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FIVE vs ULTA
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FIVE is a Buy and ULTA is a Buy.
FIVE in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026
FIVE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FIVE as a result. In 57 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FIVE just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where FIVE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +6.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in 235 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FIVE moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for FIVE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
FIVE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FIVE entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.251) is normal, around the industry mean (2.273). P/E Ratio (21.032) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.299). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.984) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.095) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.484) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ULTA sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ULTA moved above the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ULTA as a result. In 53 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ULTA just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ULTA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +0.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTA advanced for three days, in 214 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 169 of 277 cases where ULTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ULTA moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
ULTA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ULTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ULTA's P/B Ratio (10.268) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.298). P/E Ratio (23.053) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.260). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.978) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.093) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.806) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
FIVE | ULTA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 22 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 12 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FIVE's Valuation (74) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as ULTA (87) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that FIVE’s stock grew similarly to ULTA’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as FIVE (70) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew similarly to FIVE’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's SMR Rating (22) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as FIVE (35) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew similarly to FIVE’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as FIVE (40) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew similarly to FIVE’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FIVE (81) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew somewhat faster than FIVE’s over the last 12 months.
| FIVE | ULTA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 8 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FIVE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ULTA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- FIVE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ULTA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FIVE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ULTA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FIVE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ULTA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FIVE (@Specialty Stores) experienced а +3.90% price change this week, while ULTA (@Specialty Stores) price change was +1.96% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +3.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
FIVE is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
ULTA is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+3.20% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
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FIVE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FIVE has been loosely correlated with RH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FIVE jumps, then RH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FIVE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 100% | -1.16% | ||
| RH - FIVE | 65% Loosely correlated | -8.46% | ||
| CPRT - FIVE | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| HNST - FIVE | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.16% | ||
| FND - FIVE | 46% Loosely correlated | -2.01% | ||
| LOW - FIVE | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.19% | ||
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ULTA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ULTA has been loosely correlated with HNST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ULTA jumps, then HNST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ULTA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTA | 100% | -0.42% | ||
| HNST - ULTA | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.16% | ||
| AN - ULTA | 46% Loosely correlated | -3.98% | ||
| CPRT - ULTA | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| FIVE - ULTA | 42% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| ONEW - ULTA | 42% Loosely correlated | -1.94% | ||
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