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GOLD vs RGLD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GOLD is a Hold and RGLD is a Hold.
GOLD sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for GOLD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for GOLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
GOLD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for GOLD entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GOLD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 57 cases where GOLD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOLD as a result. In 66 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOLD just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOLD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +2.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOLD advanced for three days, in 260 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GOLD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GOLD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.302) is normal, around the industry mean (3.199). P/E Ratio (12.579) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.873). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.513) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.089) settles around the average of (8.657) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
RGLD's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RGLD turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where RGLD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RGLD's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The 50-day moving average for RGLD moved above the 200-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +3.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RGLD advanced for three days, in 263 of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 56 cases where RGLD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RGLD as a result. In 47 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
RGLD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RGLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RGLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for RGLD entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RGLD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.579) is normal, around the industry mean (1.936). P/E Ratio (25.460) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.175). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.480) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.373) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.563) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
GOLD | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 46 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (70) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (87). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (68). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's SMR Rating (60) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (67). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (49). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GOLD (96). This means that RGLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
| GOLD | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 79% | 8 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 6 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GOLD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while RGLD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- GOLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GOLD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GOLD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
GOLD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -1.11% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was -3.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -5.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -19.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -23.58%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -3.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
GOLD is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-5.10% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
@Precious Metals (-3.45% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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RGLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RGLD has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RGLD jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RGLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGLD | 100% | -2.15% | ||
| WPM - RGLD | 90% Closely correlated | -1.45% | ||
| AEM - RGLD | 87% Closely correlated | -1.84% | ||
| OR - RGLD | 86% Closely correlated | -1.89% | ||
| KGC - RGLD | 86% Closely correlated | -3.06% | ||
| NEM - RGLD | 85% Closely correlated | -1.49% | ||
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