FTXN
Price
$41.25
Change
-$0.23 (-0.55%)
Updated
Nov 3, 03:54 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.21B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
IYE
Price
$70.46
Change
-$0.51 (-0.72%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.82B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
Interact to see
Advertisement

FTXN vs IYE

FTXN vs IYE Comparison Chart in %
loading
loading
View a ticker or compare two or three
A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF (FTXN) vs. iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE)

1) Key Takeaways

  • Both FTXN and IYE are passively managed, non-diversified U.S. energy equity ETFs, but they use fundamentally different weighting methods.
  • IYE is market-cap weighted and highly concentrated in mega-cap integrated oil names, while FTXN applies liquidity, value, growth, and low-volatility factors with a per-stock cap near 8%.
  • IYE carries a lower expense ratio (0.37%) versus FTXN (0.60%), a meaningful cost advantage for long-term holders.
  • Both funds hold roughly 40–50 stocks, but FTXN spreads risk more evenly, whereas IYE tilts heavily toward XOM and CVX.
  • Performance for both funds is driven primarily by crude oil and natural gas prices, refining margins, and capital-discipline trends across the energy complex.

2) Introduction

Investors seeking exposure to the U.S. energy sector often weigh two structurally different approaches: the First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF (FTXN) and the iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE). Although both are passive energy-sector funds, they are not direct substitutes. FTXN pursues a factor-based, more balanced weighting strategy, while IYE mirrors a traditional market-cap-weighted index dominated by the largest integrated oil majors. This ETF comparison examines how sector exposure, cost structure, concentration risk, and relative positioning differ, helping investors decide which vehicle better matches their view on the energy complex in the current market environment.

3) First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF (FTXN) Overview

FTXN tracks the Nasdaq U.S. Smart Oil & Gas Index, a modified factor-weighted benchmark focused on liquid U.S. oil and gas companies. The fund holds roughly 44–50 stocks and selects constituents based on liquidity, then weights them using three factors: historical growth (price momentum), value (cash-flow-to-price), and lower volatility. No single position is permitted to exceed about 8% of assets, which curbs concentration risk. The index is reconstituted annually and rebalanced quarterly.

Top holdings typically include COP, CVX, XOM, MPC, EOG, VLO, PSX, OXY, FANG, and DVN. Sector allocation is essentially 100% energy, but the factor weighting produces a more balanced mix across integrated majors, exploration and production (E&P), and refiners than a cap-weighted peer. The expense ratio is 0.60%, and the fund is classified as non-diversified, meaning it may concentrate more heavily in individual names than a diversified fund.

4) iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) Overview

IYE seeks to track the Russell 1000 Energy RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index, a market-cap-weighted benchmark of U.S. energy equities. With roughly 44 holdings, the fund reflects the natural size distribution of the sector, which concentrates assets in the largest integrated oil and gas companies. As a result, XOM and CVX together represent nearly 40% of the portfolio, followed by COP, MPC, VLO, and PSX.

Other notable positions include WMB, EOG, SLB, and KMI. Sector exposure is approximately 98% energy, with integrated oil and gas the dominant sub-industry. The fund's expense ratio is 0.37%, among the lower-cost options in the energy category, and it is also non-diversified. Launched in 2000, IYE offers a longer operating history and very high secondary-market liquidity.

5) Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within a U.S. energy sector shaped by crude oil and natural gas supply-demand dynamics, OPEC+ production policy, and corporate capital discipline. In recent market cycles, energy producers have prioritized shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends over aggressive drilling expansion, supporting free-cash-flow generation and balance-sheet strength. Refining margins, global demand recovery, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export growth have served as additional catalysts.

Key risks include commodity-price volatility, a potential macroeconomic slowdown, regulatory and energy-transition policy shifts, and geopolitical disruptions to supply. Capital flows into energy funds have been sensitive to oil-price momentum and inflation expectations. Within this backdrop, cap-weighted funds like IYE lean on mega-cap stability, while factor-weighted funds like FTXN can tilt toward value and momentum opportunities further down the market-cap spectrum.

6) Performance and Positioning Comparison

Both funds have generally moved in the same direction over recent weeks and months, reflecting their shared dependence on energy-sector returns. However, their relative positioning diverges because of weighting methodology. IYE's concentration in XOM and CVX makes it more sensitive to the earnings cycles and dividend policies of the integrated majors, which tend to exhibit lower volatility than smaller E&P and refining names. Its lower expense ratio also provides a slight compounding advantage over time.

FTXN's factor tilts and single-stock caps spread exposure more broadly, giving it greater sensitivity to refiners, mid-cap E&P operators, and momentum-driven names. In environments where refining margins or mid-cap producers outperform the mega-caps, FTXN's structure may capture more upside; when the largest integrated companies lead, IYE is better positioned. On balance, IYE tends to carry somewhat lower concentration-driven volatility, while FTXN offers a more diversified factor profile at a higher cost.

7) AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own energy-sector watchlist.

8) Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely express a nuanced preference depending on the objective. For cost efficiency, liquidity, and exposure to the sector's most financially resilient mega-cap integrated names, IYE holds an edge thanks to its 0.37% expense ratio and established, trend-consistent leadership from XOM and CVX. For investors seeking a more balanced, factor-driven profile with reduced single-name concentration, FTXN offers a structurally diversified alternative despite its higher fee. Given current sector conditions favoring stability and cost efficiency, the AI would most likely lean toward IYE for long-horizon, risk-conscious energy exposure, while recognizing FTXN as a valid choice for momentum- and value-oriented tilts. This is a probabilistic assessment, not personalized investment advice.

9) Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FTXN vs. IYE commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FTXN is a Hold and IYE is a Hold.

Interact to see
Advertisement
SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FTXN with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

FTXN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026

FTXN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 57 of 61 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for FTXN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 21 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +2.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTXN advanced for three days, in 346 of 384 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 284 of 326 cases where FTXN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 87%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FTXN moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 54 of 62 cases where FTXN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTXN as a result. In 66 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTXN turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 87%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTXN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

FTXN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IYE with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

IYE in +2.37% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 338 of 372 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

IYE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 296 of 333 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for IYE moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 40 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 61 of 71 cases where IYE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYE as a result. In 78 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

IYE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FTXNIYE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
82%
N/A
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
View a ticker or compare two or three
FTXN
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
IYE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement

FTXN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTXN has been closely correlated with MUR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FTXN jumps, then MUR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FTXN
1D Price
Change %
FTXN100%
-4.59%
MUR - FTXN
89%
Closely correlated
-8.62%
OVV - FTXN
88%
Closely correlated
-6.66%
DVN - FTXN
87%
Closely correlated
-6.75%
APA - FTXN
86%
Closely correlated
-7.57%
CHRD - FTXN
86%
Closely correlated
-6.12%
More
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
STOCK / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
GVA128.915.29
+4.28%
Granite Construction
MCB97.672.20
+2.30%
Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp
HLT364.717.79
+2.18%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
EFOI4.110.04
+0.98%
Energy Focus
PCYO10.63-0.07
-0.65%
Pure Cycle Corp