FMAY
Price
$57.26
Change
-$0.18 (-0.31%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
1.48B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XDEC
Price
$43.95
Change
+$0.01 (+0.02%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
208.02M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FMAY vs XDEC

FMAY vs XDEC Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? FT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - May (FMAY) vs. FT Vest U.S. Equity Enhance & Moderate Buffer ETF - December (XDEC)

Key Takeaways

  • Both FMAY and XDEC are First Trust FT Vest defined outcome ETFs that use flexible exchange options (FLEX Options) on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) to deliver buffered exposure to large-cap U.S. equities.
  • FMAY targets a standard downside buffer with capped upside over its annual May-to-May outcome period, while XDEC employs an enhanced upside structure paired with a moderate buffer over its December-to-December period.
  • Each ETF maintains a low number of holdings (typically one to three positions) due to its options-based strategy, resulting in concentrated exposure to S&P 500 (S&P 500) performance rather than individual stock selection.
  • Both funds carry an identical expense ratio of 0.85 percent and operate as actively managed, non-diversified vehicles with annual reset mechanics that can alter participation rates and buffer levels each cycle.
  • Structural differences in buffer depth, upside participation, and reset timing create distinct risk-return profiles suited to varying investor preferences for downside protection versus enhanced growth potential.
  • Liquidity profiles remain modest compared with broad-market ETFs, reflecting the specialized nature of these defined outcome products.

Introduction

Defined outcome ETFs have gained traction among investors seeking structured equity exposure with built-in risk management features. FMAY and XDEC represent two variants within the same issuer family, each calibrated to the S&P 500 through options overlays. They do not compete directly as identical products; instead, they offer alternative approaches to buffered large-cap exposure, differing primarily in their annual reset calendars and the balance between downside protection and upside enhancement. This comparison highlights how structural nuances can influence suitability across different market environments.

FT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - May (FMAY) Overview

FMAY seeks to provide investors with a predefined buffer against the first 10 percent of losses in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) over a one-year outcome period beginning each May, while capping upside participation at a level determined at the start of the period. The fund invests primarily in FLEX Options referencing SPY and holds essentially one primary position, reflecting its synthetic strategy. Sector allocations mirror the underlying S&P 500 composition, with technology typically representing the largest weighting. The expense ratio stands at 0.85 percent. As an actively managed defined outcome vehicle, FMAY resets annually, with the buffer and cap resetting each May based on prevailing market conditions.

FT Vest U.S. Equity Enhance & Moderate Buffer ETF - December (XDEC) Overview

XDEC aims to deliver approximately twice the positive returns of SPY up to a predetermined cap, while providing protection against the first 15 percent of losses over its annual December-to-December outcome period. The strategy also relies on FLEX Options linked to SPY, resulting in a small number of holdings (typically three or fewer). Sector exposure aligns with S&P 500 weights, led by technology. The expense ratio matches FMAY at 0.85 percent. This actively managed product resets each December, with the enhanced participation rate and moderate buffer recalibrated annually according to option pricing at reset.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within the defined outcome and volatility-hedged equity segment, targeting large-cap U.S. equities through S&P 500 exposure. The broader environment features ongoing investor interest in downside protection amid economic uncertainty, interest rate volatility, and geopolitical developments. Capital flows into structured products have increased as participants seek alternatives to traditional indexing during periods of elevated market swings. Regulatory scrutiny of options-based strategies remains limited, while macroeconomic drivers such as corporate earnings growth in technology and shifts in monetary policy continue to influence S&P 500 performance. Sector risks include concentration in high-valuation technology names and sensitivity to changes in volatility regimes that affect option pricing and reset outcomes.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, both ETFs have delivered returns that track S&P 500 movements within their respective caps and buffers, with performance diverging based on reset timing and participation mechanics. FMAY has provided more consistent standard buffering during downturns, while XDEC has offered greater upside capture in favorable periods at the cost of a shallower buffer. Relative positioning shows XDEC potentially benefiting more from strong equity rallies due to its enhanced structure, whereas FMAY may exhibit lower volatility in moderate declines. Differences in annual reset calendars can lead to varying outcomes depending on the timing of market events within each fund’s outcome period.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. AI Screener

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest edge to FMAY due to its deeper standard buffer, which aligns with conservative risk management priorities in the current environment, combined with equivalent cost efficiency and comparable diversification limitations inherent to both products. The annual May reset may also offer favorable alignment with certain seasonal patterns, though outcomes remain probabilistic and dependent on prevailing option market conditions at each reset.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FMAY vs. XDEC commentary
Oct 24, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FMAY is a Hold and XDEC is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FMAY with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

FMAY's Stochastic Oscillator descends into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for FMAY moved into oversold territory on October 23, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +0.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FMAY advanced for three days, in 245 of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 294 of 426 cases where FMAY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FMAY as a result. In 49 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FMAY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.

FMAY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FMAY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

FMAY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XDEC with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

Aroon Indicator for XDEC shows an upward move is likely

XDEC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 23, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 541 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 324 of the 541 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 60%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +0.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XDEC advanced for three days, in 214 of 383 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XDEC moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 72 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 72 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 36%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 69 cases where XDEC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XDEC as a result. In 33 of 66 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XDEC turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 40%.

XDEC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FMAYXDEC
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
36%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
42%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
50%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
55%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
40%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
63%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
60%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
61%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
56%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
N/A
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
51%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
31%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
60%
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XDEC
Daily Signal:
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