This comparison examines The Honest Company (HNST) and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) to highlight differences in business models, recent financial metrics, and market dynamics within the consumer sector. Traders and investors focused on consumer staples, retail, or growth-oriented small- and mid-cap equities may find the analysis relevant for assessing relative performance and sector-specific drivers. The review draws on verifiable data from earnings reports and market activity in recent weeks to provide a factual basis for evaluating these stocks.
The Honest Company (HNST) develops and markets clean, sustainably designed personal care products, including wipes, diapers, beauty items, and household goods. In recent market activity, the company reported first-quarter 2026 results that showed revenue of $78.1 million, a year-over-year decline driven by strategic exits of lower-priority product lines. Organic revenue grew 3.9%, supported by strength in wipes and personal care categories. Adjusted gross margin reached a record 43.5%, reflecting improved product mix and cost efficiencies. The stock traded near $3.50 in late May following the earnings release, having posted approximately 31% year-to-date gains and 45% over the prior six months amid investor focus on the company’s turnaround initiatives. Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance for 4% to 6% organic revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA of $20 million to $23 million.
Ulta Beauty (ULTA) operates as the largest specialty beauty retailer in the United States, offering cosmetics, skincare, fragrance, hair care, and salon services across more than 1,500 locations. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced volatility, with sessions showing declines such as approximately 2.57% on one trading day amid broader market movements. The company is scheduled to report fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on June 2, 2026. Prior performance data and analyst expectations center on comparable sales trends and earnings per share estimates around $6.87. ULTA continues to benefit from its loyalty program and product collaborations, though it remains sensitive to shifts in discretionary consumer spending within the beauty category.
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The Honest Company (HNST) operates in the consumer packaged goods space with a focus on clean-label personal care, while Ulta Beauty (ULTA) functions as a multi-category beauty retailer combining product sales and in-store services. Growth drivers differ, with HNST emphasizing organic expansion in core categories and margin improvement through portfolio refinement, contrasted against ULTA’s reliance on store traffic, loyalty engagement, and newness in beauty offerings. Recent momentum shows HNST with notable year-to-date appreciation tied to earnings progress, whereas ULTA has faced more variable daily movements ahead of its earnings release. Risk factors include execution challenges in category exits for HNST and exposure to economic sensitivity in retail for ULTA. Sector exposure places HNST in household and personal products, distinct from ULTA’s positioning in specialty retail. Market sentiment reflects cautious optimism for HNST’s profitability trajectory and anticipation around ULTA’s upcoming results.
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency in margins and organic growth signals for The Honest Company (HNST), alongside relative stability in its balance sheet metrics, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to HNST over Ulta Beauty (ULTA) in the present environment. This assessment incorporates factors like earnings catalysts and positioning within respective sub-sectors but remains subject to evolving market data and should not be interpreted as a definitive recommendation.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HNST’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileULTA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HNST’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ULTA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
HNST (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +0.89% price change this week, while ULTA (@Specialty Stores) price change was -3.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +14.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.58%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +2.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.97%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.82%.
HNST is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
ULTA is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Specialty Stores (+2.31% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
| HNST | ULTA | HNST / ULTA | |
| Capitalization | 375M | 20.5B | 2% |
| EBITDA | -7.35M | 1.91B | -0% |
| Gain YTD | 32.171 | -21.010 | -153% |
| P/E Ratio | 47.33 | 17.91 | 264% |
| Revenue | 352M | 12.7B | 3% |
| Total Cash | 90.4M | 221M | 41% |
| Total Debt | 11.8M | 2.3B | 1% |
ULTA | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HNST | ULTA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 16 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 88% | 7 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 62% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HNST has been loosely correlated with GRWG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HNST jumps, then GRWG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNST | 100% | +1.19% | ||
| GRWG - HNST | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| RH - HNST | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.24% | ||
| ELF - HNST | 55% Loosely correlated | +6.48% | ||
| FND - HNST | 55% Loosely correlated | +8.30% | ||
| CHPT - HNST | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.74% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ULTA has been loosely correlated with HNST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ULTA jumps, then HNST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ULTA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTA | 100% | +3.26% | ||
| HNST - ULTA | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.19% | ||
| AN - ULTA | 46% Loosely correlated | +4.93% | ||
| CPRT - ULTA | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| LOW - ULTA | 42% Loosely correlated | +4.52% | ||
| ABG - ULTA | 42% Loosely correlated | +3.92% | ||
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