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GHC vs GPN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graham Holdings Company (GHC) vs. Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Graham Holdings Company (GHC) has delivered stronger one-year returns of approximately 24%, outperforming Global Payments Inc. (GPN)'s 4% gain, driven by solid quarterly results.
- GPN boasts a larger market capitalization of nearly $20 billion and higher profit margins around 18%, reflecting its scale in payment processing.
- Both stocks exhibit low volatility with betas around 0.75, appealing to risk-averse investors seeking stability in diverse sectors.
- Recent earnings for GHC showed 6% revenue growth, while GPN anticipates moderate expansion post-Worldpay acquisition.
- P/E ratios (price-to-earnings) are comparable at 16-17, indicating similar valuations relative to earnings.
Introduction
This stock comparison between Graham Holdings Company (GHC) and Global Payments Inc. (GPN) examines their relative performance, business models, and market positioning in the current environment. Traders seeking diversified holdings with low beta exposure and investors eyeing growth in education/healthcare versus fintech payments may find value here. Both companies operate in resilient sectors, but recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum and catalysts. With comparable P/E ratios and year-to-date gains, this analysis aids in understanding trade-offs for portfolio allocation amid shifting sentiment.
GHC Overview and Recent Performance
Graham Holdings Company (GHC) is a diversified holding firm with operations in educational services through Kaplan, television broadcasting, home health and hospice care, and manufacturing. Trading around $1,134 with a market cap of $4.9 billion, its shares have ranged from $882 to $1,225 over the past year. In recent weeks, the stock has shown upward momentum, supported by first-quarter 2026 results reporting $1.236 billion in revenue, up 6% year-over-year, bolstering investor confidence in its stable, multi-segment model. Sentiment has improved on operational strength, with year-to-date returns at 3.6% and one-year gains near 24%, reflecting resilience in non-cyclical areas like education and healthcare.
GPN Overview and Recent Performance
Global Payments Inc. (GPN) provides payment technology and software solutions, serving merchants and financial institutions worldwide, enhanced by its January 2026 Worldpay acquisition. The stock trades near $72, with a $19.9 billion market cap and a 52-week range of $62 to $91. Recent market activity has been mixed amid integration efforts, with year-to-date performance at 6.2% and one-year returns around 4%. Upcoming first-quarter earnings on May 6 are anticipated to reveal moderate growth, though higher debt levels post-deal have tempered enthusiasm. Positive analyst notes highlight long-term synergies in digital payments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GHC’s diversified model spans education and healthcare, offering stability but limited high-growth exposure, contrasting GPN’s focused payments ecosystem with scalability via merchant networks. Growth drivers for GHC include enrollment trends at Kaplan, while GPN leverages digital wallet shifts and Worldpay synergies for mid-single-digit revenue potential. Recent momentum favors GHC’s post-earnings lift versus GPN’s consolidation phase. Risk factors highlight GHC’s smaller scale against GPN’s elevated debt-to-equity at 93%. Sector-wise, GHC benefits from defensive consumer services, GPN from cyclical financials. Market sentiment leans positive on GHC’s consistency, with GPN eyed for recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward Global Payments Inc. (GPN) due to its larger scale, superior profit margins, and catalysts from the Worldpay integration amid rising digital payments demand. While GHC exhibits stronger historical momentum and lower leverage, GPN’s positioning in a high-volume sector suggests higher probability of outperformance in trending conditions, assuming successful execution.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GHC is a Buy and GPN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GHC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileGPN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GHC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GPN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GHC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPN’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GHC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GPN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
GHC (@Other Consumer Specialties) experienced а -0.69% price change this week, while GPN (@Office Equipment/Supplies) price change was -0.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Consumer Specialties industry was -1.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.36%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was -1.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
GHC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
GPN is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Consumer Specialties (-1.87% weekly)‘Other Consumer Specialties’ represents an industry that typically sells durable consumer products, but do not have a classification in another category. The products include jewelry, smoke detectors, watches, collectibles and safety products. MSA Safety (makes products which enhances the safety and health of workers and protect facility infrastructures), Matthews International (memorialization business), Fitbit (makes wireless-enabled wearable technology devices that gauge data such as the number of steps walked, heart rate, quality of sleep), and Fossil Group (makes watches and accessories) have some of the largest market caps in this group.
@Office Equipment/Supplies (-1.25% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
| GHC | GPN | GHC / GPN | |
| Capitalization | 4.75B | 18.6B | 26% |
| EBITDA | 678M | 3.35B | 20% |
| Gain YTD | 0.663 | -11.934 | -6% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.30 | 24.98 | 65% |
| Revenue | 4.98B | 8.86B | 56% |
| Total Cash | 1.11B | 5.86B | 19% |
| Total Debt | 1.25B | 23.6B | 5% |
GHC | GPN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 37 Fair valued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 81 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 24 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GPN's Valuation (34) in the Data Processing Services industry is in the same range as GHC (37) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that GPN’s stock grew similarly to GHC’s over the last 12 months.
GHC's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Other Consumer Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for GPN (100) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that GHC’s stock grew significantly faster than GPN’s over the last 12 months.
GHC's SMR Rating (81) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as GPN (91) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that GHC’s stock grew similarly to GPN’s over the last 12 months.
GHC's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as GPN (60) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that GHC’s stock grew similarly to GPN’s over the last 12 months.
GHC's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as GPN (10) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that GHC’s stock grew similarly to GPN’s over the last 12 months.
| GHC | GPN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 46% | 8 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 56% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 3 days ago 71% |
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GHC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GHC has been loosely correlated with MSA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GHC jumps, then MSA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GHC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GHC | 100% | -1.49% | ||
| MSA - GHC | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.60% | ||
| CASS - GHC | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.54% | ||
| AZZ - GHC | 56% Loosely correlated | -3.03% | ||
| BRC - GHC | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.31% | ||
| EXPO - GHC | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.59% | ||
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