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FWRD vs HUBG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) vs. Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both FWRD and HUBG operate in the freight and logistics sector, focusing on expedited and intermodal services respectively.
- FWRD has demonstrated stronger recent momentum, with shares rising over 30% in recent weeks amid positive recognition.
- HUBG posted solid monthly gains around 15-19% but faced headwinds from financial filing delays.
- Tickeron's Trending AI Robots feature bots with annualized returns up to 162% and win rates of 50-75% across sectors including industrials.
- Recent market activity favors asset-light models like FWRD's amid supply chain shifts.
- Investor sentiment leans toward stability, with FWRD showing cleaner catalysts.
Introduction
In the competitive freight and logistics sector, FWRD and HUBG represent distinct approaches to transportation services. Forward Air Corporation emphasizes expedited freight, while Hub Group, Inc. specializes in intermodal solutions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid evolving supply chain dynamics. Traders seeking sector exposure and investors evaluating relative strength in industrials will find value in understanding momentum shifts, risk factors, and AI-driven insights. With broader economic pressures on freight volumes, relative performance highlights trade-offs in growth potential and stability.
FWRD Overview and Recent Performance
Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is an asset-light provider of expedited freight and logistics services, operating a robust North American less-than-truckload (LTL) network. In recent market activity, shares have climbed significantly, trading around $21.33 after advancing from the mid-teens in early April. This upward trajectory reflects improved sentiment driven by operational expansions and recognition, including placement on USA TODAY's America's Climate Leaders 2026 list. Key influences include freight demand recovery and strategic network enhancements, bolstering trend consistency despite broader sector volatility. Trading volume has supported the move, with 52-week ranges spanning $14.82 to $32.47.
HUBG Overview and Recent Performance
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) ranks among top rail intermodal service providers, with about 60% of revenue from intermodal and drayage operations alongside truck brokerage. Shares have rebounded in recent weeks, posting 15-19% gains to around $43, amid a 52-week range influenced by market cycles. However, sentiment has been tempered by financial filing delays, including a Form 12b-25 and Nasdaq deficiency notice for late 2025 results, alongside preliminary Q1 updates and dividend declarations. These developments have introduced uncertainty, contrasting with volume-driven recoveries in intermodal demand.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FWRD and HUBG share sector exposure in transportation and logistics but diverge in models: FWRD's asset-light expedited focus offers flexibility in LTL networks, while HUBG leverages intermodal scale for cost efficiency. Growth drivers differ—FWRD benefits from sustainability accolades and network builds, versus HUBG's acquisitions like Marten Transport bolstering temperature-controlled services. Recent momentum favors FWRD's steadier uptrend over HUBG's rebound amid compliance risks. Risk factors include freight cyclicality for both, but HUBG faces elevated scrutiny from filing issues. Market sentiment tilts toward FWRD's cleaner profile in a stabilizing supply chain landscape.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis currently favors FWRD over HUBG, based on superior recent trend consistency, positive catalysts like climate leadership recognition, and relative stability amid sector pressures. While HUBG shows rebound potential in intermodal, filing delays introduce probabilistic downside risks. Observable momentum and positioning suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance for FWRD in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FWRD is a Hold and HUBG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FWRD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileHUBG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FWRD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HUBG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FWRD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HUBG’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FWRD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HUBG’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
FWRD (@Other Transportation) experienced а +9.99% price change this week, while HUBG (@Other Transportation) price change was +2.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was +0.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
HUBG is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (+0.40% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
| FWRD | HUBG | FWRD / HUBG | |
| Capitalization | 364M | 2.73B | 13% |
| EBITDA | 189M | 338M | 56% |
| Gain YTD | -53.980 | 5.278 | -1,023% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.21 | 25.61 | 40% |
| Revenue | 2.46B | 3.73B | 66% |
| Total Cash | 141M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 2.15B | 499M | 431% |
FWRD | HUBG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 83 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HUBG's Valuation (30) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FWRD (53). This means that HUBG’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
HUBG's Profit vs Risk Rating (77) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FWRD (100). This means that HUBG’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
HUBG's SMR Rating (83) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FWRD (99). This means that HUBG’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
HUBG's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FWRD (94). This means that HUBG’s stock grew somewhat faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
HUBG's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FWRD (78). This means that HUBG’s stock grew somewhat faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
| FWRD | HUBG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 7 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 78% | 11 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 70% |
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FWRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRD has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FWRD jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FWRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FWRD | 100% | +11.05% | ||
| XPO - FWRD | 75% Closely correlated | +2.61% | ||
| PAL - FWRD | 43% Loosely correlated | +12.05% | ||
| GXO - FWRD | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.88% | ||
| FDX - FWRD | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.24% | ||
| UPS - FWRD | 34% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
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HUBG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HUBG has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HUBG jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HUBG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBG | 100% | +3.82% | ||
| XPO - HUBG | 70% Closely correlated | +2.61% | ||
| JBHT - HUBG | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.13% | ||
| FDX - HUBG | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.24% | ||
| LSTR - HUBG | 64% Loosely correlated | +3.35% | ||
| EXPD - HUBG | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
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