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CPRT vs ULTA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Copart (CPRT) vs. Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Copart (CPRT) is a dominant digital vehicle-auction and remarketing platform, while Ulta Beauty (ULTA) is the largest specialty beauty retailer in the U.S.
- Recent momentum has diverged sharply: ULTA has rallied on strong earnings and raised guidance, while CPRT has pulled back amid softer U.S. insurance volumes and margin pressure.
- CPRT's near-term story is anchored to a $1.9 billion acquisition of ACV Auctions and international expansion, while ULTA's is driven by comparable-sales growth, loyalty scale, and digital initiatives.
- Both carry a consensus analyst rating of "Buy," but ULTA trades near its average price target while CPRT sits well below its consensus target.
- Risk profiles differ: CPRT faces cyclical salvage-volume and cost headwinds, while ULTA faces consumer-spending sensitivity and rising competition.
Introduction
Investors often compare stocks within the same industry, but contrasting businesses from different sectors can sharpen how traders think about risk, growth, and relative performance. CPRT and ULTA offer exactly that contrast. Copart operates an asset-heavy, technology-driven vehicle-auction marketplace tied to insurance and automotive cycles, while Ulta Beauty runs a consumer-discretionary retail model dependent on foot traffic, brand assortment, and loyalty. For a stock comparison audience ranging from long-term investors to active traders, examining these two names side by side reveals how momentum, valuation, and catalysts can point in very different directions even in the same market environment.
CPRT Overview and Recent Performance
CPRT, or Copart, Inc., runs a global online vehicle-auction platform, primarily remarketing salvage and used vehicles on behalf of insurers, dealers, banks, and fleet operators. Its scale is substantial: roughly one million registered buyers across more than 185 countries and annual sales of over four million vehicles.
Recent weeks have been challenging for the stock. Copart's fiscal fourth-quarter results showed consolidated revenue up 2.4% year over year to about $1.2 billion, but net income attributable to Copart declined 17.4% to $327.4 million. Domestic insurance unit volume fell 7.5%, partly reflecting the loss of a major national insurance account, while operating expense per vehicle rose 12.7%. Management also disclosed lower collision-claim frequency as a headwind.
Two factors have partially offset this pressure. International revenue grew 11.7%, led by strong insurance-unit gains, and the company announced a $1.9 billion all-cash agreement to acquire ACV Auctions, a digital dealer-to-dealer marketplace. With roughly $5.7 billion in liquidity and no debt, Copart retains significant financial flexibility. The stock has underperformed the broader market in recent months, leaving shares well below the consensus analyst price target.
ULTA Overview and Recent Performance
ULTA, or Ulta Beauty, Inc., is the largest specialty beauty retailer in the United States, with more than 1,500 stores and a broad assortment spanning cosmetics, fragrance, skincare, haircare, and salon services. It is also expanding internationally through its Space NK subsidiary in the U.K. and Ireland, a joint venture in Mexico, and a Middle East franchise.
Ulta's recent market activity has been notably stronger. In its most recent quarter, revenue rose 8.9% year over year to $3.04 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.55 exceeding consensus. Comparable sales increased 3.8%, and the company raised its full-year net-sales and EPS guidance while boosting its share-repurchase plan to $1.8 billion. Fragrance delivered high-teens comparable-sales growth, and the loyalty program now approaches 47 million members.
Digital initiatives, including the TikTok Shop and an AI-enabled shopping assistant, plus exclusive brand launches, have supported engagement. The stock has appreciated meaningfully in recent months, and analysts' consensus rating remains "Buy," with the share price trading closer to its average target than Copart's.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ fundamentally in business model. Copart operates a two-sided digital marketplace with substantial owned real estate and a near-duopoly position in salvage auctions, generating high margins and durable cash flow. Ulta Beauty competes in a crowded specialty-retail landscape against players such as Sephora, relying on assortment breadth, loyalty, and store experience to differentiate.
Growth drivers also diverge. Copart's long-term thesis rests on rising vehicle complexity, total-loss frequency, and international expansion, with the ACV acquisition adding a dealer-to-dealer digital channel. Ulta's growth leans on comparable-sales gains, new-store openings, exclusive brands, and international rollout.
On recent momentum, ULTA has clearly led, translating earnings beats into share-price appreciation, whereas CPRT has lagged the broader market on volume and margin concerns. Risk profiles differ too: Copart faces cyclical salvage supply and rising per-unit costs, while Ulta is sensitive to discretionary consumer spending and inflationary pressure. Sector exposure is also distinct—industrial/automotive services versus consumer discretionary retail—which may matter for portfolio diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and catalyst clarity, Tickeron's AI would likely favor ULTA in the current environment. Ulta has demonstrated more consistent positive momentum, successive earnings beats, and upward guidance revisions, which algorithmic models typically interpret as stronger trend confirmation. Copart retains a compelling long-term structural story, but softer U.S. insurance volumes, rising costs, and pending regulatory clearance for the ACV acquisition introduce near-term uncertainty. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: it reflects current relative positioning, not a prediction of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CPRT is a Hold and ULTA is a Buy.
CPRT's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for CPRT moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CPRT as a result. In 50 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CPRT just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CPRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +6.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CPRT advanced for three days, in 182 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
CPRT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CPRT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CPRT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
CPRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CPRT entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CPRT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.960) is normal, around the industry mean (5.965). P/E Ratio (18.647) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.441). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.678) is also within normal values, averaging (1.946). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.321) is also within normal values, averaging (9.694).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CPRT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
ULTA's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ULTA turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ULTA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ULTA as a result. In 59 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +5.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTA advanced for three days, in 215 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 169 of 277 cases where ULTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
ULTA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ULTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ULTA's P/B Ratio (10.270) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.368). P/E Ratio (23.058) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.442). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.978) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.093) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.806) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
CPRT | ULTA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 22 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 17 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CPRT's Valuation (73) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ULTA (88) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that CPRT’s stock grew similarly to ULTA’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's Profit vs Risk Rating (46) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's SMR Rating (22) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as CPRT (53) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (62) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CPRT (80) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
| CPRT | ULTA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CPRT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ULTA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ULTA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CPRT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ULTA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CPRT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ULTA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CPRT (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а +4.83% price change this week, while ULTA (@Specialty Stores) price change was +2.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was -1.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.21%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +0.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
CPRT is expected to report earnings on Nov 19, 2026.
ULTA is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (-1.25% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Specialty Stores (+0.60% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
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ULTA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ULTA has been loosely correlated with HNST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ULTA jumps, then HNST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ULTA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTA | 100% | +4.62% | ||
| HNST - ULTA | 49% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| AN - ULTA | 46% Loosely correlated | +5.77% | ||
| CPRT - ULTA | 45% Loosely correlated | +5.46% | ||
| LOW - ULTA | 42% Loosely correlated | +3.97% | ||
| ONEW - ULTA | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.15% | ||
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