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HTLD vs TFII
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Heartland Express (HTLD) vs. TFI International (TFII) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Heartland Express (HTLD), a smaller dry van truckload carrier, has delivered a strong year-to-date return of 42.15%, outperforming TFI International (TFII)'s 32.32% amid recent market recovery.
- TFII, a diversified transportation and logistics giant, boasts a much larger market cap of $11.33 billion versus HTLD's $992 million, with positive EPS of $3.72 compared to HTLD's -$0.67.
- Both stocks show bullish technical signals in recent weeks, including MACD crossovers and moves above key moving averages, signaling upward momentum.
- TFII offers a higher dividend yield at 1.35% versus HTLD's 0.67%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- HTLD trades near its 52-week high of $13.04 after a rebound from $7.00 lows, while TFII nears its peak amid acquisition activity.
Introduction
Heartland Express (HTLD) and TFI International (TFII) operate in the competitive trucking and logistics sector, both providing essential freight transportation services across North America. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors tracking industrials amid fluctuating freight demand, supply chain pressures, and economic recovery signals. Traders seeking exposure to truckload carriers may weigh HTLD's asset-based dry van focus against TFII's diversified less-than-truckload (LTL), truckload, and logistics operations. Recent market activity highlights relative performance in relative performance and market positioning, aiding decisions on sector allocation or pair trades.
HTLD Overview and Recent Performance
Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD) is a short-to-long-haul truckload carrier specializing in nationwide asset-based dry van services, cross-border freight, and temperature-controlled shipments under brands like Heartland Express and Millis Transfer. Headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa, it serves retailers, manufacturers, and parcel carriers in consumer goods and automotive sectors. In recent market activity, HTLD has rebounded sharply, posting a 42.15% year-to-date gain and 52.77% over one year, trading around $12.81 near its 52-week high after lows near $7.00. Despite a Q1 net loss influenced by operational challenges like hiring pressures, the stock beat EPS estimates and saw Baird raise its price target to $15, boosting sentiment. Technical indicators, including a MACD histogram crossover and moves above 50-day moving averages, underscore upward trend consistency, though overbought RSI signals potential pullbacks.
TFII Overview and Recent Performance
TFI International Inc. (TFII) delivers comprehensive transportation and logistics via less-than-truckload (LTL), truckload (TL), and asset-light logistics segments, operating over 12,900 trucks and serving the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Its diverse services include expedited, flatbed, brokerage, and parcel delivery, with recent expansions like TA Dedicated's acquisition of Triangle Warehouse enhancing capabilities. Headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Quebec, it caters to varied freight needs. Shares have climbed 32.32% year-to-date and 77.46% over one year to about $137.87, approaching 52-week highs. Positive momentum from MACD turn and Aroon uptrend supports recent gains, despite anticipated Q1 EPS dip. Analyst consensus holds at moderate buy with a $128 target, reflecting steady growth amid sector dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HTLD focuses on asset-heavy dry van truckload, exposing it more to driver shortages and fuel costs, while TFII's broader LTL, TL, and logistics mix offers diversification and asset-light scalability via M&A. Growth drivers differ: TFII benefits from acquisitions and logistics expansion, fueling 77% one-year gains, versus HTLD's organic rebound amid losses. Recent momentum favors both with uptrends, but HTLD's smaller size amplifies volatility (market cap under $1B vs. $11B). Risk factors include freight softening for HTLD and earnings pressure for TFII; sentiment tilts positive on technicals, with TFII showing superior profitability (PE 37 vs. negative).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward TFII due to its trend consistency, larger scale, positive EPS, and balanced profit-risk profile amid shared sector uptrends. While HTLD exhibits strong relative YTD momentum, TFII's diversification and growth catalysts position it favorably for sustained performance in recent market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HTLD is a Hold and TFII is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HTLD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTFII’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HTLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TFII’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HTLD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TFII’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HTLD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TFII’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
HTLD (@Trucking) experienced а -3.62% price change this week, while TFII (@Trucking) price change was -2.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -3.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +34.50%.
Reported Earning Dates
HTLD is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
TFII is expected to report earnings on Jul 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-3.40% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| HTLD | TFII | HTLD / TFII | |
| Capitalization | 1.16B | 11.6B | 10% |
| EBITDA | 108M | 1.14B | 9% |
| Gain YTD | 65.563 | 37.364 | 175% |
| P/E Ratio | 52.32 | 40.20 | 130% |
| Revenue | 763M | 7.87B | 10% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 153M | 3.18B | 5% |
HTLD | TFII | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 69 Overvalued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 62 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 94 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TFII's Valuation (31) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HTLD (69) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew somewhat faster than HTLD’s over the last 12 months.
TFII's Profit vs Risk Rating (62) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HTLD (100) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew somewhat faster than HTLD’s over the last 12 months.
TFII's SMR Rating (67) in the null industry is in the same range as HTLD (94) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew similarly to HTLD’s over the last 12 months.
HTLD's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as TFII (45) in the null industry. This means that HTLD’s stock grew similarly to TFII’s over the last 12 months.
HTLD's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as TFII (10) in the null industry. This means that HTLD’s stock grew similarly to TFII’s over the last 12 months.
| HTLD | TFII | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 60% | 16 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | 6 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 52% |
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HTLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HTLD has been closely correlated with CVLG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HTLD jumps, then CVLG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HTLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HTLD | 100% | N/A | ||
| CVLG - HTLD | 81% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| MRTN - HTLD | 78% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| SNDR - HTLD | 74% Closely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| WERN - HTLD | 74% Closely correlated | +0.33% | ||
| ODFL - HTLD | 72% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
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TFII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TFII has been closely correlated with ARCB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TFII jumps, then ARCB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TFII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFII | 100% | +1.24% | ||
| ARCB - TFII | 74% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| WERN - TFII | 72% Closely correlated | +0.33% | ||
| KNX - TFII | 71% Closely correlated | -2.02% | ||
| SNDR - TFII | 71% Closely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| HTLD - TFII | 70% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
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