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GPC vs LOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. Lowe's Companies (LOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GPC shares have shown strong recent momentum with an approximate 18% gain over the past month, fueled by acquisition interest in its NAPA division.
- LOW has experienced relative underperformance, declining about 6% over the past four weeks amid broader housing market softness.
- Both companies operate in consumer discretionary sectors but serve distinct end markets: automotive and industrial parts for GPC versus home improvement retail for LOW.
- GPC faces near-term earnings scrutiny with its Q2 2026 report scheduled shortly, while LOW affirmed its full-year outlook following earlier results.
- Market sentiment appears more favorable toward GPC on catalyst-driven moves, whereas LOW contends with cyclical pressures in residential construction and remodeling.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between event-driven volatility in GPC and steadier but challenged dividend-focused stability in LOW.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare GPC and LOW to assess relative value across different segments of the consumer discretionary space. Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive replacement parts and industrial products, while Lowe's Companies operates a leading home improvement retail network. This comparison appeals to those evaluating sector rotation opportunities, dividend sustainability, and sensitivity to macroeconomic factors such as housing activity and vehicle maintenance spending in the current environment.
GPC Overview and Recent Performance
Genuine Parts Company provides replacement automotive parts through its NAPA network and supplies industrial components across North America and internationally. In recent market activity, GPC shares advanced notably, climbing approximately 18% over the past 30 days amid reports of a potential $10 billion cash offer for its NAPA business. The stock traded near $124.82 as of July 17, 2026, reflecting improved sentiment tied to this corporate development. Broader performance shows modest year-to-date gains around 3.5%, with attention now focused on the upcoming second-quarter earnings release.
LOW Overview and Recent Performance
Lowe's Companies runs one of the largest home improvement retail chains in the United States, offering products for home repair, remodeling, and construction. Recent market activity has been more subdued for LOW, with shares declining roughly 6% over the past four weeks and closing near $208.73 on July 17, 2026. The stock posted stronger year-to-date returns of about 12.6% but has faced headwinds from a softer housing market. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance after first-quarter results that showed modest comparable sales growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GPC and LOW differ markedly in business models, with GPC emphasizing distribution and aftermarket supply chains while LOW focuses on big-box retail and direct consumer sales. Growth drivers for GPC include potential M&A activity and steady demand for vehicle maintenance, contrasting with LOW's exposure to housing turnover and renovation cycles. Recent momentum favors GPC due to the NAPA-related catalyst, whereas LOW has navigated softer comparable sales amid elevated interest rates. Risk factors for GPC center on integration outcomes and earnings variability, while LOW contends with inventory management and macroeconomic sensitivity in consumer spending. Sector exposure places both in consumer discretionary, though GPC carries greater industrial overlap. Market sentiment reflects event-driven optimism around GPC versus cautious positioning for LOW amid cyclical pressures.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency and the presence of a clear near-term catalyst, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to GPC over LOW. The stock's sharper momentum and positioning ahead of earnings suggest greater alignment with momentum-oriented strategies in the prevailing environment, though outcomes remain subject to execution risks and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GPC is a Hold and LOW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GPC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileLOW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GPC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GPC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LOW’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GPC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LOW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GPC (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -0.49% price change this week, while LOW (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was +0.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -0.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.73%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was -4.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
GPC is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
LOW is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-0.88% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
@Home Improvement Chains (-4.75% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| GPC | LOW | GPC / LOW | |
| Capitalization | 17.1B | 116B | 15% |
| EBITDA | 770M | 12.6B | 6% |
| Gain YTD | 3.052 | -12.561 | -24% |
| P/E Ratio | 496.84 | 17.55 | 2,831% |
| Revenue | 24.7B | 88.4B | 28% |
| Total Cash | 500M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 6.71B | 42.5B | 16% |
GPC | LOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LOW's Valuation (3) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is significantly better than the same rating for GPC (92) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew significantly faster than GPC’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as GPC (87) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew similarly to GPC’s over the last 12 months.
LOW's SMR Rating (4) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is significantly better than the same rating for GPC (91) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that LOW’s stock grew significantly faster than GPC’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as LOW (62) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew similarly to LOW’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LOW (56) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew somewhat faster than LOW’s over the last 12 months.
| GPC | LOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 59% | 11 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 6 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 52% |
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GPC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPC has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPC jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| CPRT - GPC | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.72% | ||
| LKQ - GPC | 54% Loosely correlated | +4.03% | ||
| AAP - GPC | 51% Loosely correlated | +4.46% | ||
| MNRO - GPC | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| LOW - GPC | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.83% | ||
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LOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOW has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LOW jumps, then HD could also see price increases.