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ARLO vs GPN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arlo Technologies (ARLO) vs. Global Payments (GPN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Arlo Technologies (ARLO) has delivered stronger one-year returns of about 45% compared to Global Payments' (GPN) 4%, highlighting ARLO's growth momentum in smart home security.
- GPN offers greater stability with a lower beta of 0.76 versus ARLO's 1.60, appealing to risk-averse investors in the payments sector.
- ARLO trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 104, reflecting growth expectations, while GPN's P/E of 16 suggests relative value.
- Recent catalysts include ARLO's acquisition of Aloe Care Health to expand its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings and GPN's progress on Worldpay integration.
- Analyst price targets imply 47% upside for ARLO (to $21.50) and 33% for GPN (to $96), based on current levels around $14.60 and $72, respectively.
- GPN provides a dividend yield of 1.38%, absent in ARLO, supporting income-focused strategies.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits ARLO, a leader in wireless smart home security solutions, against GPN, a major player in payment processing technology. Traders seeking high-growth opportunities in consumer technology may eye ARLO, while those prioritizing stability in financial services might prefer GPN. Both stocks reflect distinct market dynamics: ARLO's subscription-driven model taps into rising smart home demand, and GPN benefits from steady transaction volumes. In the current environment of economic uncertainty and tech innovation, understanding their relative performance, risks, and catalysts aids informed decision-making for diversified portfolios or sector rotations.
ARLO Overview and Recent Performance
Arlo Technologies designs, manufactures, and sells wireless security cameras, video doorbells, and related accessories, bolstered by a recurring SaaS model for cloud storage and advanced features. The company targets the expanding smart home market, emphasizing AI-enhanced video analytics and privacy-focused solutions. Recent market activity shows volatility, with shares down slightly over the past month amid broader tech sector pressures but up significantly over the past year. Key influences include a strong Q4 2025 earnings beat reported in late February 2026, which highlighted revenue growth and profitability improvements, and the April acquisition of Aloe Care Health to extend SaaS into aging-in-place wellness services. Upcoming Q1 2026 results are anticipated to showcase subscription expansion, fostering positive sentiment despite macroeconomic headwinds. Analyst targets suggest substantial upside potential.
GPN Overview and Recent Performance
Global Payments provides payment technology solutions, including merchant acquiring, issuer processing, and integrated software for businesses worldwide. Its model generates revenue from transaction fees, software subscriptions, and value-added services, enhanced by the ongoing Worldpay integration. In recent weeks, shares have gained momentum, rising over 6% in the past month amid anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on May 6. Year-to-date performance edges out ARLO slightly, though one-year returns lag due to prior integration challenges and sector pressures. Positive factors include robust merchant solutions growth and strategic divestitures for focus, with management calling 2026 a "watershed year." Stability is evident in consistent profitability and dividends, though high debt levels post-acquisitions warrant monitoring. Market sentiment reflects cautious optimism ahead of results.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARLO and GPN diverge sharply in business models: ARLO blends hardware sales with high-margin SaaS subscriptions (2.82% profit margin), while GPN relies on scalable transaction processing (18.17% margin). Growth drivers contrast ARLO's consumer tech expansion via acquisitions and AI features against GPN's enterprise focus on payments volume and software integrations. Recent momentum favors GPN's short-term gains amid earnings anticipation, but ARLO leads longer-term with superior one-year performance. Risk profiles differ—ARLO's higher beta signals volatility tied to discretionary spending, versus GPN's lower beta and dividend buffer. Sector exposure pits ARLO's cyclical smart home against GPN's resilient fintech. Market sentiment leans toward ARLO for growth catalysts like wellness SaaS entry, while GPN appeals for value (lower P/E) and stability (larger $20B market cap vs. $1.6B).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ARLO over GPN due to stronger trend consistency over the past year, recent acquisition catalysts expanding SaaS revenue, and higher implied upside from analyst targets. ARLO's positioning in high-growth smart home security outweighs short-term volatility, offering probabilistic edge in innovative sectors versus GPN's steadier but slower payments trajectory.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARLO is a Hold and GPN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARLO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileGPN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARLO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GPN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARLO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPN’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARLO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GPN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
ARLO (@Building Products) experienced а -19.21% price change this week, while GPN (@Office Equipment/Supplies) price change was -2.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -1.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.65%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was -2.62%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARLO is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
GPN is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-1.29% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
@Office Equipment/Supplies (-2.62% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
| ARLO | GPN | ARLO / GPN | |
| Capitalization | 1.34B | 18.5B | 7% |
| EBITDA | 19.9M | 3.35B | 1% |
| Gain YTD | -11.937 | -12.401 | 96% |
| P/E Ratio | 44.00 | 24.85 | 177% |
| Revenue | 561M | 8.86B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 167M | 5.86B | 3% |
| Total Debt | 6.23M | 23.6B | 0% |
ARLO | GPN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 41 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 32 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GPN's Valuation (34) in the Data Processing Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARLO (79) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry. This means that GPN’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARLO’s over the last 12 months.
ARLO's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPN (100) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that ARLO’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPN’s over the last 12 months.
ARLO's SMR Rating (41) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPN (91) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that ARLO’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPN’s over the last 12 months.
GPN's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Data Processing Services industry is in the same range as ARLO (62) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry. This means that GPN’s stock grew similarly to ARLO’s over the last 12 months.
GPN's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Data Processing Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for ARLO (100) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry. This means that GPN’s stock grew significantly faster than ARLO’s over the last 12 months.
| ARLO | GPN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 75% | 5 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 71% |
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ARLO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARLO has been loosely correlated with KODK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ARLO jumps, then KODK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARLO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARLO | 100% | -3.07% | ||
| KODK - ARLO | 51% Loosely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| ARMK - ARLO | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.72% | ||
| TRU - ARLO | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.12% | ||
| EFX - ARLO | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| CTAS - ARLO | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.70% | ||
More | ||||
GPN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPN has been loosely correlated with RGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPN jumps, then RGP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPN | 100% | +0.37% | ||
| RGP - GPN | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.92% | ||
| MSA - GPN | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| GHC - GPN | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| PRSU - GPN | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| ARLO - GPN | 45% Loosely correlated | -3.07% | ||
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