXO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FERG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- QXO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FERG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while QXO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FERG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QXO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FERG (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а +7.21% price change this week, while QXO (@Electronics Distributors) price change was +17.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +1.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
QXO is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+1.26% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
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FERG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with CNM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then CNM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FERG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 100% | +1.95% | ||
| CNM - FERG | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.04% | ||
| AIT - FERG | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| WSO - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| WCC - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | +3.33% | ||
| QXO - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.58% | ||
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QXO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QXO has been loosely correlated with FERG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if QXO jumps, then FERG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QXO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QXO | 100% | +0.58% | ||
| FERG - QXO | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.95% | ||
| CNM - QXO | 56% Loosely correlated | -3.04% | ||
| SITE - QXO | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.64% | ||
| BXC - QXO | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.16% | ||
| WCC - QXO | 50% Loosely correlated | +3.33% | ||
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