Advertisement
FPI vs STAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Farmland Partners (FPI) vs. STAG Industrial (STAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FPI and STAG are both real estate investment trusts (REITs), but they operate in fundamentally different property classes: farmland versus single-tenant industrial facilities.
- STAG has delivered steadier funds from operations (FFO) growth, with same-store cash net operating income (NOI) rising in the low-to-mid single digits in recent quarters.
- FPI has faced pressure from asset sales, a shrinking portfolio, and weakness in California permanent crops, which has weighed on its relative performance.
- STAG pays a monthly dividend with a yield around 4.3%, while FPI offers a lower quarterly-pay yield near 3.4%.
- Scale differs sharply: STAG carries a market capitalization of roughly $6.9 billion versus approximately $460 million for FPI.
Introduction
Investors evaluating income-oriented real estate exposure often weigh specialized REITs against more established industrial landlords. This stock comparison examines Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI), an internally managed farmland owner, alongside STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG), a large-scale owner of single-tenant industrial properties. Although both are structured as REITs, their business models, growth drivers, and risk profiles diverge considerably. Traders seeking relative performance signals, income investors comparing dividend reliability, and market researchers assessing sector positioning will find this head-to-head useful. By reviewing recent market activity, operational trends, and observable sentiment shifts, the analysis aims to clarify how these two stocks are positioned in the current environment.
FPI Overview and Recent Performance
Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) owns approximately 70,400 acres of farmland across 11 U.S. states and extends loans to farmers and landowners secured by agricultural assets. The company has been actively repositioning its portfolio, using asset sales to reduce debt and return capital, which has reduced its footprint and, in turn, pressured near-term FFO. Recent market activity has been mixed: the shares have slipped over the trailing three-month period, and the stock trades within a 52-week range roughly between $9 and $13. Sentiment has been influenced by softer conditions in California permanent-crop farmland, a modest rise in leverage following a preferred-unit redemption, and guidance adjustments that were lowered before being slightly raised at the low end. Analysts have trimmed price targets in recent weeks, reflecting continued multiple compression in the sector. Dividend coverage remains a central watchpoint for investors.
STAG Overview and Recent Performance
STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) acquires, owns, and operates single-tenant industrial properties—primarily warehouses and distribution facilities—across 41 states, with a portfolio of roughly 606 buildings totaling about 122.6 million rentable square feet. Recent quarters have shown steady operational performance, with core FFO per share rising in the low single digits and same-store cash NOI growing around 3% to 4% year over year. The company has maintained occupancy near 95% on its total portfolio while expanding its acquisition pipeline to roughly $3.9 billion and branching into data-center-related leasing. Shares have traded near the lower end of their 52-week range, reflecting broader interest-rate sensitivity among REITs. STAG pays a monthly dividend with a yield near 4.3%, supported by a comparatively low payout ratio, and carries an average analyst price target above its recent trading level.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a curated Trending AI Robots section, a shortlist drawn from a much larger universe of AI-powered trading bots that monitor thousands of different tickers. These automated systems operate with distinct trading styles, strategies, timeframes, risk profiles, and performance statistics, so only the bots best suited to prevailing market conditions earn a spot in the featured list. The platform highlights performance metrics that can range widely, reflecting the diversity of approaches—from short-term momentum strategies to longer-horizon trend following. For traders and investors comparing names such as FPI and STAG, exploring the Trending AI Robots page can offer an additional, data-driven perspective on current market positioning.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most striking contrast between these two REITs is their underlying property exposure. FPI is tied to agricultural land, where income is driven by crop economics, commodity prices, and tenant farming conditions—an inherently cyclical and weather-sensitive income stream. STAG, by contrast, benefits from secular demand for logistics and distribution space, including e-commerce and reshoring trends. Growth drivers also differ: FPI has been contracting through dispositions to unlock net asset value, while STAG continues to acquire and develop properties. On momentum, STAG has shown steadier operational growth, whereas FPI has experienced greater earnings volatility and downward estimate revisions. Risk factors also diverge: FPI faces concentrated geographic and crop-specific exposure, while STAG contends with a heavy near-term lease expiration schedule and interest-rate sensitivity. In terms of market sentiment, analyst activity has been more constructive on STAG in recent weeks, with average targets above the current price, while FPI has seen targets trimmed.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, operational stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor STAG over FPI in the current environment. STAG demonstrates more reliable FFO and same-store NOI growth, a diversified multi-state portfolio, an expanding acquisition pipeline, and a well-covered monthly dividend—characteristics that generally support steadier trend signals. FPI carries a lower beta and a potentially compelling net-asset-value story, but its recent guidance volatility, contracting portfolio, and pressured permanent-crop segment introduce more variability into its trend profile. This assessment reflects a probabilistic weighting of momentum, catalyst visibility, and earnings stability rather than a definitive forecast, and conditions could shift as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FPI is a Hold and STAG is a StrongBuy.
FPI in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FPI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FPI as a result. In 39 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FPI turned negative on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 44%.
FPI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
FPI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FPI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FPI advanced for three days, in 164 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 131 of 223 cases where FPI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FPI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.948) is normal, around the industry mean (1.757). P/E Ratio (18.182) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.005). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (2.612). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. FPI's P/S Ratio (9.606) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.594).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FPI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
STAG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 07, 2026
STAG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 35 cases where STAG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on STAG as a result. In 42 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STAG just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where STAG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 21 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
STAG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STAG advanced for three days, in 185 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STAG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator for STAG entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.939) is normal, around the industry mean (2.540). P/E Ratio (28.085) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.274). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.640) is also within normal values, averaging (11.190). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.974) is also within normal values, averaging (8.208).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. STAG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STAG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
FPI | STAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 98 | 85 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 69 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
STAG's Valuation (59) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FPI (70). This means that STAG’s stock grew similarly to FPI’s over the last 12 months.
STAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (85) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FPI (98). This means that STAG’s stock grew similarly to FPI’s over the last 12 months.
STAG's SMR Rating (79) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FPI (83). This means that STAG’s stock grew similarly to FPI’s over the last 12 months.
FPI's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as STAG (69). This means that FPI’s stock grew similarly to STAG’s over the last 12 months.
FPI's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STAG (50). This means that FPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than STAG’s over the last 12 months.
| FPI | STAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 47% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 58% | 12 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 53% | 9 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 42% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FPI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while STAG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STAG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FPI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STAG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- STAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FPI (@Specialty Telecommunications) experienced а -5.21% price change this week, while STAG (@Miscellaneous Manufacturing) price change was +2.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Telecommunications industry was -1.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.04%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry was +1.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.92%.
Reported Earning Dates
FPI is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
STAG is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Telecommunications (-1.13% weekly)Companies belonging to the specialty telecommunications sector provide voice and data transmission via a single method, such as fixed lines, digital subscriber lines (DSL), wireless technology, the internet or competitive local exchange carriers. Telefonica, Liberty Broadband Corp., and Zayo Group Holdings, Inc. are some of the big specialty telecom companies in the U.S.
@Miscellaneous Manufacturing (+1.97% weekly)Miscellaneous manufacturing refers to a diverse range of products that cannot readily be categorized into other specific sectors of manufacturing. Major U.S. players in this industry include AMETEK, Inc.( analytical instruments, precision components and specialty materials), Dover Corporation (solutions for efficiency and safety of extracting oil and gas, e.g. rod lifts, progressing cavity pumps, gas lifts etc.; solutions for the transportation/transformation of solid waste; products for safe handling of critical fluids for various industries; systems for commercial-refrigeration, heating and cooling, and food and beverage packaging), and Carlisle Companies Incorporated (niche markets including commercial roofing, energy, lawn and garden, mining and construction equipment, aerospace and electronics, dining and food delivery, and healthcare), among others.
Advertisement
FPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FPI has been loosely correlated with LAND. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FPI jumps, then LAND could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FPI | 100% | +1.63% | ||
| LAND - FPI | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.56% | ||
| STAG - FPI | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| EGP - FPI | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| FR - FPI | 42% Loosely correlated | -6.92% | ||
| IVT - FPI | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.55% | ||
More | ||||
STAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STAG has been closely correlated with FR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if STAG jumps, then FR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To STAG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAG | 100% | +0.14% | ||
| FR - STAG | 77% Closely correlated | -6.92% | ||
| EGP - STAG | 77% Closely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| FRT - STAG | 73% Closely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| TRNO - STAG | 73% Closely correlated | +0.12% | ||
| PECO - STAG | 72% Closely correlated | +2.74% | ||
More | ||||