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HP vs RIG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HP is a Hold and RIG is a StrongBuy.
HP's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for HP entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 192 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 151 of the 192 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HP as a result. In 62 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HP turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
HP moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HP advanced for three days, in 242 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.485) is normal, around the industry mean (1.418). P/E Ratio (-27.518) is within average values for comparable stocks, (157.410). HP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.810) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.853). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.039) is also within normal values, averaging (1.725).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Momentum Indicator for RIG turns positive, indicating new upward trend
RIG saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 72 of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RIG just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where RIG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
RIG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RIG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Following a +4.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIG advanced for three days, in 234 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
RIG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for RIG entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 29 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: RIG's P/B Ratio (0.806) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.418). P/E Ratio (-3.617) is within average values for comparable stocks, (157.410). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.340) is also within normal values, averaging (2.853). RIG has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.099) as compared to the industry average of (0.036). P/S Ratio (1.453) is also within normal values, averaging (1.725).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RIG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
HP | RIG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 65 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RIG's Valuation (29) in the Contract Drilling industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HP (70). This means that RIG’s stock grew somewhat faster than HP’s over the last 12 months.
HP's Profit vs Risk Rating (69) in the Contract Drilling industry is in the same range as RIG (72). This means that HP’s stock grew similarly to RIG’s over the last 12 months.
HP's SMR Rating (92) in the Contract Drilling industry is in the same range as RIG (95). This means that HP’s stock grew similarly to RIG’s over the last 12 months.
RIG's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Contract Drilling industry is in the same range as HP (43). This means that RIG’s stock grew similarly to HP’s over the last 12 months.
HP's P/E Growth Rating (58) in the Contract Drilling industry is in the same range as RIG (65). This means that HP’s stock grew similarly to RIG’s over the last 12 months.
| HP | RIG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 77% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 8 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while RIG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RIG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HP’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RIG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RIG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HP (@Contract Drilling) experienced а -0.88% price change this week, while RIG (@Contract Drilling) price change was +8.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Contract Drilling industry was +2.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
HP is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
RIG is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Contract Drilling (+2.01% weekly)The contract drilling industry includes companies that provide onshore and offshore drilling services to the energy sector. Services are delivered on a contractual or per-fee basis. Customers of this industry include major and independent oil and gas companies. Strong oil demand could potentially boost contract fees. Helmerich & Payne, Inc., Transocean Ltd and Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. are among the major drilling companies in the U.S.
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HP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HP has been closely correlated with NBR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HP jumps, then NBR could also see price increases.
RIG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RIG has been closely correlated with VAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RIG jumps, then VAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RIG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIG | 100% | +0.66% | ||
| VAL - RIG | 85% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| NE - RIG | 75% Closely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| SDRL - RIG | 70% Closely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| BORR - RIG | 62% Loosely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| HP - RIG | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.93% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FNCL | 80.18 | 1.03 | +1.30% |
| Fidelity MSCI Financials Index ETF (FNCL) | |||
| XPH | 64.28 | 0.32 | +0.50% |
| State Street SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (XPH) | |||
| NLSI | 59.79 | -0.17 | -0.28% |
| NEOS Long/Short Equity Income ETF (NLSI) | |||
| PBNV | 32.01 | -0.14 | -0.42% |
| PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 20 ETF - November (PBNV) | |||
| AFSM | 39.63 | -0.27 | -0.67% |
| First Trust Active Factor Small Cap ETF (AFSM) | |||