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FERG vs UMMA
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FERG is a Buy and UMMA is a StrongBuy.
FERG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
FERG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FERG as a result. In 56 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The 10-day moving average for FERG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +4.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in 223 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 313 cases where FERG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
FERG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.291) is normal, around the industry mean (4.173). P/E Ratio (23.606) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.426) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.448) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.351) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
UMMA in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
UMMA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 35 of 39 cases where UMMA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UMMA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 56 cases where UMMA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +4.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UMMA advanced for three days, in 240 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UMMA as a result. In 56 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UMMA turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
UMMA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UMMA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UMMA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator for UMMA entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
FERG | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| FERG | UMMA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 58% | 10 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 79% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FERG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- FERG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FERG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- FERG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FERG (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а +6.43% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +1.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.28%.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+1.43% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
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FERG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with CNM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then CNM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FERG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 100% | +1.95% | ||
| CNM - FERG | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.04% | ||
| AIT - FERG | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| WSO - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| WCC - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | +3.33% | ||
| QXO - FERG | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.58% | ||
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UMMA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UMMA has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UMMA jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UMMA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMMA | 100% | +2.06% | ||
| ASML - UMMA | 80% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| SAN - UMMA | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| FERG - UMMA | 52% Loosely correlated | +1.95% | ||
| NIO - UMMA | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.22% | ||
| OR - UMMA | 47% Loosely correlated | -2.22% | ||
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