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GPC vs LKQ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GPC and LKQ both operate in the automotive aftermarket sector, but GPC's diversified exposure to industrial parts provides broader revenue stability compared to LKQ's focus on recycled and aftermarket components.
- Over the past 12 months, GPC has declined about 13%, outperforming LKQ's roughly 33% drop.
- Recent weeks have seen GPC stock under pressure ahead of Q1 earnings, yet analyst targets suggest 20% upside potential from current levels around $112.
- LKQ faces headwinds from declining organic revenues and softer cash flows, contributing to its underperformance in recent market activity.
- Both stocks carry "Buy" ratings from analysts, with LKQ offering higher implied upside near 33% from $31 levels, balanced against greater volatility.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight sector momentum, favoring stability in volatile conditions.
Introduction
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) and LKQ Corporation (LKQ) are key players in the automotive aftermarket, distributing parts essential for vehicle repairs and maintenance. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors tracking the auto parts sector amid fluctuating vehicle miles driven, supply chain dynamics, and economic pressures on consumer spending. Traders seeking relative performance insights or diversification within industrials may find value in evaluating their business models, recent momentum, and market positioning. With both stocks navigating broader market headwinds, understanding their contrasts aids informed decision-making in the current environment.
GPC Overview and Recent Performance
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is a leading distributor of automotive replacement parts, serving professional repair shops through brands like NAPA, alongside industrial components via Motion Industries. Representing about 60% automotive and 40% industrial sales, GPC operates globally with a focus on aftermarket demand. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $112, down over 1% in the latest session within a 52-week range of $96 to $152. Sentiment reflects caution ahead of Q1 2026 earnings, expected to show revenue growth to $6.19 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.89 (earnings per share), driven by acquisitions and comparable sales. Broader pressures from prior quarter misses have led to a 16.7% decline since last report, yet strong dividend history supports long-term holder interest.
LKQ Overview and Recent Performance
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) specializes in alternative automotive parts, including recycled, aftermarket, and remanufactured components for cars and trucks, sourced via salvage auctions and manufacturing. With operations in North America, Europe, and Taiwan, LKQ emphasizes cost-effective solutions for repair shops. Recently, shares hover near $31, within a 52-week range of $28 to $43, reflecting a modest daily dip. Performance has been challenged by declining organic revenues and weaker cash flow margins post-Q4 2025 earnings miss, where EPS came in at $0.59 versus expectations. European softness and repairable claims trends have weighed on sentiment, though upcoming Q1 2026 results on April 30 offer potential catalysts amid acquisition-driven growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GPC and LKQ share auto aftermarket exposure but diverge in models: GPC's distributor network emphasizes OEM-style parts and industrial diversification, buffering cyclical auto demand, while LKQ's salvage and remanufacturing focus ties closely to used vehicle economics and scrap supply. Growth drivers include acquisitions for both, yet LKQ's international footprint amplifies European headwinds versus GPC's U.S.-centric stability. Recent momentum favors GPC, with a +2.82% weekly gain outpacing LKQ's +1.65%, amid LKQ's steeper yearly losses. Risk factors highlight LKQ's vulnerability to organic sales declines and forex, contrasting GPC's consistent dividends. Sector-wise, both face mileage and inflation pressures, but market sentiment leans toward GPC's resilience, with analysts noting undervaluation ahead of earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis currently leans toward GPC over LKQ, based on superior relative trend consistency, lower drawdown in recent volatility, and positioning ahead of Q1 earnings catalysts. GPC's diversified revenue and outperformance metrics suggest higher probability of near-term stability, though LKQ's valuation offers rebound potential if organic trends improve. This probabilistic edge favors watchful positioning in GPC amid sector uncertainties.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GPC is a StrongBuy and LKQ is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GPC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLKQ’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GPC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LKQ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GPC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LKQ’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GPC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LKQ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
GPC (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а +0.45% price change this week, while LKQ (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was -2.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
GPC is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
LKQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-2.34% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| GPC | LKQ | GPC / LKQ | |
| Capitalization | 14.5B | 6.47B | 224% |
| EBITDA | 770M | 1.38B | 56% |
| Gain YTD | -12.795 | -14.040 | 91% |
| P/E Ratio | 238.89 | 12.71 | 1,880% |
| Revenue | 24.7B | 13.8B | 179% |
| Total Cash | 500M | 335M | 149% |
| Total Debt | 6.71B | 5.24B | 128% |
GPC | LKQ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 17 Undervalued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 60 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 28 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LKQ's Valuation (4) in the Automotive Aftermarket industry is in the same range as GPC (17) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that LKQ’s stock grew similarly to GPC’s over the last 12 months.
LKQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Automotive Aftermarket industry is in the same range as GPC (100) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that LKQ’s stock grew similarly to GPC’s over the last 12 months.
LKQ's SMR Rating (78) in the Automotive Aftermarket industry is in the same range as GPC (91) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that LKQ’s stock grew similarly to GPC’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as LKQ (60) in the Automotive Aftermarket industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew similarly to LKQ’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LKQ (60) in the Automotive Aftermarket industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew somewhat faster than LKQ’s over the last 12 months.
| GPC | LKQ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 12 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 55% | 16 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 65% |
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