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FNV vs RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) vs. Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FNV boasts a larger market cap of approximately $44.8 billion and stronger YTD performance at 11.63%, outperforming RGLD's 7.90% YTD gain.
- Both royalty and streaming companies benefit from elevated gold prices, with FNV delivering 41% one-year returns versus RGLD's 35%.
- RGLD reported record Q1 2026 revenue and earnings, plus a $500 million share buyback, signaling robust growth catalysts in recent market activity.
- FNV maintains lower leverage with minimal debt and released its 2026 Asset Handbook, highlighting portfolio diversification across precious metals and energy.
- Relative performance shows FNV with higher P/E ratio (40.3) indicating premium valuation, while RGLD trades at 28.9 with a slightly higher dividend yield of 0.80%.
- Analyst targets suggest upside for both, with RGLD at $335 (40% potential) and FNV at $303 (30% potential), amid positive sector sentiment.
Introduction
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) and Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) are leading precious metals royalty and streaming companies, offering investors leveraged exposure to gold, silver, and other metals without operational mining risks. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning in the context of sustained high gold prices above $2,300 per ounce and sector tailwinds. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors focused on stable cash flows from diversified royalty portfolios will find value in evaluating their relative strengths, growth drivers, and valuation trade-offs in today's volatile market environment.
FNV Overview and Recent Performance
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV), headquartered in Toronto, Canada, is the world's leading gold-focused royalty and streaming company. It holds a diversified portfolio of royalties and streams on precious metals (primarily gold and silver), other mining assets, and energy interests across multiple geographies, generating revenue without direct mining costs or operational risks. In recent market activity, FNV shares have traded around $232, reflecting YTD gains of 11.63% and 41% over the past year, outperforming broader indices amid gold price strength. Sentiment has been bolstered by the release of its 2026 Asset Handbook and Sustainability Report, emphasizing portfolio growth and ESG (environmental, social, and governance) progress. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on May 12 are anticipated to show EPS growth to $2.09, supported by record 2025 results with revenue up 64% to $1.8 billion. Influences include partner mine production ramps and favorable metal prices, though shares pulled back slightly in recent weeks on broader market rotations.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD), based in Denver, Colorado, acquires and manages precious metal streams and royalties globally, spanning gold, silver, copper, and other commodities. Its model provides upfront financing to miners in exchange for future production percentages at fixed costs, minimizing exposure to cost inflation. Shares recently traded near $239, with YTD returns of 7.90% and 35% over one year, driven by gold's rally but lagging peers in shorter-term momentum. Key recent developments include record Q1 2026 results—revenue of $469 million (up significantly year-over-year), EPS of $2.72, and net income of $233 million—coupled with a $500 million share repurchase authorization and debt repayment, enhancing capital flexibility. Guidance projects 32% higher gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in 2026. Performance reflects strength in copper and silver streams, tempered by quarterly sales weighting toward the second half, with analyst upgrades underscoring growth from asset integrations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both FNV and RGLD operate royalty/streaming models, providing high-margin (80%+) exposure to precious metals production growth without capex or opex risks, but differ in scale and focus. FNV's larger $44.8B market cap and broader diversification (including energy royalties) offer stability (beta 0.89), while RGLD's $20.3B cap emphasizes streams with higher copper/silver leverage (beta 0.44). Recent momentum favors RGLD post-Q1 records and buyback, versus FNV's steady gains ahead of earnings. Risk factors include metal price volatility and partner mine disruptions, with FNV showing lower debt ($83M vs. RGLD's $596M). Sector exposure aligns on gold (primary driver), but RGLD has stronger volume growth outlook (32% GEOs). Market sentiment leans positive for both amid gold strength, though RGLD's lower P/E (28.9 vs. 40.3) suggests relative value.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors RGLD with higher probability in the near term, based on trend consistency from record Q1 results, $500M buyback catalyst, and 2026 GEO growth projection outpacing peers. While FNV exhibits superior YTD stability and scale, RGLD's attractive valuation, lower beta, and capital return initiatives position it for stronger relative momentum amid sustained gold prices and copper upside.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FNV is a Hold and RGLD is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FNV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FNV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FNV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FNV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FNV (@Precious Metals) experienced а -4.04% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was +0.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
FNV is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| FNV | RGLD | FNV / RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 40.5B | 17.6B | 230% |
| EBITDA | 2.06B | 1.03B | 199% |
| Gain YTD | 1.433 | -6.254 | -23% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.50 | 25.10 | 118% |
| Revenue | 2.11B | 1.31B | 161% |
| Total Cash | 434M | 234M | 185% |
| Total Debt | 82.6M | 596M | 14% |
FNV | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (29). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's Profit vs Risk Rating (52) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (55). This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's SMR Rating (47) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (66). This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (63). This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (68) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (91). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
| FNV | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 5 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 59% |
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FNV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FNV has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FNV jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.