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HSAI vs MBLY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hesai Group (HSAI) vs. Mobileye Global (MBLY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Hesai Group (HSAI) is the world's largest maker of LiDAR (light detection and ranging) sensors, and has recently pivoted toward "physical AI" and spatial-intelligence products.
- Mobileye Global (MBLY) is a leading provider of ADAS (advanced driver-assistance systems) and autonomous-driving technology, with its EyeQ chips in more than 230 million vehicles.
- HSAI has posted positive year-to-date relative performance and a streak of profitable quarters, while MBLY has underperformed the broader market amid competition and a leadership transition.
- The two companies differ sharply in size, geography, and valuation: MBLY carries a larger market capitalization, while HSAI trades at a premium growth multiple on a smaller revenue base.
- Analyst sentiment currently skews more favorable toward HSAI, whereas MBLY has faced a series of recent downgrades and price-target reductions.
Introduction
Autonomous driving and machine perception are among the most closely watched themes in the technology sector, and both HSAI and MBLY sit at the center of that narrative. Hesai Group supplies the LiDAR sensors that help vehicles and robots "see" their surroundings, while Mobileye Global designs the chips, software, and systems that power ADAS and higher-level autonomy. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors tracking the evolution of driver-assistance and autonomous technology, as the two companies represent complementary but very different approaches to the same end market. Their recent market positioning and price behavior also highlight a clear divergence in momentum and sentiment.
HSAI Overview and Recent Performance
HSAI, or Hesai Group, is a Shanghai-based company and the world's largest manufacturer of LiDAR sensors by shipment volume. Its products are used in passenger and commercial vehicles with ADAS, in autonomous-vehicle fleets, and increasingly in robotics. In recent weeks, the company has broadened its strategy beyond core LiDAR into "physical AI" and spatial intelligence, launching a 3D world data engine and a spatial camera aimed at robotics, film production, and digital-space applications.
Hesai's recent performance has been characterized by an earnings inflection. The company recorded its first full-year GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) profit in 2025 and has since extended a run of profitable quarters. In its most recently reported quarter, revenue rose roughly 22% year over year, gross margin held near 40%, and LiDAR shipments increased nearly 80% compared with the prior-year period. Management reaffirmed a full-year shipment target of 3 million to 3.5 million units, more than double the prior year. Design wins with automakers such as Mercedes-Benz for Level 3 autonomy, along with Volkswagen and Great Wall Motor, have reinforced its positioning. Over the past year, the stock has risen substantially and trades in the lower portion of its 52-week range, with analyst consensus broadly in "Strong Buy" territory.
MBLY Overview and Recent Performance
MBLY, or Mobileye Global, is an Israel-based leader in ADAS and autonomous-driving technology. Founded in 1999, the company pioneered camera-based driver-assistance systems and counts more than 230 million vehicles equipped with its EyeQ technology. In 2026, Mobileye expanded into robotics by acquiring Mentee Robotics, signaling an interest in humanoid and physical-AI applications.
Mobileye's recent performance has been more mixed. Its latest quarterly results beat analyst estimates, with revenue up roughly 27% year over year, and the company raised its full-year revenue guidance while announcing a $250 million share repurchase program. However, sentiment has been pressured by structural concerns: a transition in executive leadership following founder Amnon Shashua's planned departure, rising competition from Chinese rivals in the Level 2 driver-assistance market, and analyst downgrades citing slower-than-expected progress on advanced autonomy wins and heavy dependence on a single major customer. Over the past year, the stock has declined sharply and trades near the low end of its 52-week range, reflecting weaker relative momentum despite improving fundamentals.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most fundamental contrast between HSAI and MBLY is their position in the value chain. Hesai is a hardware-led supplier of LiDAR sensors with a heavy concentration in China and a fast-growing robotics segment, while Mobileye is a vertically integrated provider of chips, software, and systems with a more global customer base and deep roots in camera-based ADAS. Their growth drivers differ accordingly: Hesai is scaling rapidly from a smaller base on rising LiDAR attach rates and multi-sensor vehicle architectures, whereas Mobileye is working to convert its large installed base and higher-autonomy pipeline into faster revenue growth.
Risk profiles also diverge. Hesai faces geopolitical exposure, competitive pricing pressure in China, and a higher beta, reflecting greater volatility. Mobileye confronts displacement risk as automakers shift toward centralized computing, concentrated dependence on Volkswagen, and an ongoing CEO transition. In terms of market positioning, Hesai holds a leading share of the long-range ADAS LiDAR market, while Mobileye remains an incumbent in base ADAS but faces intensifying competition from Chinese players such as Horizon Robotics. Sentiment currently favors Hesai, which has enjoyed positive year-to-date returns and analyst upgrades, over Mobileye, which has trailed the market and drawn a wave of downgrades.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would more likely favor HSAI in the current environment. Hesai's positive price trend, a sustained run of profitability, and visible shipment and design-win catalysts provide a comparatively stronger technical and fundamental backdrop. Mobileye's improving top line and buyback signal underlying value, but persistent leadership uncertainty, competitive headwinds, and weaker relative price momentum suggest a less favorable near-term setup. These are probabilistic assessments rather than definitive outcomes, and both names carry meaningful risk. Traders may find the contrast in trend strength and stability useful when evaluating how AI-driven strategies would rank the two opportunities.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HSAI is a StrongBuy and MBLY is a Hold.
HSAI in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026
HSAI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 35 cases where HSAI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HSAI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +12.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HSAI advanced for three days, in 155 of 193 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HSAI as a result. In 57 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HSAI turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 32 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
HSAI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HSAI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HSAI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for HSAI entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.213) is normal, around the industry mean (0.879). P/E Ratio (3.519) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.808). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.515) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.311) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. HSAI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HSAI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for MBLY turns negative, indicating new downward trend
MBLY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 69 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 57 of the 69 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MBLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for MBLY entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MBLY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 44 cases where MBLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MBLY just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where MBLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 33 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +5.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MBLY advanced for three days, in 163 of 214 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 28 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.720) is normal, around the industry mean (0.879). P/E Ratio (-1.398) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.808). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.236) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.164) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MBLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MBLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
MBLY | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HSAI | MBLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 1 day ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 8 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HSAI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MBLY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HSAI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MBLY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HSAI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MBLY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HSAI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MBLY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HSAI (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -9.13% price change this week, while MBLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was -6.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -4.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
HSAI is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
MBLY is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-4.31% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
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HSAI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HSAI has been loosely correlated with AUR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HSAI jumps, then AUR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HSAI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSAI | 100% | -7.96% | ||
| AUR - HSAI | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.99% | ||
| MBLY - HSAI | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.00% | ||
| QS - HSAI | 41% Loosely correlated | +4.27% | ||
| SLDP - HSAI | 37% Loosely correlated | -2.88% | ||
| SES - HSAI | 33% Poorly correlated | +15.18% | ||
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MBLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MBLY has been loosely correlated with QS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MBLY jumps, then QS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MBLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBLY | 100% | -1.00% | ||
| QS - MBLY | 43% Loosely correlated | +4.27% | ||
| AUR - MBLY | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.99% | ||
| HSAI - MBLY | 41% Loosely correlated | -7.96% | ||
| VC - MBLY | 36% Loosely correlated | -3.69% | ||
| DCH - MBLY | 35% Loosely correlated | -3.50% | ||
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