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KNX vs TFII
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) vs. TFI International Inc. (TFII) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both KNX and TFII posted strong year-to-date (YTD) gains in recent market activity, with TFII at 32% outperforming KNX's 26%.
- TFII delivered a superior one-year return of 77% compared to KNX's 68%, reflecting robust relative performance in the trucking sector.
- KNX's recent quarterly earnings met estimates, with management citing regulatory improvements and expectations for double-digit rate hikes, driving recent share gains.
- TFII bolstered its logistics footprint through a recent subsidiary acquisition and approaches its quarterly earnings with positive momentum.
- TFII exhibits stronger profitability, with return on equity (ROE) at 11.6% versus KNX's 0.5%, though KNX maintains lower leverage.
- Tickeron's AI analysis gives TFII a momentum edge amid sector recovery trends.
Introduction
In the dynamic trucking and logistics sector, KNX and TFII emerge as prominent players navigating freight market stabilization. This stock comparison highlights their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, offering valuable insights for investors and traders focused on transportation equities. As capacity constraints ease and demand signals strengthen in recent weeks, understanding relative momentum, growth drivers, and risk profiles can inform sector allocation strategies amid evolving economic conditions.
KNX Overview and Recent Performance
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) is a leading U.S.-based freight carrier operating in truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), logistics, and intermodal segments across the United States and Mexico. Serving industries like retail, manufacturing, and food & beverage, it emphasizes dedicated and expedited services. In recent market activity, KNX shares rallied, posting YTD gains of 26% and reflecting broader trucking recovery. First-quarter earnings aligned with estimates, with EPS (earnings per share) of $0.09, as management highlighted regulatory changes reducing low-priced capacity and targeted double-digit rate increases amid tightening supply. Analyst sentiment improved, with UBS raising its price target to $79, supporting positive price behavior and investor interest in operational efficiencies.
TFII Overview and Recent Performance
TFI International Inc. (TFII) delivers transportation and logistics services across North America through LTL, truckload, and asset-light logistics segments, operating a fleet of over 12,900 trucks and 40,600 trailers. Focused on expedited, flatbed, and brokerage services, it caters to diverse freight needs in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Shares have surged in recent weeks, achieving YTD returns of 32% and one-year gains of 77%, outpacing benchmarks. A subsidiary acquisition of Triangle Warehouse expanded dedicated logistics capabilities, enhancing growth prospects ahead of upcoming quarterly results. Steady dividend declarations and analyst adjustments, including Stifel's target hike to $117, have bolstered sentiment amid strong volume trends.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both KNX and TFII thrive in the trucking sector, but KNX leans toward U.S.-centric truckload and LTL with intermodal exposure, while TFII offers broader North American logistics via brokerage and dedicated fleets. Growth drivers include freight rate recovery and volume upticks, though TFII's asset-light model provides flexibility. Recent momentum favors TFII's sustained gains, contrasting KNX's post-earnings surge. Risk factors differ: TFII's higher debt-to-equity (120%) amplifies leverage versus KNX's conservative 38%, potentially heightening volatility. Market sentiment tilts positive for both amid capacity rationalization, but TFII's superior ROE and free cash flow signal stronger operational resilience in trade-offs between scale and efficiency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TFII with higher probability for near-term outperformance, driven by consistent trend strength, elevated YTD and one-year returns, superior profitability metrics like ROE, and expansion catalysts such as recent acquisitions. While KNX benefits from rate hike optimism and lower leverage stability, TFII's relative positioning in the recovering transportation landscape offers a more compelling momentum profile.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KNX is a Hold and TFII is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KNX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTFII’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- KNX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TFII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KNX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TFII’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KNX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TFII’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KNX (@Trucking) experienced а -4.86% price change this week, while TFII (@Trucking) price change was -5.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -3.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was +44.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
KNX is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
TFII is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-3.80% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| KNX | TFII | KNX / TFII | |
| Capitalization | 12.3B | 12.1B | 102% |
| EBITDA | 993M | 1.14B | 87% |
| Gain YTD | 45.067 | 42.729 | 105% |
| P/E Ratio | 359.05 | 40.91 | 878% |
| Revenue | 7.5B | 7.87B | 95% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 186M | - |
| Total Debt | 2.66B | 3.18B | 84% |
KNX | TFII | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TFII's Valuation (34) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KNX (91) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew somewhat faster than KNX’s over the last 12 months.
KNX's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as TFII (60) in the null industry. This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to TFII’s over the last 12 months.
TFII's SMR Rating (67) in the null industry is in the same range as KNX (91) in the Trucking industry. This means that TFII’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
KNX's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as TFII (40) in the null industry. This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to TFII’s over the last 12 months.
KNX's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as TFII (10) in the null industry. This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to TFII’s over the last 12 months.
| KNX | TFII | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 58% | 8 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 60% |
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KNX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KNX has been closely correlated with SNDR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KNX jumps, then SNDR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KNX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNX | 100% | +1.69% | ||
| SNDR - KNX | 81% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| WERN - KNX | 79% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| SAIA - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| CVLG - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| ODFL - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
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