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HUBG vs XPO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) vs. XPO, Inc. (XPO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- XPO has significantly outperformed HUBG year-to-date, with returns around 62% compared to less than 1% for HUBG.
- Both stocks have shown strong momentum in recent weeks, with monthly gains exceeding 18% for each amid transportation sector recovery.
- HUBG is rebounding from earlier accounting irregularities and delayed filings, trading near $43.
- XPO benefits from robust LTL (less-than-truckload) demand and revenue growth, with shares around $224.
- Sector tailwinds support both, but XPO's asset-based model shows greater stability versus HUBG's asset-light approach.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings for both could influence relative performance in the near term.
Introduction
HUBG and XPO operate in the competitive transportation and logistics sector, providing investors exposure to freight movement and supply chain solutions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance trends, and key drivers, aiding traders seeking relative value in industrials or those rotating into cyclical recovery plays. With broader economic shifts impacting freight volumes, understanding contrasts in business models and sentiment helps evaluate potential outperformance in varying market conditions.
HUBG Overview and Recent Performance
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) is a supply chain solutions provider specializing in asset-light intermodal marketing and truck brokerage services across North America. In recent market activity, HUBG shares have climbed over 18% in the past month and 24% in the last four weeks, rebounding from a sharp February decline triggered by disclosed improper accounting practices and a subsequent 27% drop. Trading around $43, the stock reflects steady intermodal demand and improving pricing noted in Q1 business updates, despite Nasdaq compliance challenges from delayed filings. Sentiment has shifted positively on new logistics wins, though ongoing investigations temper enthusiasm.
XPO Overview and Recent Performance
XPO, Inc. (XPO) leads in asset-based less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation in North America, following its strategic refocus post-spin-offs. Recent weeks have seen XPO shares advance about 18-21% monthly, building on year-to-date gains of nearly 62%, with prices hovering near $224 amid a 52-week high of $231. Positive revenue growth of 4.7% in recent quarters and institutional buying have bolstered performance, even as the company navigates freight headwinds better than peers. Anticipated Q1 earnings highlight operational gains in customer satisfaction and IT investments, supporting upward momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, HUBG's asset-light intermodal and brokerage focus offers flexibility but exposes it to carrier capacity risks, contrasting XPO's asset-heavy LTL operations providing network control and pricing power. Growth drivers differ: HUBG relies on volume recovery and logistics wins amid restatement overhangs, while XPO leverages LTL volume gains and margin expansion. Recent momentum favors both short-term, but XPO's superior YTD returns signal stronger trend consistency. Risk factors include HUBG's regulatory scrutiny versus XPO's execution in a cyclical sector. Market sentiment leans positive for XPO on earnings anticipation, positioning it better for upside in freight rebound scenarios.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor XPO over HUBG, driven by superior relative performance, consistent revenue catalysts, and stable LTL positioning amid sector upturns. HUBG's recovery shows promise, but XPO exhibits higher probability of sustained outperformance based on trend strength and lower headline risks in recent market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HUBG is a Buy and XPO is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HUBG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileXPO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HUBG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HUBG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HUBG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XPO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HUBG (@Other Transportation) experienced а -1.35% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was +0.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -2.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.16%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was +3.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +47.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
HUBG is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
XPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-2.10% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
@Trucking (+3.30% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| HUBG | XPO | HUBG / XPO | |
| Capitalization | 2.68B | 23.7B | 11% |
| EBITDA | 338M | 1.22B | 28% |
| Gain YTD | 3.341 | 48.230 | 7% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.28 | 69.14 | 37% |
| Revenue | 3.73B | 8.3B | 45% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 237M | - |
| Total Debt | 499M | 4.03B | 12% |
HUBG | XPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HUBG's Valuation (30) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPO (89) in the Trucking industry. This means that HUBG’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HUBG (71) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's SMR Rating (46) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HUBG (82) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as HUBG (47) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as HUBG (29) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to HUBG’s over the last 12 months.
| HUBG | XPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 64% | 17 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 66% | 5 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 78% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DYFI | 22.79 | 0.01 | +0.07% |
| IDX Dynamic Fixed Income ETF | |||
| NHYM | 25.07 | -0.01 | -0.04% |
| Nuveen High Yield Municipal Income ETF | |||
| STEW | 17.76 | -0.03 | -0.17% |
| SRH Total Return Fund | |||
| BGT | 10.52 | -0.08 | -0.75% |
| BlackRock Floating Rate Income Trust | |||
| KOID | 38.84 | -1.52 | -3.77% |
| KraneSharesGlHmndRbtc&PhysclAiIdxETF | |||
XPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | 100% | -0.77% | ||
| SAIA - XPO | 77% Closely correlated | -0.73% | ||
| FWRD - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | +4.06% | ||
| ODFL - XPO | 72% Closely correlated | -0.60% | ||
| GXO - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| ARCB - XPO | 70% Closely correlated | -2.49% | ||
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