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FERG vs UMMA
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FERG is a Buy and UMMA is a Hold.
FERG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
FERG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FERG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FERG as a result. In 59 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FERG just turned positive on September 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where FERG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +0.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in 224 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 313 cases where FERG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 67 cases where FERG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
FERG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.091) is normal, around the industry mean (4.092). P/E Ratio (22.961) is within average values for comparable stocks, (1.310). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.426) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.500) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.351) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
UMMA sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
UMMA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UMMA as a result. In 52 of 67 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
UMMA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UMMA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UMMA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UMMA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UMMA advanced for three days, in 240 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
UMMA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 274 of 306 cases where UMMA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
FERG | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| FERG | UMMA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 58% | 8 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FERG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while .
- FERG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FERG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- FERG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FERG (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а -0.63% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +0.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
FERG is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+0.16% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
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FERG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with AIT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then AIT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FERG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 100% | -0.29% | ||
| AIT - FERG | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.75% | ||
| CNM - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.17% | ||
| WSO - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | +7.22% | ||
| WCC - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | -7.23% | ||
| SITE - FERG | 51% Loosely correlated | +5.87% | ||
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UMMA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UMMA has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UMMA jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UMMA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMMA | 100% | -1.98% | ||
| ASML - UMMA | 79% Closely correlated | -6.93% | ||
| SAN - UMMA | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.93% | ||
| FERG - UMMA | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| NIO - UMMA | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| OR - UMMA | 47% Loosely correlated | -4.25% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| MGV | 167.91 | 1.27 | +0.76% |
| Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) | |||
| BSJS | 21.47 | 0.02 | +0.09% |
| Invesco BulletShares 2028 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (BSJS) | |||
| EDGQ | 26.51 | -0.77 | -2.81% |
| Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF (EDGQ) | |||
| SGRT | 32.00 | -1.42 | -4.25% |
| SMART Earnings Growth 30 ETF (SGRT) | |||
| FSOL | 12.24 | -0.55 | -4.26% |
| Fidelity Solana Fund | |||