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GOLD vs RGLD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GOLD is a Hold and RGLD is a Hold.
GOLD in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026
GOLD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 35 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOLD as a result. In 58 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOLD turned negative on September 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
The 10-day moving average for GOLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for GOLD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOLD advanced for three days, in 270 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
GOLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GOLD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.427) is normal, around the industry mean (4.320). P/E Ratio (14.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.932). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.513) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
RGLD's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for RGLD moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 54 cases where RGLD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The 50-day moving average for RGLD moved above the 200-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RGLD advanced for three days, in 269 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
RGLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RGLD as a result. In 46 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
RGLD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RGLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RGLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator for RGLD entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 26 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.684) is normal, around the industry mean (3.888). P/E Ratio (26.614) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.261). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.480) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.563) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RGLD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
GOLD | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 26 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 45 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (26) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GOLD (71). This means that RGLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (61). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's SMR Rating (60) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (65). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GOLD (55). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GOLD (99). This means that RGLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
| GOLD | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 28 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 14 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GOLD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while RGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GOLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GOLD’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GOLD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GOLD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -3.30% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was -0.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -7.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.46%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -3.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
GOLD is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-7.33% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
@Precious Metals (-3.38% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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RGLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RGLD has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RGLD jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RGLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGLD | 100% | -1.43% | ||
| WPM - RGLD | 90% Closely correlated | -1.51% | ||
| AEM - RGLD | 87% Closely correlated | -1.37% | ||
| OR - RGLD | 86% Closely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| KGC - RGLD | 86% Closely correlated | -0.47% | ||
| NEM - RGLD | 85% Closely correlated | -1.33% | ||
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