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GHM vs RBC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graham Corporation (GHM) vs. RBC Bearings (RBC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GHM has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date and one-year returns compared to RBC, driven by robust backlog growth and recent acquisitions.
- RBC maintains a larger market capitalization and more stable large-cap profile with consistent earnings beats in aerospace and industrial end markets.
- Both companies operate in the industrial sector but differ in focus: GHM emphasizes fluid handling systems with notable defense exposure, while RBC specializes in precision bearings and components.
- Recent market activity shows GHM benefiting from a $50 million strategic investment and record backlog levels, supporting positive sentiment shifts.
- RBC reported solid quarterly revenue growth exceeding analyst expectations, reflecting steady demand in high-margin aerospace applications.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between GHM’s higher volatility and growth potential versus RBC’s scale and lower-risk positioning.
Introduction
This comparison examines GHM and RBC, two industrial stocks with distinct business models yet shared exposure to manufacturing and aerospace cycles. Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance, sector positioning, and recent momentum shifts may find the analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions. The review draws on observable market data and company developments from recent weeks to provide a balanced view of how each stock has responded to broader economic conditions and company-specific catalysts.
GHM Overview and Recent Performance
Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid handling equipment and systems primarily for the energy, defense, and chemical processing industries. In recent market activity, GHM shares have traded near $107, reflecting substantial gains with year-to-date returns exceeding 66% and one-year returns near 160%. Recent earnings results showed revenue growth of approximately 21% year-over-year alongside record backlog levels above $515 million. A $50 million investment from accounts advised by T. Rowe Price and the integration of the FlackTek acquisition have contributed to positive sentiment. Defense-related orders have supported order momentum, while the company narrowed guidance impacts from tariffs in recent updates.
RBC Overview and Recent Performance
RBC Bearings Incorporated produces precision bearings, components, and engineered products for aerospace, industrial, and defense applications. In recent market activity, RBC shares have traded near $590, with year-to-date returns around 29% and one-year returns near 56%. The company reported first-quarter revenue of $518 million, surpassing analyst expectations with 18% year-over-year growth and adjusted earnings per share above consensus. Strong demand in aerospace end markets and conference presentations highlighting operational strength have influenced performance. RBC maintains a sizable market capitalization near $18.7 billion and continues to demonstrate consistent quarterly execution amid broader industrial demand trends.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GHM and RBC both serve industrial customers yet contrast in scale and end-market emphasis. GHM operates with a smaller market capitalization and higher recent growth trajectory tied to backlog expansion and defense exposure, introducing greater volatility. RBC benefits from larger scale, diversified aerospace revenue, and steadier earnings consistency. Growth drivers for GHM include acquisitions and order momentum, while RBC leverages established product lines and manufacturing efficiency. Risk factors differ with GHM facing potential tariff and integration effects versus RBC’s exposure to cyclical aerospace demand. Market sentiment has favored GHM’s outsized returns in recent periods, while RBC offers relative stability for larger portfolios.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, backlog stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic preference toward GHM. Higher recent momentum and record backlog levels provide measurable support for continued outperformance potential relative to broader industrial benchmarks, though execution risks remain. RBC demonstrates solid fundamentals with lower volatility, positioning it favorably for conservative strategies. The assessment reflects data-driven patterns rather than definitive forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GHM is a StrongBuy and RBC is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GHM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileRBC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GHM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RBC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GHM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RBC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GHM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RBC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GHM (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +0.32% price change this week, while RBC (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +4.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.97%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
GHM is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
RBC is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.96% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+0.18% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| GHM | RBC | GHM / RBC | |
| Capitalization | 1.26B | 20.4B | 6% |
| EBITDA | 24.6M | 548M | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 68.006 | 43.998 | 155% |
| P/E Ratio | 96.35 | 71.04 | 136% |
| Revenue | 238M | 1.87B | 13% |
| Total Cash | 22.3M | 57.3M | 39% |
| Total Debt | 6.05M | 991M | 1% |
GHM | RBC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GHM's Valuation (82) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as RBC (84) in the null industry. This means that GHM’s stock grew similarly to RBC’s over the last 12 months.
RBC's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as GHM (6) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that RBC’s stock grew similarly to GHM’s over the last 12 months.
GHM's SMR Rating (65) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as RBC (75) in the null industry. This means that GHM’s stock grew similarly to RBC’s over the last 12 months.
GHM's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as RBC (40) in the null industry. This means that GHM’s stock grew similarly to RBC’s over the last 12 months.
GHM's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as RBC (23) in the null industry. This means that GHM’s stock grew similarly to RBC’s over the last 12 months.
| GHM | RBC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 23 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 67% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| EACPX | 59.55 | N/A | N/A |
| Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Multi-Cap Gr A | |||
| RMLPX | 31.00 | N/A | N/A |
| Recurrent MLP & Infrastructure Class I | |||
| JSJCX | 16.85 | N/A | N/A |
| JHancock Small Cap Dynamic Growth C | |||
| JSVAX | 33.22 | -0.05 | -0.15% |
| Janus Henderson Contrarian T | |||
| CLBCX | 40.76 | -0.14 | -0.34% |
| American Funds American Balanced 529C | |||
GHM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GHM has been loosely correlated with RBC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GHM jumps, then RBC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GHM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GHM | 100% | -2.55% | ||
| RBC - GHM | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.02% | ||
| ETN - GHM | 52% Loosely correlated | +3.32% | ||
| CR - GHM | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| ATMU - GHM | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| LECO - GHM | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.25% | ||
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