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FPI vs FR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) vs. First Industrial Realty Trust (FR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FPI is a small-cap farmland REIT focused on U.S. cropland, while FR is a large-cap industrial logistics REIT with a national footprint.
- The two companies operate in sharply different real estate niches, exposing investors to very different demand drivers and risk profiles.
- FR has demonstrated stronger recent momentum in fundamentals, including rising rents, improved occupancy, and raised guidance.
- FPI has faced softer agricultural conditions, asset dispositions, and reduced funds-from-operations guidance.
- Both stocks offer comparable dividend yields near 3.4%, but their growth trajectories and volatility profiles diverge considerably.
Introduction
Investors evaluating real estate investment trusts (REITs, companies that own and operate income-producing property) often weigh diversification against growth. This stock comparison examines FPI and FR, two publicly traded REITs that anchor very different corners of the property market. Farmland Partners Inc. concentrates on North American agricultural land, while First Industrial Realty Trust owns and develops logistics warehouses. Their relative performance and market positioning offer a useful lens for traders weighing defensive, inflation-linked assets against growth-oriented industrial real estate in the current environment.
FPI Overview and Recent Performance
Farmland Partners Inc. is an internally managed REIT that owns roughly 70,400 acres of farmland across 11 U.S. states and also originates loans to farmers secured by agricultural assets. Its portfolio spans row crops and permanent crops, with exposure to markets such as Illinois, Arkansas, California, and Nebraska.
In recent market activity, FPI has traded in a relatively modest range, with a market capitalization near $450 million and a beta (a measure of volatility versus the broader market) well below 1.0, reflecting its defensive character. Recent quarters have featured asset sales as part of a strategy to crystallize land value and reduce leverage. The company also redeemed its outstanding preferred units using incremental debt, lifting total borrowings. Meanwhile, funds from operations (FFO, a key REIT earnings metric that adds back depreciation) guidance was trimmed, and management has cited softer conditions for certain permanent-crop assets, particularly in California, alongside broader commodity price pressure. These factors have contributed to a cautious analyst posture and modest downward revisions to price targets in recent weeks.
FR Overview and Recent Performance
First Industrial Realty Trust is a U.S.-focused owner, operator, developer, and acquirer of logistics properties, with roughly 72 million square feet concentrated across 15 target metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs, or major urban markets). Its tenant base includes multinational corporations and regional supply-chain operators.
FR carries a market capitalization near $8 billion and a beta near 1.0. Recent quarters have shown improving fundamentals: occupancy reached about 94.9%, cash rental rates on signed new and renewal leases rose roughly 39%, and same-store net operating income (NOI, or property-level income before financing and corporate costs) grew solidly. Management raised its full-year FFO guidance and increased its dividend by 12.4% to $0.50 per share quarterly. The company also authorized a $250 million share repurchase program amid a contested proxy campaign, while continuing to advance its development pipeline. This momentum contrasts with the more muted backdrop facing FPI.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most fundamental contrast is business model and sector exposure. FPI derives income from agricultural rents and farm loans, tying its performance to crop prices, farmland values, and regional weather conditions. FR depends on logistics demand, e-commerce, supply-chain reshoring, and industrial construction cycles. These drivers rarely move in tandem, making the two names complementary from a portfolio-construction perspective rather than direct substitutes.
On growth drivers, FR currently shows clearer catalysts: rising cash rents, higher occupancy, an active development pipeline, and shareholder-friendly capital returns. FPI, by contrast, is managing through asset sales, elevated debt following its preferred redemption, and softer permanent-crop fundamentals. On risk factors, FPI carries lower market beta and inflation-linked land collateral but faces concentration in agricultural markets. FR faces supply-and-demand swings in industrial space and higher sensitivity to interest rates and broader market moves.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, fundamental momentum, and catalyst positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FR in the current environment. The stock's improving occupancy, substantial rental-rate growth, raised guidance, and rising dividend reflect a more consistent positive trajectory than FPI, which faces guidance reductions and agricultural headwinds. That said, FPI's lower volatility and inflation-sensitive land holdings may appeal to more defensive positioning. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects current market conditions rather than a definitive prediction of future performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FPI is a Hold and FR is a Hold.
FPI in +0.91% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 09, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FPI advanced for three days, in 161 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FPI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 41%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 28 of 56 cases where FPI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
FPI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
FPI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FPI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Aroon Indicator for FPI entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.835) is normal, around the industry mean (1.837). P/E Ratio (16.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.919). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (2.612). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. FPI's P/S Ratio (9.606) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.594).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FPI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FPI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
FR in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026
FR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 16 of 27 cases where FR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 28 of 63 cases where FR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FR as a result. In 50 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FR just turned positive on November 10, 2026. Looking at past instances where FR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
Following a +0.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FR advanced for three days, in 156 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for FR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
The Aroon Indicator for FR entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.568) is normal, around the industry mean (2.701). P/E Ratio (19.549) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.006). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.120) is also within normal values, averaging (11.190). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.718) is also within normal values, averaging (8.208).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
FPI | FR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 80 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FPI's Valuation (67) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FR (76). This means that FPI’s stock grew similarly to FR’s over the last 12 months.
FR's Profit vs Risk Rating (80) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FPI (100). This means that FR’s stock grew similarly to FPI’s over the last 12 months.
FR's SMR Rating (60) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FPI (83). This means that FR’s stock grew similarly to FPI’s over the last 12 months.
FR's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FPI (71). This means that FR’s stock grew similarly to FPI’s over the last 12 months.
FPI's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is significantly better than the same rating for FR (84). This means that FPI’s stock grew significantly faster than FR’s over the last 12 months.
| FPI | FR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 53% | 7 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FPI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while FR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FPI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FPI (@Specialty Telecommunications) experienced а -0.22% price change this week, while FR (@Miscellaneous Manufacturing) price change was -0.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Telecommunications industry was +1.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.60%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry was -0.62%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.35%.
Reported Earning Dates
FPI is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
FR is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Telecommunications (+1.93% weekly)Companies belonging to the specialty telecommunications sector provide voice and data transmission via a single method, such as fixed lines, digital subscriber lines (DSL), wireless technology, the internet or competitive local exchange carriers. Telefonica, Liberty Broadband Corp., and Zayo Group Holdings, Inc. are some of the big specialty telecom companies in the U.S.
@Miscellaneous Manufacturing (-0.62% weekly)Miscellaneous manufacturing refers to a diverse range of products that cannot readily be categorized into other specific sectors of manufacturing. Major U.S. players in this industry include AMETEK, Inc.( analytical instruments, precision components and specialty materials), Dover Corporation (solutions for efficiency and safety of extracting oil and gas, e.g. rod lifts, progressing cavity pumps, gas lifts etc.; solutions for the transportation/transformation of solid waste; products for safe handling of critical fluids for various industries; systems for commercial-refrigeration, heating and cooling, and food and beverage packaging), and Carlisle Companies Incorporated (niche markets including commercial roofing, energy, lawn and garden, mining and construction equipment, aerospace and electronics, dining and food delivery, and healthcare), among others.
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FPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FPI has been loosely correlated with STAG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FPI jumps, then STAG could also see price increases.
FR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FR has been closely correlated with EGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FR jumps, then EGP could also see price increases.
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| SoFi Select 500 ETF (SFY) | |||
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| iShares Large Cap Core Active ETF (BLCR) | |||
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| FT Vest U.S. Equity Quarterly Dynamic Buffer ETF (FHDG) | |||